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  • Spanish Queen impressive in her Honeymoon victory.Posted 1 day ago
  • Loki's Vengeance scores in the Affirmed Success.Posted 1 day ago
  • Private Zone takes the Churchill Downs Stakes, Bayern last.Posted 2 days ago
  • Tonalist returns a solid winner in the Westchester.Posted 2 days ago
  • Dame Dorothy edges Judy The Beauty in the Humana Distaff.Posted 2 days ago
  • Divisidero gobbles them up late to win the American Turf.Posted 2 days ago
  • Competitive Edge remains perfect with a romping win in the Pat Day Mile.Posted 2 days ago
  • International Star has been scratched from the Kentucky Derby.Posted 2 days ago
  • Lovely Maria and Boo Boo Clark strike to victory in the Kentucky Oaks for Jones & Jones.Posted 3 days ago
  • El Kabeir has been scratched out of the Kentucky Derby.Posted 3 days ago

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Stakes Tracker - Probables

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Race Results & Past Performances

Date(Descending)
Tr
#
Dist.[Filter]
Sf.
$
Cnd
Race
1st
2nd
3rd
Time
View Details11/27/15CD91 1/8 mD03+ MClark Handicap-G1   0:00.00
View Details11/26/15CD81 1/8 mD03+ FFalls City Hcp-G2   0:00.00
View Details09/19/15Prx121 1/8 mD03 MPennsylvania Derby-G2   0:00.00
View Details08/31/15Sar27 fD02 MHopeful-G1   0:00.00
View Details08/30/15Sar91 3/8 m T03+ FGlens Falls-G3   0:00.00
View Details08/29/15Sar117 fD03+ MForego-G1   0:00.00
View Details08/22/15Sar77 fD03+ FBallerina-G1   0:00.00
View Details08/16/15Sar51 1/2mT03+ MSword Dancer Invitational-G1   0:00.00
View Details07/05/15WO991 1/4 mS03 MQueen's Plate   0:00.00
View Details07/04/15Bel981 1/4 mT03 FBelmont Oaks-G1   0:00.00
View Details06/17/15Asc31 1/4 mT04+ MPrince of Wales's Stakes-G1   0:00.00
View Details06/16/15Asc11 mileT04+ MQueen Anne Stakes-G1   0:00.00
View Details06/07/15SA11 1/16 mD03 MAffirmed-G3   0:00.00
View Details06/06/15Bel81 1/16 mD04+ FOgden Phipps Hcp.-G1   0:00.00
View Details06/06/15Bel891 mileD03 FAcorn-G1   0:00.00
View Details06/06/15Bel66 fT04+ MJaipur-G3   0:00.00
View Details06/06/15Bel11 mileD03+ MMetropolitan Hcp. (Met Mile)-G1   0:00.00
View Details05/31/15Bel101 1/8 mT03 FWonder Again   0:00.00
View Details05/24/15Cur41 5/16 mT04+ MTattersalls Gold Cup-G1   0:00.00
View Details05/17/15Tok11 mileT04+ FVictoria Mile-G1   0:00.00
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Older Comments...

As much as I thought AP was a super horse coming into the derby based on how easy he made things look in the Reb and AD as well as the way he was training, I suspect something is going on with this horse health wise. We all know he runs with a plate in his left front but the way he washed out so badly going into the gate (first time I have seen that from him), the way he was whipped to oblivion coming down the stretch and then the way he jogged back to the winner circle all tell me this horse has something that he is dealing with. Coming back in two weeks will be very difficult for this horse. I don't see him improving with the short turn around. I hate to piss on anyone's party and I hope I am wrong but I would not be surprised if this horse shuts it down. We all know trainers doctor these horses up (yes even the great ones) but not sure he is fine. I did very well on the derby but will probably watch the Preakness hoping I am wrong.
  • icyhotboo · I think his problem in the KD was the extreme outside PP. If Sanford hadn't scratched and he was coming out of the #18 PP he would have had an extremely hard time establishing position like he did. This is something Victor Espinoza said. For myself it made the difference between betting and watching. · 10 minutes ago
The times in the derby are a direct correlation with the track conditions. Alysheba, smarty jones, charismatic, and others all ran 2:03+. A turd like monarchos ran sub 2:00. Spectacular bid, 2:02.4. Is monarchois really a better horse than spectacular bid by 3 seconds over 1 1/4 miles? Sunday silence ran 2:05, and beat easy goer, two of the best horses ever supposedly would have gotten beat by 30 lengths by monarchos? They'll never let the track get like that again. When Monarchos threatened secretariats record, it was never going to be allowed that a horse would threaten 2:00 again. These times are simply a reflection of track conditions, not a reflection of quality of the horses involved. It was a strong field, baffert went out and did exactly what he wanted, had dortmund and AP control the pace of the race and duke it out in the last 8th. It was a perfect setup not a "slow" race time
  • Show All 3 Comments
  • Jay Harrison via Disqus · This race could of easily went in 2:01 with the fractions being what they were for the first mile of the race. The fact is they slowed considerably, which had nothing to do with track conditions IMO. · 14 minutes ago
  • travel_vic · Monarchos was the 3rd fastest run of all time and his races coming in were right in the middle of the standard energy requirements to win this and the most consistently run in the last 25 runnings of that race. He was excellent, and miles above his competition. His run would have destroyed this field EASILY. Up front they went 44 4/5, 109 1/5, 1:35, finishing in 1:59.97 He was 10th at the 6f, 6th at the head of the stretch hen closed in 24 flat...HARDLY a turd...Investigate before your ignorance is exposed for what it is. · 12 minutes ago
Despite the fact that he washed out, started from the 15 post and had a less than stellar ride by his Jockey, he still Won the Race. How many lengths would American Pharoah need to win the Preakness by to say, "That is a good horse?"
