After looking at the potential 'speed' of the KY derby, now that Midnight Hawk is likely out, Ring weekend, and Dance with Fate to likely follow, there appears a good chance California Chrome could be on the lead. The two other likeliest speeds on the race seem to be Chitu and Wildcat Red, although WR had deceptively slow fractions in the Florida Derby compared to what he's used to setting.
I think she'll win the Kentucky Oaks. Might actually be a decent price too with everyone going with Untapable/RiaAntonia.
For all the California Chrome fans, here is a link to a pretty cool video taken live from the stands at the Santa Anita derby by a reporter for the LA Times. I've watched it over and over since the win, figured i'd share it. The crowd screaming as he came around for home with the announcer in the background is just awesome to hear. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=90ftXSxYLt8
Zipse' M/L odds are pretty sensible. It will be interesting to see how the betting on California Chrome goes. Even the great Barbaro started at 4:1 M/L and ended paying out close to 6:1. Smarty Jones was 9:2 and stayed about the same. I remember Dialed In was around 4:1 as well. What i'm getting at is I know we all think CC should be between 2:1 and 5:2, but to John Q Public he may just end up around 4:1.
Cairo is going, this was confirmed today.
There are alot of horses you can write off as Tosses for the KY derby, but I don't think Cairo Prince is one of them. He may not win, but if he runs, i think he could surprise alot of people.
Here's the updated and essentially final 2014 Kentucky Derby points standings after the Arkansas and Blue Grass. The Lexington Stakes next week could potentially bump someone, but unlikely. Cairo Prince in. Candy Boy in. http://www.kentuckyderby.com/sites/kentuckyderby.com/files/u64720/20140412%20Road%20to%20the%20Kentucky%20Derby%20Point%20Standings_1.pdf
tmallios, what did you think of Danza? 1-hit wonder or legit contender? Stupid bomb ruined everyones P3, P4, and all my bets haha.
I'm surprised too. I mean tapitures a good horse, but i'm surprised how many people continue to believe in Strong Mandate, when he clearly is just a good horse, not great. And Ride on Curlin is a complete toss to me. Who knows, i could eat my words tomorrow! haha
Absolutely none of the websites (HRN, DRF, BH) have picked Bayern, hopefully the general public follows.
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