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  • Stormy Regatta a game winner of the Riskaverse.Posted 7 hours ago
  • Da Big Hoss roles down the lane to score in the John's Call.Posted 1 day ago
  • Catch My Drift romps home a big winner in the Summer Colony.Posted 3 days ago
  • Jess's Dream, first foal and second runner of Rachel Alexandra, wins his career debut.Posted 3 days ago
  • Gary Stevens completes a big weekend with a Del Mar Mile win aboard Avanzare.Posted 4 days ago
  • Stallwalkin' Dude wins a three-horse photo thriller in the Tale of the Cat.Posted 4 days ago
  • Reporting Star gets to the wire first in Woodbine's Play the King.Posted 4 days ago
  • Beholder blitzes the boys in sensational style in the TVG Pacific Classic!Posted 5 days ago
  • Big John B powers home in the turfy Del Mar Handicap.Posted 5 days ago
  • Appealing Tale would not be denied in the Pat O'Brien.Posted 5 days ago

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Stakes Tracker - Probables

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Race Results & Past Performances

Date(Descending)
Tr
#
Dist.[Filter]
Sf.
$
Cnd
Race
1st
2nd
3rd
Time
View Details05/07/16CD991 1/4 mD03 MKentucky Derby-G1   0:00.00
View Details05/06/16CD991 1/8 mD03 FKentucky Oaks-G1   0:00.00
View Details11/27/15CD91 1/8 mD03+ MClark Handicap-G1   0:00.00
View Details11/26/15CD81 1/8 mD03+ FFalls City Hcp-G2   0:00.00
View Details10/31/15Kee101 mileT03+ MBreeders Cup Mile-G1   0:00.00
View Details10/31/15Kee111 1/4 mD03+ MBreeders Cup Classic-G1   0:00.00
View Details10/04/15Lon51 1/2mT03+ MPrix De l'Arc de Triomphe-G1   0:00.00
View Details10/03/15Bel91 1/4 mD03+ MJockey Club Gold Cup-G1   0:00.00
View Details09/26/15Bel11 1/8 mD03+ FBeldame-G1   0:00.00
View Details09/19/15Prx121 1/8 mD03 MPennsylvania Derby-G2   0:00.00
View Details09/13/15Lon51 1/2mT03+ FPrix Vermeille-G1   0:00.00
View Details09/13/15Lon71 mileT03+ MPrix du Moulin de Longchamp-G1   0:00.00
View Details09/13/15WO111 mileT03+ MWoodbine Mile-G1   0:00.00
View Details09/13/15Lon31 1/2mT03 MPrix Niel-G2   0:00.00
View Details09/13/15Lon61 1/2mT04+ MPrix Foy-G2   0:00.00
View Details09/12/15Leo51 mileT03+ FMatron Stakes-G1   0:00.00
View Details09/12/15Don41 13/16 mT03 MEnglish St. Leger-G1   0:00.00
View Details09/12/15Leo71 1/4 mT03+ MIrish Champion Stakes-G1   0:00.00
View Details09/07/15Sar27 fD02 MHopeful-G1   0:00.00
View Details09/05/15Sar97 fD02 FSpinaway-G1   0:00.00
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Older Comments...