A rabbit....okay....Competitive Edge is no RABBIT and has just a good of chance of winning the Preakness as Firing Line or Dortmund. Now Am Pharoah is a great horse who got one of the 4 best posts in the derby, but anything can happen. That race may have taken a lot out of him. Competitive Edge is my pick to win the Preakness and Materiality is my pick to win the Belmont.
  • https://www.facebook.com/fiddl · Took the words right out of my mouth... if I had to guess now that is. A lot can happen between then and now though. Obviously need to see The Preakness and Peter Pan Stakes, and watch workouts, and see how the horses health progresses. I think it will be between Competitive Edge and AP, could go either way. But I won't snub my nose and the other contenders, this year's class is incredible... I really think Materiality or Frosted could win The Belmont. Materiality's running style is generally better in The Belmont. · 34 minutes ago
The Tin Man, a popular multiple grade I-winning gelding who raced through age 9, died April 29 at age 17 in Santa Ynez, Calif. Bred and owned by Ralph and Aury Todd and trained by Richard Mandella, The Tin Man earned $3,663,780, winning 13 of 31 starts. His biggest victories included the 2006 Arlington Million (gr. IT), the 2002 and 2006 editions of the Clement L. Hirsch Memorial Turf Championship (gr. IT), and the 2007 Shoemaker Mile (gr. IT), the latter at age 9. Victor Espinoza, who piloted American Pharoah to victory in the May 2 Kentucky Derby Presented by Yum! Brands (gr. I), rode The Tin Man in the Arlington Million and recalled what a thrill it was to win that race."He was one of my favorite horses," Espinoza said of the Kentucky-bred son of Affirmed—Lizzie Rolfe, by Tom Rolfe. "He was so nice and kind. He was an amazing horse. I always rode that horse with so much confidence. I always trusted that when I needed him in a race that I knew he was going to respond." Article on Bloodhorse
Beyer speed figures are BS. Anyone who bets based on beyer speed figures will surely be a loser. Its one guys opinion of the track conditions plus some other bs formula stats. Its a terrible way to judge horses and more importantly its a terrible way to bet on them
This is anually one of my favorite races on the calendar. At one point this was looking like an absolute showdown but with the lackluster performances by Honor Code and Bayern this weekend and the injuries to Palace Malice(still may run) and Shared Belief has this race lost some of its potential luster? Thoughts?
  • Jay Harrison via Disqus · From what I read it sounds like Palace Malice is fine and that Todd even wants to get a race into him before the Met Mile, which is great news. All the big boys will show up and run their race I believe, as we all know each horse loves the track. Of course I hope Palace Malice can repeat and beat what will be another really good field. Met Mile never seems to disappoint for horse power. · 50 minutes ago
The times in the derby are a direct correlation with the track conditions. Alysheba, smarty jones, charismatic, and others all ran 2:03+. A turd like monarchos ran sub 2:00. Spectacular bid, 2:02.4. Is monarchois really a better horse than spectacular bid by 3 seconds over 1 1/4 miles? Sunday silence ran 2:05, and beat easy goer, two of the best horses ever supposedly would have gotten beat by 30 lengths by monarchos? They'll never let the track get like that again. When Monarchos threatened secretariats record, it was never going to be allowed that a horse would threaten 2:00 again. These times are simply a reflection of track conditions, not a reflection of quality of the horses involved. It was a strong field, baffert went out and did exactly what he wanted, had dortmund and AP control the pace of the race and duke it out in the last 8th. It was a perfect setup not a "slow" race.
What if Dortmund finished last in the Derby and Baffert came out and said the reason for the failed showing was because he had a bout with colic a week before? The uproar would of been astounding.
