Planted the flag at 9/2 by 3/ good day, ty
Global Strike bites he dust! heartbreak / no box
I don't know about Nathan, but I'll put it towards my college fund. $446.00 ain't bad/ by 5 L haha
I never realized what a small thing an amino acid 998 is, until 3 years ago!!!
I didn't measure the angle. I'll take your word for it. Just looking they looked low at first. Getting old/senile. He's a looker though!
Nice 3yo, #9 KO'd me in the exotics... caught the winner flat, but would have had all of them without #9, I still don't see the #9!
If you start from the feet up, the Pastern's are to low. That's ok in the back but in the front this horse can't absorb the concussion of the hard dirt tracks to the fetlocks and knees. This horse had to scrape his fetlocks constantly not to mention the strain on the tendons and ligaments. I didn't look up his history, but I would guess he had a lot of trouble up front. Pastern's should ideally be at 45 degrees which is much higher than these. I like everything else above, especially the neck, but not at the bottom where it matters most. To bad, with decent angle pastern's he could have been a very good one.
Del Mar 7/21/2015 Dirt 3F 36.20 Handily1/7
I was wondering myself so I looked it up. Hopefully he comes to the Spa. He did do a lot the first part of the year. Visually he's a beast.
In that class, yes.
I handicap by pace, when possible as it's doesn't always play out that way on the race track as it does on paper. No matter the class, horse can go only so fast, that's why a horse "loose on the lead is so formidable." If in the race HC ran in 1:33.18 there was only one speed horse who backed off the fractions to 24. then 48. at the half instead of the 45. that actually occurred, then HC instead of running the 23.1/5 last quarter would have had to make up the 3 second differential which would be just off top of my head, and for purpose of example in 21.3.
Why doesn't the horse HC just go faster ealier would be the logical solution, but horses don't do that and stay in the position there running style dictates. The best example I can think of is when Dr. Fager faced Damascus, a distinct deep closer without the rabbit, he (Damascus) was forced to run on the lead with Dr. Fager, which took him out of his comfort zone, and he ran slower. In 1968 they faced each other twice at Aqueduct, the first race was run without a rabbit at 10f with Dr. Fager setting a track record in winning of 1:59.3/5... About 3 weeks later running with the rabbit Hedivar at the same distance, Damascus, running as a deep closer which was both his style and in his comfort zone set the still standing track record at Aqueduct of 1:59.1/5. If a horse the caliber of Damascus needs a pace setter then I believe HC would to.
An easier way to understand pace is to just substitute "speed" where it appears, because in reality that's all pace is, the sectional speed of the race coupled with an understanding of each horses total energy capability derived from prior races, and how it's proportioned. In handicapping a race one is looking for the horse that best suits the projected pace/speed of that race timed in sections and totality. That's where the problem lies as the projected pace doesn't always play out that way. Then there's other important factors such as form, surface demand, and track contour that have to be taken into consideration. I don't mean to seem condescending, but you asked for an explanation and that's the best I can do in a short comment with any sense of clarity. This is just a fraction of the total consideration. If HC was running a class or 2 lower, pace wouldn't be a consideration for me as he wouldn't have to run so fast, and his position would be better as the horses would be slower.
This is how I do it, if you have a different way that works for you I suggest you stay with it.
Have good day, CFC
Thanks for the link. That was interesting and there's much more. I just got through reading a comparison of Frankel buy the author about his stride efficiency. He then stated it was almost exactly like a 2yo horse he had seen in Florida named American Pharoah.
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