Great article. Del Mar is tricky since you really have to know which horses like its surface and which ones don't. Even though you don't mention it expressly, your pick 4 includes progeny of some of the sires (Tribal Rule, Unusual Heat, In Excess, etc.) that are known to love it . What concerns me about this sequence is, as you stated, the 9th race is now an all weather affair. Plus, in race 8, Golden Cents has never won at this distance, is facing another front running, all weather freak that is a grade 1 winner and shortening up (Declassify), and a son of probably the best all weather sire there is, Giant's Causeway (Pablo Del Monte). I can't wait to see what happens.
You never know how horses will come out of the a race like the Belmont or if they will ever be the same. While both Wicked Strong and Tonalist ran well, the Jim Dandy was no tour de force. I can't wait to see how V.E. Day fares in the Travers. His pedigree says the longer the better so we'll see.
Boy do I feel your pain. I did single the last leg and thought this might be the only time this summer the final race of a NY pick 4 is a single. The dumb mistake I made was to take 8 of the entries in the Diana instead of all 10, so instead of ALL I took most? A thousand dollar mistake. I thought I was done with those but I guess not.
Texas is the home of crony capitalism and big government,
fake free market Republicans. The “ban” on internet wagering is a great
example. Instead of seeing the big
picture, which is no matter what race track I play the money I win will be
spent in Texas, they’d rather try to use big government to make internet
wagering illegal, in hopes that I’m too degenerate of a gambler to drive to
their simulcast facilities without spending money on Texas tracks. If they
believed in competition, they would improve the quality of racing in Texas and
let me choose to play Texas tracks online or in person but Greg Abbott would
rather try the big government route.
The problem with Jon Luman’s point about the frailty of “form” handicapping or handicapping in general is you can’t take the results from a ~27k Maiden Special Weight race at Canterbury Park and attempt to make some larger point about the value of racing forms or handicapping. Firstly the WPS wagering pool in the race in question was small and the track in question is more of a bridgejumpers track, so you’ll get weird odds and players looking for "cinches". Also, just sifting through Equibase charts, I gathered that race was Burning Fuhry’s second lifetime start in a route turf race and with a new jockey. Every change a horse undergoes is useful information and can move a horse up. That information would have been in the form since the racing form summarizes past race information and any changes (except being gelded) that a horse has undergone since his/her last race. By no means is the form the only handicapping tool but it does offer a tremendous amount of info for anyone that knows how to read it.
Game on Dude will be back and I hope with Martin Garcia as jockey. He needs to be loose on the lead and he doesn’t like to rate, so I don’t understand what Mike Smith was doing. Fury Kapcori couldn’t carry his speed 9 furlongs so it’s no shock he couldn’t do it for 10, even though he also got a strange ride from his jock.
This is a pretty good list, but I don’t think Fury Kapcori should be on it. He has yet to win a grade 2 race at 9 furlongs and is unproven at 10 furlongs. Clubhouse Ride should probably be there instead, as he is at least grade 1 placed at 10 furlongs. Either way, having several pace horses in the Breeders’ Cup Classic doesn’t bode well for any of them.
Was there a list like this last year? If so it would be great to see a “where are they now” follow up post. Maybe I missed it. Also, Blame’s son won yesterday at Santa Anita and Looking At Lucky has already sired several winners. He has a son running today at Santa Anita. It’s hard to tell a lot from 5 or 6 furlongs but at least some of the stars of yesterday have kids reaching racing age this year.
There is a lot of irony in the tweet from Donegal racing. On the same day as the local prep for the Haskell, their horse dropped from stakes company back into a MSW and is now pointing to the Travers. I’d assume the Jim Dandy is next, but if it is wouldn’t you wait for a good showing in that race before talking about the Travers?
Great read. Thanks for sharing your experience.
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