  • https://www.facebook.com/john. · I am still a bit bothered by it. I am not a vet or expert, I don't know what the effects of a "slight" bout with colic entails but it would have been nice to know before the race. · 54 minutes ago
I guess ...but the track bias was super fast on dirt ...all the races were fast ...noone came from off the pace yesterday on the dirt
  • kapp123 via Disqus · Except that 25-1 shot. · 1 day ago
  • travel_vic · MOST race tracks favor speed on the main dirt oval...It is just a matter of physiology · 56 minutes ago
No one understands the importance of post position in derby. You want to just scream out your picks before the draw. AP and Frosted drew the best in the field. AP is the best horse, but with an inside post AP would have been beaten by a head by Firing Line. That was one race....Frosted is nothing more then a place show horse....has no chance to win Belmont.....AP may win triple crown, but we will see what that race took out of him. I will take my chances with your so called "RABBIT" to go wire to wire.....Dortmund will take back and so will Firing Line.
  • Show All 3 Comments
  • cugel the clever · You're wrong. Frosted has a big chance in the Belmont. He had a bad start, ran further than AP, and closed 4 lengths on him in the last 2F. He will be fresh in the Belmont and given a smaller field and a decent start, will reel in AP in the stretch, as will Materiality. · 1 hour ago
  • travel_vic · IMPOSSIBLE to predict a winner in a race that has not even been put together yet. Much can happen at Baltimore and before they try 12f......Far too early. · 57 minutes ago
It will be another California Chrome type of triple crown year. Based on the KD, Pharoah should coast to a win in the Preakness. Frosted and Materiality will skip the Preakness and focus on the Belmont and both will beat AP in the Belmont. Both had terrible starts in the KD and both made up lots of ground (4 lengths in the last 2F for Frosted and 6 lengths in the last 2F for Materiality) against slow fractions. This bodes well for them in the Belmont as does the fact that they'll be fresher than AP.
The two most unattainable records in sports are Gretzky's points record in hockey and Secretariat's Belmont. Any opinions?
  • Show All 5 Comments
  • Mary Z. · rafi's ROI, Kelso's HOTY streak, Woody Stephens' Belmont winners streak. How do those girl gymnasts keep straight faces when they land on the balance beam. Not a record, but omg. · 2 hours ago
  • tmallios via Disqus · Mary gets the prize,for her top selection. Did you enjoy the Derby Mary????? Unless Vyjack shows up on Belmont Stakes Day,looks as though i will be a no-show.All signs are pointing to another run at the Triple Crown. I can't go through a repeat of last year. · 1 hour ago
If as expected A.P. dusts off the Preakness field ,and heads to the Big Apple seeking the Triple Crown. Be advised that pedigree for 12F or to some,lack of it . That this will be the reason that he won't win the Crown. His chances will be gauged on the same parameters that California Chrome had to deal with. How will he handle the 3 races in 5 weeks. That is what people should be focusing on. Not if he is bred or not. He has already shown he is superior in talent to any of these horses. So beating them again will hardly be a chore. As i stated earlier,APs' chances are a bit better. The Belmont will only be his 5th race of the year.
  • Show All 7 Comments
  • tmallios via Disqus · TD i know you won't take my word for it. Ask JByrnes and i think Brian Shaw,exactly when i said........And i quote "Head and Shoulders" above this group. · 2 hours ago
  • Mary Z. · td you weird troll liar. · 2 hours ago
many colts have RELISHED the Belmont distance, including last year's winner.....No historical perspective creates ignorant comments
  • Steve Holmes via Disqus · If AP is healthy he will have no problem with Belmont 1 1/2. I worry he isn't right after watching him wash out so badly · 21 hours ago
  • amino998 · travel_vic · "when stamina disappears (which is born out by earlier and earlier energy distiributions of animals) the ones that are left SURVIVE the distances, they don't WIN" ... or they RELISH the distance while WINNING depending on one's PERSPECTIVE that day :) · 2 hours ago
his time was faster then c.c !!
  • slewcrew7778 · So much for a Derby winner with Storm Cat in their pedigree, curse. How about ST in the pedigree of the 1st three finishers! · 3 hours ago
  • jonathanpoker · His time was slower than AK. If you can't guess i'm an AK fan. · 2 hours ago
If there was a Belmont future...I think I have my horse....Horse had no shot in the derby....He will win the Belmont.
Firing Line and Dortmund have no chance of winning this race...The only chance Firing LIne had was if Dortmund didn't run....This is either Comp Edge or AP...with a 5 percent shot that International Star can improve over his recent figs...but I seriously doubt it.
I never really bought into the Ascot idea unless de Kock was going to give him a rest in the UK. That's not the meet you want to go to with a colt that's still a maiden on the turf.
  • Mary Z. · Please translate your last paragraph. Sounds freaky, but interesting. Thanks. · 3 hours ago
  • Mary Z. · Oh, is group 1 hot? And the Thai food makes you amorous? · 3 hours ago
I've been trying to tell people about this horse and now maybe they will learn. When Long Dong speaks, you would do yourselves a favor to listen.
  • Mary Z. · Plenty of regulars here have followed this turf horse for years. You have a way weird porny username. Was threeinches taken? · 3 hours ago