Must break very well from the inside or it's over. Lookin at Lucky had a bad break from the inside in the Derby and that was it.
IWC is not American Pharoah.
All depends on the post position. If IWC draws 1-3 or 18-20 it will be pretty tough to hit the board let alone win. He needs to be close to the pace and those posts are pretty tough.
1-3-9-12 Exacta and tri and super boxes: Silver Dust Rockin Rudy Malagacy Untrapped. Win & place money on Silver Dust.
Good assessment. The only one that may crack the top 4 is Silver Dust. He's lightly raced and may like stretching to 1mi &1/8th. Decent works, who knows.
Conquest Mo Money could do something but Hence went by him like he was standing still. That was a grade 3. This race has talent all through it and is a grade 1.
This years Derby is a crap shoot and IWC is in the starting gate so who knows. I wouldn't count anyone out so if you like a horse bet him. Even the Arkansas Derby is more open than the 2 favorites. Strange but at the same time intriguing year for the KY Derby. Happy handicapping.
This race is more open than the favorites. Malagacy good horse bad post. Who knows if Classic Empire is back. I like Untrapped but I see him 4th here. The winner may come from the Petrov, Sonneteer, Lookin at Lee and Silver Dust group. Of those Silver Dust seems the most likely to improve.
Cash alone exacta: 3-7 box. Battle of Midway and Kimbear.
Not high on Battle of Midway but Nakatani is as tough and competitive as they come. He is a fearless rider. I'd give BOM an outside shot for the win.
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