As bettor I want a universal standardization of decision criteria, consistency in application, and transparency. KEE does a good job of posting the steward ‘s DQ thought process on their web site. Most tracks do not.
Very intersting and timely pedigree profile on a NOW horse. I hope Danza is not a one hit wonder. We could use some quality in this crop as they sort themselves out. It "appears" Danza may be on the short list of those who might be able to handle the 10F Debry distance. Should know more by the end of day on May 3rd.
No malice at all towards a talented Bayern. Just don't see how folks saw value in 8-5. Your post mentions the horse missed two months. How did you rationalize taking the 8-5? Bayern figured to take pressure and did. I agree he ran a credible race with the obstacles he faced going in. At 8-5 he was a play against. Baffert is generally over bet and after all this game is about betting.
Love the Willie Beamin reference. The most angry I have ever been after a horse race was that one.
I play against heavy chalks. It can be an uphill battle when dealing with a champion. I will say if he is beaten I expect it to be from a speed type who gets away somehow. Wise Dan may be unbeatable here but at 1-5 he is also unbettable.
Every time a horse runs a number he is the next Seattle Slew. I don’t understand taking the low tote value of 7-5 in this spot. If he wins I miss $4.80. I think I can live with that. I would rather find an overlay hoping SI is good just not great. I lean to closers as this race has collapse potential with several who prefer the front end. The track announcer may be calling “BEEP, BEEP, BEEP” as they hit the 8th pole tomorrow.
Given WR's trip he should have won the race. Even comfortable splits ensured Wildcat would be there at end. He was but still lost. I give Cairo a pass due to outside trip into soft pace. Not sure if he is good enough for Roses though. Gen. A Rod ran merry go race. Constitution also got favorable trip with rail run. More upside likely although that goes against the reality of Team Todd underperforming in Louisville. This prep was better than LA Derby IMO.
I am with Laura on this one on this one winning the Derby. Going a bit further I cannot see Artie in the same zip code as Derby winners. I hope Ken Ramsay regains his senses pointing Artie in a more suitable direction in early May.
I see this one as similar to 2013's Itsmyluckyday. Lots of heart, good speed and if conditions are right don't underestimate him. There would have to be a strong speed bias for me to play this one at CD in May. Surprising fact you shared is the sires the 19% win rate on poly. Looks like more of a Kings Bishop type than Travers type to me.
Tmallios - Laurie's assessment of Almost Famous was not trashing the horse. It was one astute person's view. Our sport is based on this difference of opinion. I must say I simply love when writers use humor. We can read stale writing all day long at the DRF. An occassional one liner works well. Almost Famous is talented. I played him in the last race. His dam could run being genuine as the day is long. We will see who is right at least on the FOY Saturday. You will get a nice price on AF if you are right.
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