Andy - Zee Bros. was beaten 54L in last four on dirt. His prep race was a KEE grass Alw spot. The Coach was 3 for his last 53 going turf to dirt. Need more?
Take Charge Brandi was beaten about 36L with BSF of 57/58/61 in her last three before the BC.That is about 30 points below the race par. Even knowing the race was being run over the 405 at Santa Anita was not enough for me to bet her.
To me the 29-1 and 60-1 were fair odds based on the form they were bringing into those races.
Good points Fred. I would say both had "current" form in the biggest race of the year - the Classic. Bayern won. Certainly Chrome had a tough schedule early then rested in a good call by Sherman. Bayern was in full gear mid to late season. That makes the decision all the tougher. Head to head Sunday Silence was 3-1 over Easy Goer. Head to head Bayern is 2-1 over Chrome. Enjoyed the dialogue. We shall see how the voters see it.
I would rate the BC Turf on par with most recent prior runnings.
The field cumulative earnings were nearing $13M. How tough was the Classic
after all the older defections and no Wicked Strong? You should not hold Bayern’s 2 non-graded races against him. Horses have to start somewhere. Chrome ran twice in CAL bred races do those count for or against Chrome? Most champions do not run in restricted races but why not take the easy money for public workouts.
For sure Chrome has the most loyal fans and a lovely backstory. The Chrome backers make a lot of excuses for the Belmont result (inside,ganged up on, foot, and tired). Fact was it was there for the taking having the whole stretch to make history but he came up nickel plated late. Give Chrome credit for his class something his owner lacked when the bright lights went on. In the Classic Chrome had a perfect trip but again could not go by Bayern. True champions
win off that trip.
So for me it comes to head to head in the absence of a definitive
answer. Bayern took that 2-1 on the track. I suspect you could ask knowledgeable horse people these questions and get the same answer – who would win a match race Bayern or Chrome? Who would you rather own? Who was the most brilliant on their best day? All of these questions are non-relevant to HOY or 3 year championship much like Bayern running in a MSW or Nw$X in 2014. Personally I would vote for Main Sequence for HOY and Bayern as 3 year old champ but can live with any of the three. All had superb years giving us some wonderful moments as fans.
Last year this was a weak renewal and not sure this year looks that much more promising. 2013 was an absolute staggerfest late with the Ria A past the wire move up. Puca is interesting with a family that can route. Expecting downward tote movement with that one. Conquest should cover the ground without issue. As to experts that “eat chalk” – it applies to many including Mike Battaglia but not fair to paint Laura with that brush. I am going Puca and Conquest while hoping SA is not a NHRA surface. Good luck to all.
I get your point Andy but when Verazanno went to Aidan O'Brien earlier did the USA consider him European or American. I suspect the latter.
I like the in depth analysis on this race. Seems wide open as usual with many inexperienced fillies. For the top slots I tend to lean to Fashion Alert with inside speed and exiting America's toughest circuit, Taylor S with off track pedigree and impressive crush job in debut and blue blood Gap Year despite tough post . The latter two will offer better value.
Enjoyed the analysis and stroll thru history. The BC juvie fillies
have been superb over the years. This was a fun read. Thanks for the video
links too. I simply love viewing old BC races.
The Pharoah ruled in the Futurity. The blinkers off seemed to do the trick. We need to see if he can back it up on dirt but he works well on it. I was against Skyway in Futurity. I believe Laura has him judged accurately. Laura also pegged Wake Up Nick in his debut as a quality animal. Well done.
Competitive Edge is currently a man among boys. His races remind
me of watching the Little League World Series. Teams with physically imposing 12 year olds winning. I expect the pack will gain on him as they mature. This happens every year. SAR sprint wins don’t normally translate to Roses in May but the Edge is an impressive juvenile.
If your are serious about racing I strongly recommend the Guide to Freshmen Sires. I purchased it and it already has paid dividends. It will give you an early edge on the herd in betting these juvenile races.
Copyright © 2010 -
other passionate horse racing fans!