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Joshua Tree back in form for Canadian International

10/13/2012 11:04 AM
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No stranger to Woodbine, #8 Joshua Tree took the 2010 edition of the Canadian International in what was a dramatic, noses-apart finish.  Just after that race, Joshua Tree spent his 4 year-old racing season searching to regain his 3 year-old glory before flashing his brilliance once again in the 2011 edition of the Canadian International with a sharp 2nd place finish.  After a sluggish start in his races this past Winter and Spring, he appears to have finally found that winning stride and will be a dangerous foe in the Canadian International.  When at his best, Joshua Tree's best weapon is his deadly turn of foot.  Given pace analysis, I expect him to be sitting 4th or 5th early on before unleashing his late fury as he attempts to hold off the advances of #3 Forte Dei Marmi, #6 Wigmore Hall and #7 Reliable Man #3 Forte Dei Marmi is my top North American pick here to hit the board (and possibly an upset win) at generous odds.  #7 Reliable Man appears to be an up and comer and deserves respect.  We all know how successful Irish-breds are on the Woodbine turf and particularly in this race.  He'll lay close to the leaders early and will be well positioned in the stretch.  #10 Imperial Monarch, another Irish bred, is the lone 3 year-old in the field.  Certainly an in-the-money finish is possible but against these, I think he'll need a race.

The Wager:

$1 Superfecta 8 with 3,6,7,10 with 1,3,4,6,7,9,10 with All

$1 Trifecta 3,6,7 with 8 with 1,3,4,6,7,9,10

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Older Comments about Joshua Tree back in form for Canadian International...

Given how much Joshua Tree likes the turf course at Woodbine, and his last 3 races prior to today coming had produced a 2nd in the G2 Princess of Wales Stakes, 1st in the G2 Prix Kergolay, and 3rd in the G2 Prix Foy, it was not think he had a big chance of winning the G1 Canadian International Stakes again. That being said, Dandino ran a monster race in 2nd and was closing down Joshua Tree like a shot through the stretch. Another 10 or 15 yards max in that race and Jim Crowley may have stolen Frankie Dettori's thunder at Woodbine today, IMO.
Watched the race again, and really Dettori gave him a masterful ride, saving ground, taking advantage of the preserved 1-2-3 lanes. Joshua Tree, though, all class. I love the Montjeu's. My show pick--Air Support--ran respectably to finish 5th...I might point out.
Also came up that fast rail
Irish bred does it again.....Forget the rest, just bet the IRISH
Excellent ride to fool the deep movers. Bravo
Old seconditis Khali. On paper he should have won several but this one cannot get there
Al Khali scratched due to yielding turf...
8,7,4,3
My vet connection says that all are thriving in the barns. She think Kissable does NOT act like her name and to quote her "is a nasty little BI*CH."
My pick.
Hey, why you don't hold Imperial Monarch to the standard of the other Euro shippers? He will likely be the pace, and his lone poor performance was due to a horrible trip in the French Derby - seriously go watch him get bounced and steadied, yet still find a way outside to make a decent rally.
Rain has tapered off but it was steady all night long.
Only ONE wire to wire winner in the last 20- 30 runnings. That was in a small field with few European invaders. Used to be a dirt contest held at old Longbranch and Dufferin race courses. A British COlumbia holds the record, amongst a few others, for winning this one twice. One has to go back to 1999 to find any other than a Euro invader to win it.
Contenders:10 Imperial Monarch (IRE) 6 Wigmore Hall (IRE) * 7 Reliable Man (GB)...Hell add the other Irish bred Wigmore to the mix......Last few years a flat bet on all Irish breds was a positive return. 3 Forte Dei Marmi (GB) does not like firm turf so the weather will help that one. 6 Wigmore Hall (IRE) has had gate problems over the years. Reliable Man (GB) does not like firm turf. Al Khali ALWAYS finds a way to lose races here on this course with something like 4 seconds....The weather tonight, RAIN after 6 PM which continues as this is written at midnight, is playing right into their hands. They will race in lane one which has been protected all week.

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