I think his problem in the KD was the extreme outside PP. If Sanford hadn't scratched and he was coming out of the #18 PP he would have had an extremely hard time establishing position like he did. This is something Victor Espinoza said. For myself it made the difference between betting and watching.
A P could easily win the TC. Off the top of my head in the last 25 years about 60% of the time one horse has one two legs. Just a matter of time, luck, and this horse IMO. He's got more muscle on his neck than most horses have on their entire body. Thus his fantastic 5W trip in only a second off the average for this race on a slow track. Add to that the race was only in doubt when they were head to head in the stretch, and AP remedied that fast. I don't know what other saw when they watched this horse race, but I saw a glimpse of a bright future.
I obviously confused you, sometime I confuse myself. CD is to heavy for Bayern to run in that company. That's it. Sorry for the long winded confusing reply.
Bayern had a hard time in the lane last year at a mile in grade3 company at CD, albeit he was a 3yo. Why would the connections place him with an older bearcat like Private Zone where they know he has to get a good start and be all out with the pressure a horse like that can exert from the get go? Run this race at SA or Belmont and it's closer, not much, but not at CD. Not hating on Bayern as I bet him on very fast tracks as I did in the 2014 BCC. Just didn't make sense to me to the point I almost passed the race up because I thought I must have missed something. Bayern can't handle any track with resistance. I made this point last year. When he goes to Belmont as long as Private Zone isn't in I'll bet him there most likely. Only the rarest race horses are unaffected by the surface they run on, some much more than others. Tonalist at Belmont is about as unbeatable as a horse can be. Put him in at SA and he can't overcome the speed bias. At Belmont which is actually a couple ticks faster than SA, the track conformation allows stalkers and closers to do their thing unlike SA. Good day.
You might want to see what the Brisnet Figures are, which gives another perspective to look at. For instance Dortmund ran a totality of 200 compared to 186 for El Kabeir in their last race. How one chooses to use figures is of course extremely subjective. Whatever works is the way to go.
Brisnet Pace Figures
101 Toasting Master
99 Firing Line
98 American Pharoah
96 Mr. Z
93 El Kabeir
107 International Star
102 Danzig Moon
101 Carpe Diem
97 Keen Ice
96 War Story
95 American Pharoah
95 El Kabeir
Heavy favorite refers to wagering odds, not weight of horse.
They dish it out, but don't put their neck out. Speaking for myself I don't make a wager without checking with PhatMama469 for that $40.00 plus horse that's been there a lot. I think it's imperative that we recognize things not readily apparent.
The weight of the horse has nothing to do with my comment. Did you misspell "verility" and mean something else? I was referring to the fact the new dirt track hasn't had enough races over it to settle.
It seems you own that hill Mary. They should consider renaming it. I usually give your picks play but I wasn't on the pc or at OTB today at all. When it's 60 degrees where I live outside is the place to be. Very nicely done.$1 Exacta $204.00 9-10 $217,225 $1 Superfecta $7,867.10 9-10-6-2 $148,574 $1 Super High Five $0.00 9-10-6-2-8(NO WINNERS) (Carryover: $29734) $38,959 $1 Trifecta $1,700.40 9-10-6
+$37.50 Jarrod. To bad Secretariat was in the race with your horse.
Copyright © 2010 -
other passionate horse racing fans!