She's breaking from the rail in her initial start, it's an interesting field with 3 2nd time starters who hit the board 1st out and a big FTS Twirling Candy filly who sold for 600k+ in training a few months ago, the m/l favorite. Hollendorfer has a 1ster out of Speightstown, who has a right to be a runner. The reason I like this 16k yearling purchase, Reckless Charm, is that her trainer brought another maiden coming off a 200+ day layoff over to SA from training fast at Galaway Downs and he trounced the field. This one is working even faster than that one was. Her dam, Lottawampum, never won in only 2 starts, but she ran fast in both starts, just missing in her 2nd start, with a 85+ Beyer at SA, the same track this 2yo filly is starting at much later today. Not crazy about the rail draw but the works suggest speed in a field that may not be speed-laden. The price will be right and with a big carryover in the P-6, this filly could be the key in unlocking it.
I like this colt, but he's been slow to develop, yet all along with his turf breeding staring anyone who wants to look in the face, I thought after the great looking LS win, where he finished so well, the timing might be right to just see if he might be better suited to the turf. If he were to move up 10 points he'd be a major player in every important 3yo turf stake, perhaps following in the footsteps of his uncle, Kitten's Joy (the best 3yo turf colt in a generation, if not more).
This is what Gary Stevens, Firing Line's jockey, said about AP last year when AP's scratch for the BC was announced: “I’ve watched this horse and it’s like a 4-year-old against 2-year-olds,” said Gary Stevens, the Hall of Fame jockey. “Or maybe it’s like a pro basketball player against high school kids. He has beautiful
action, but also the intelligence to go with that athleticism.”
Firing Line and Stevens have been head and head with Dort and are coming off a stakes record in the Sunland Derby. I will be very curious how he rides FL in the big race, many assume he will gun for the lead, but I'm not sure that gives him his best chance to hit the board. I could see him trying to stalk and finish. I'm going to have to begrudgingly include him in my underneaths, because of his intimate knowledge of Dort and AP.
why do you hate baffert? seems like a good guy to me, granted I don't know him personally
interesting, those could be landing spots for Miss Temple City, also, depending upon how Motion wants to set-up the rematch. I would expect both to run solidly with the added distance. Thanks, much appreciated.
do you know what the distances of those races are? thanks
I mentioned Miss Temple City prior to the race as one not to sleep on and she provided a nice exacta return when she outgamed Sunset Glow for the 2nd spot (even as Rosario did everything in his power to prevent this from happening, including twice forcing Valenzuela to redirect his filly in the final 1/16th). Sunset Glow does not want to go this far, which obviously limits her on this continent. Lady Eli should be able to stretch out beyond the mile and there is no doubt that Miss Temple City would be best served going 1/8th mile further, at least. She was much closer to the pace than she wants to be, but this was a smart tactical decision to give her a shot at 2nd. Like Lady Eli, her best races are very much in front of her.
what's scary, to me, about him as that he won the wood so easily, in hand, never asked, that's exactly how you want a horse entering the derby (or any race)
if you like upstart shouldn't you be looking at Materiality, who trounced him after a 5f match race
so far - that's the point of Saturday, perhaps? I have no idea. I don't know why Z is in there. It's pointless.
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