Monday's 4th race from Turf Paradise is a $16,000 ($20k Arizona-bred) claiming event for fillies and mares dashing five and one-half furlongs on the main track.
#1 Maria Lake (6-1) made a middle move into above par splits before losing ground in the lane vs. this kind at 6.5f Jan 11 and the runner-up came back to win. She has fired Exacta shots in 4 of 5 starts at this trip and attracts recently hot rider Franco. She hails from a profitable low profile barn and is entered to be claimed for $20k as the lone AZ-bred in the field. The 4-time local winner projects a ground saving tactical trip.
#5 Lady Jila (3-1) has a nose for the wire and is probably the one to catch. She likes this course/distance and has captured 5 of her last 7.
#6 Quinnette (7-2) chased Lady Jila home last time and will try to get involved late under new pilot Von Rosen. She hails from a hot barn but it is not easy for sustained runners to get up at this distance here.
$12 to win #1
$6 Exacta Box 1-5 ($12)
$3 Exacta Box 1-6 ($6)
analysis by Jarrod Horak