The Pharoah ruled in the Futurity. The blinkers off seemed to do the trick. We need to see if he can back it up on dirt but he works well on it. I was against Skyway in Futurity. I believe Laura has him judged accurately. Laura also pegged Wake Up Nick in his debut as a quality animal. Well done.
Competitive Edge is currently a man among boys. His races remind
me of watching the Little League World Series. Teams with physically imposing 12 year olds winning. I expect the pack will gain on him as they mature. This happens every year. SAR sprint wins don’t normally translate to Roses in May but the Edge is an impressive juvenile.
If your are serious about racing I strongly recommend the Guide to Freshmen Sires. I purchased it and it already has paid dividends. It will give you an early edge on the herd in betting these juvenile races.
The 2014 Travers sure supplied an exciting finish. Well done
by VE Day, Wicked Strong and trainer Jerkens. Another lesson one can take from
the Travers is projecting fine turf form onto the dirt. I know the pedigree gurus
said Mr. Speaker’s pedigree of Pulpit/Unbridled screamed dirt, he was too close to the pace at GP on
dirt, the trainer said he worked great on the SAR dirt but how many times do we
have to see this over and over. At 7-1
at least his backers got a decent number when losing by 7L. Now back to the turf or poly for the talented
Speaker. He will likely have some very good runs
in the fall turf stakes. I realize there are a few outliers but I have and will
continue to view turf and dirt form as mutually exclusive.
This is shaping up to be a terrific race with many options. As to Mr. Speaker’s breeding Pulpit/Unbridled
normally says dirt & long. However his
sharp HOF connections ran him four times on turf as a young talented horse
before even attempting the dirt. So that tells me they thought he was a turf
horse. They got Derby fever (for 104 seconds) trying the dirt where he ran 7th fading
badly late beaten 10L+. Maybe it was the
ride and he truly was too close to the sun that day. He went to Lasix after that race so throw
that in the tea leaves. He trains great on dirt but how many turf horses train
great on dirt and then run poorly when they are asked for everything. Respectfully
I have to take a negative view on Speaker on dirt. I expect him to play a
little lower than the ML.
Obviously Mr. Speaker is a top class three year old. The
problem is the Travers is run on dirt not grass. The connections have every
right to take another shot on the dirt even though the first effort at GP was
not up to his normal runs. Excuses were
made about the ride that day. Generally every turf horse that runs poorly on
dirt gets a few excuses. The prospect of
a seven figure purse will drive you to rationalize anything. Who knows really
but Shug, who is a master, thinks Speaker will dirt in the afternoon. If he
doesn’t they still have an animal with a ton of ability that can then focus solely
on grass racing. I usually view dirt and turf ability as mutually exclusive at
the elite level of racing. I hope I am wrong and Mr. Speaker does a lot of talking
in the Travers.
I could not tell if Dixie Twist won it late at WO or the other fillies gave it away. Yes, we will see some nice 2 year olds over the next couple of months. Competitive Edge was by far the most impressive I have seen. He is and was no secret but I can't bet at 2-5 next out. Just watching and enjoying.
Has any other large race day had such a run of DQ's. Seems as soon as they cross the finish line the tote board lights are blinking.
An efficient rabbit does not run off alone in a 21/45 and
change splits. He pushes the pace of the lone F target building momentum to a point that they eventually weaken weaken from pressured company. It can work but is not fool proof. East coast route turf racing could use some efficient rabbits. I am tired of seeing 49/50 second half miles in turf stakes races. Bugs
Bunny what are you doing on Saturday afternoons?
Marquee day for sure however AP is now simply a second tier meet and still falling. The decline while predictable is sad.
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other passionate horse racing fans!