Possibly when they have a horse of the caliber of American Pharoah ( multi dimensional freak of this century) running in a race with all closers, they should allocate some of the purse money to the leaders at all points of call. It should entice some early speed horses. Otherwise I really don't see the difference in American Pharoah's competition, and that faced by Spectacular Bid 25 years ago in this same race.
  • amino998 · Or use a mechanical rabbit loaded with carrots & peppermints if the imaginary rabbit just won't do · 17 hours ago
American Pharoah – this horse looks unbeatable, watch out for the graveyard of champions, the knocks are that he’s never raced here, and Baffert has bad luck at Saratoga. Frosted – always seems to come up second, maybe can turn it around in this race, working out well, hot jockey / trainer combo, might be the best bet to beat Pharoah. Texas Red – winner of the Jim Dandy, hasn’t gone this distance, we will see what Desormeaux can do against Pharoah. Just Missed – Keen Ice, second in Haskell; Tale of Verve, Gary Stevens can find a way.
Okay, can anyone please let me know if Upstart will scratch ? ? I thought he would have by now, but if he hasn't by now, he might run. But he's in the worst post possible . He'll have to get a good jump or miss the break because American Pharoah and Mid Ocean are going to get out fast . I think I'll put him in my full race preview .
OK, let me come out for Tale of Verve to squeeeeeze in past TR and ruin everybody's Super... e.g. my SF (boxed and bowed), is Frosted, AP, KI, Tale of Verve!
Don't worry, Taleb Nassem and his contraian ideas, are hard for the UN-enlightned to comprehend
As of now, I like Aljalela, Stormy Regatta and longshot Lola Beaux
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Amino did you see the Entries for Saturdays Race.At least we drew the Garden Spot. Although on paper Shared Belief is head and shoulders the best in here, this will not be as easy as some expected. To begin with, he is flying into Newark Airport(appx 6 hr. flight) . Then when he gets off the plane, he jumps in a van for a 6 hr. drive. For a horse that has never shipped before, this isn't exactly your First Class accomodations. Then he drew a dead mans post, he has post 4 with Moreno and Waroftheroses drawing outside of him. We at least drew good in this one. With a clean break, we are on the rail and tracking while saving ground for the "3 TURN TREK' . Thanks to my new hero ....Damon Dilodovico, a clean break by him will ensure that Moreno will not be walking the dog on the front end. Back to Marys favorite Monkey. What does Mikey now do,he must use the horse at the start so that he does not get shut off. If he takes back, he gets caught wide on the 3 turns. If you ask me,Smitty will have no other choice but to be aggressive and send. More than likely he is better than this group and can still win. But at least it will not be as easy a trip as i thought prior to all the entries. Hopefully Charles Town LEADING JOCKEY........JOSE MONTANO, who is the leading jockey in the funkiest race track in America, can secure a great trip. Thats' all we can ask for going into the race. If many think that the right Jock in these bull rings does not make a difference. Just ask Martin Pedroza and how he likes Fairplex.
  • Show All 4 Comments
  • Mary Z. · correction--Pletcher's A-Rod third and Dilger's Steet Babe for fourth. Thanks, tmallios :) · 134 days ago
  • amino998 · Everyone here should have read this great book and taken note at the under title..The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable :) · 5 hours ago
Come on big boy! I know you can do it!
Everyone here should read this great book and take note at the under title..The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable:
When one understands the practical application of the numbers from certainty (1) to impossible (0), it is inherent to understand that these extremes are only terminal boundaries, NOT practical points of the probability spectrum.....No horse in any race EVER had zero chance to do anything.
Tepin – lost by a nose in the Diana, winner of 3 of her last 4, fast speed, Leparoux knows the turf, I don’t think post 1 is a bad spot to be ion the turf. My Miss Sophia – hoping to rebound from 4th in the Diana, may like shorter distance, less pressure Kitten’s Queen – like the cat horses, knows the track, knows the distance, two 3rds preceded by 2 wins, hope Chad Brown and Jose Ortiz can get up to first. Just Missed – Coffee Clique.
La Verdad – fast, sports a lifetime 14-2-0 in 20 starts including winning her last 4, has gone the distance twice, and raced Saratoga 3 times, with one win. I like the trainer, Linda Rice, and she is working good. Wouldn’t be surprised if she is the morning line favorite. Merry Meadow – also fast, gone the distance 5 times, and hit the board in all three Saratoga starts (1 win). Winner of 4 of her last 5, hoping she is well rested for this one. Dame Dorothy – Pletcher loves Saratoga, and knows how to get his horses ready, Castellano is dangerous at the Spa as well. sports a 7-1-1 lifetime record in 9 starts, 4 wins in 4 starts at the distance! Hasn’t raced in 2 months and never at Saratoga are your negatives. Just Missed – Unbridled Forever
Grand Bili – Javier Castellano, running fast, 1-2-0 in 3 starts at this distance, working well, hope he can put up another 108. Holy Boss – Winner of the Amsterdam and his last 4 starts. Competitive Edge – that hot Pletcher / Johnny Velazquez combination, 2 wins in 3 starts at this distance, 2 wins at Saratoga, rattled off 4 wins before coming up short his last 2, one of which was the Haskell against Pharoah. Hoping they have him keyed in for this one. Just Missed – Mr. Z, this is a derby championship series runner, who went up against the likes of American Pharoah, Hoping that D Wayune Lucas has him back on track, he has the talent to win this, working well, hope he likes the shorter distance; Watershed, just because he’s a maiden winner, doesn’t mean he can’t compete.
Imagining -working well, hot jockey / trainer combo, gone the distance, knows the track, lots to like here. Twilight Eclipse -fast horse, gone the distance 9 times, graded stakes experience, hope Rosario gets it done. Red Rifle – the horses have all raced each other before, winner of his last 2, last win at Saratoga, Pletcher trained Just Missed – Flintshire watch out for those imports.
The Big Beast – I love this horse, and he loves Saratoga, just a nose short in the Vanderbilt, fast, lifetime 8 4-2-1, Won 2 and a second at Saratoga, 1 win in 2 starts at distance. I think he get’s revenge today. Private Zone – working bullets, has the speed, tons of graded stakes experience, seems to win every other race, a lot to like here. Race Day – again liking the Pletcher / Castellano connection, racing well until bumped in last start, hope he likes the shorter distance, winner of 5 of his last 6 before poor finish last time out. Just Missed – Wildcat Red, Salutos Amigos, Falling Sky – seems to like the 7 furlong distance
$20 Superfecta... AP on top..then Keen Ice, Frosted, Texas Red in that order. Frosted almost caught TR in the Jim Dandy.... Frosted catches TR @ 1 1/4 Ticket will pay $600
I think that American Pharaoh should target penn derby after he might win the travers stakes
The only way Flintshire loses the Sword Dancer Invitational is if rain were to hit Saratoga just prior to the race and puts a bunch of cut in the ground. But if the track stays fast/firm ground, which is the type of ground Flintshire is at his best over, he'll win this race by daylight with Twilight Eclipse as his closest competitor, IMO.
nah its a cake walk they have zero chance to beat this guy! he looks better then ever and his last work sealed the deal.
Stellar Wind is entered in the 3rd race on the 30th at Del Mar. GoooooCurlin.