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2011 Breeders Cup Turf (G1)

Date/Track:
11/5/2011, Churchill Downs
Post Time:
4:45 PM ET
Distance:
1 1/2m (Turf)
Age/Sex:
3+ M
Time:
2:28.85

Super Screener Winning Criteria - Turf

  • Rule #1 - Eurozone - Despite making up only 37% of the field, Euro runners have won 10 of the past 14 races (71%).
  • Rule #2 - Luck of the Irish - Excluding Red Rock Canyon (a rabbit), there have been 10 BC Turf runners from the Irish Champion (G1) at Leopardstown.  9 of those 10 runners finished in the trifecta, including 3 winners.  Of that group, those that did not come to North America for a final prep are a perfect 7 for 7 hitting the board.   
  • Rule #7 - Speed Kills -  Since 1999, there hasn't been a wire-to-wire Turf winner.  Since 2000, only 3 wire types have held for the Super (7% rate). 
  • For all 10 rules for this race and all Breeders' Cup races, get your copy of the 2011 Breeders' Cup Super Screener.

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Older Comments about the 2011 Breeders Cup Turf (G1)...

This was my favorite St Nicholas Abbey race for obvious reasons.
  • Show All 4 Comments
  • buckpasser · Was extremely sad to hear of his death. · 225 days ago
  • EP Taylor · Top Shelf horse. My favorite race of his was The Sheema Classic 13. Beating the the great mare Gentiledonna. · 224 days ago
3 rd Brilllian Speed
1 st St Nicholas Abbey
Sarafina looks beautiful!! and Extremely well behaved.
It hard to not go for a Euro in this spot. Sea Moon is the pick for me, had a rough trip in the St. leger and was full of run. He should be able to handle the Churchill strip just fine. I also like Dean's Kitten and think he could pull of a mild upset. The son of Ktten's Joy looks primed for his best yet.
Turf Trifecta: 2 Sarafina, 6 Await The Dawn, 9 Midday
So out of all the 9 horses entered in the Breeders' Cup Turf, None of them are coming into this race off Wins!!
Wow, amazing stats on the Euros. Check them out on this page. Nice job, guys!
Sarafina draws the #2 and is 5-2 in the BC Turf.
Tri/super box the euros then go cash your tix. Weather looks ok next week, maybe a few showers. Firm to good if that holds.
What is the likely going for the Turf this year Guys?? it could be very telling on the euros chances, if its quickish then id be with the O Brien pick probably SNA, what the weather at Churchill been doing??
good grief!! take DEan's Kitten at least he's honest. did anyone see Sarah Lynx-she for real?
This yr could have 6 or 7 Euros.....wow......
Sarafina now a DEFINATE........she will be fav and probable winner.....HUGE news
If Danedream comes she will break the trend of no Arc winner winning on BC day. She will win.
For the record, I have Sarafina, Earnestly, Nathaniel, and Reliable Man all 4 listed among potential horses for this year's Breeders Cup Turf because all 4 of them have won "win and your in" races for the B.C. Turf now. Although, I have the Japanese horse Earnestly and the King George winner, Nathaniel, listed as "unlikely" because connection's of both horses stated to HRTV via telephone that both are unlikely to come. Earnestly's connection's through a translator said he'll most likely stay in Japan, while trainer John Gosden told HRTV on the phone from London that Nathaniel also isn't likely to leave Europe this year, but his horse that ran 4th in today's Prix Niel, Colombian, may come instead? Hence, Colombian's name also added as "possible'? Sarafina has an automatic berth for her Grand Prix De Saint-Cloud win, and Reliable Man for his Prix Niel win today. I still have listed as "possible" because no word either way has been relayed concerning their status for the race from trainer Alan Du Royer-Dupre, and he likely won't make a final decision until he see's how Sarafina and Reliable Man come out of this year's Prix De l' Arc De Triomphe?
  • medlocke · To my mind, this year's Breeders Cup Turf looks like it's going to be a ton deeper than last yea'r Turf won by Dangerous Midge. It actually has the potential to be one of the deepest B.C. Turf field's ever. Provided all or most of the European G1 winners who have already have "win and your in" berths participate this year? JMO. · 1081 days ago
Even in his European races, Cape Blanco has looked at his best in his 10f races. I.E., his win over Workforce in the G2 Dante Stakes at York, and his win over Rip Van Winkle and Twice Over in the G1 Irish Champion Stakes at Leopardstown. But now that Cape Blanco has his "win and your in" berth for this year's Breeders Cup Turf by winning the G1 Arlington Million. Make no mistake, Cape Blanco also stays 12f plenty effectively enough to be a major player in the Breeders Cup Turf!! In 2010, he won the G1 Irish Derby over 12f, and he ran 2nd behind Harbinger in the G1 King George VI and Queen Elizabeth Stakes over 12f. Even though Harbinger was much the best that day in the King George. Let's not forget that Cape Blanco had 3-time Arc runner-up Youmzain, Hong Kong Vase winner Daryakana, and Epsom Derby and Arc winner Workforce 3-1/4+ lengths behind him at Ascot in that race over 12f!!
Hard to think about Saturday's King George VI and Queen Elizabeth Stakes without the fatal breakdown of Rewilding coming to mind. But by virtue of him winning the King George, Nathaniel also secured the last automatic "win and your in slot" into this year's Breeders Cup Turf field. So if he so chooses? Trainer John Gosden can now bring Nathaniel to Churchill Downs in November to run in this year's Breeders Cup Turf without having to worry about supplementing him into the race.

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