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Breeders Cup 2015
2017 Queen's Plate

Wide Open Bourbenette

3/21/2014 3:09 AM
Track:
Author:
Amount Bet:
$48.00
Amount Cashed:
$0.00

 

While what the title suggests is true, I do like a certain box play in this race.  4,6,7,9 tri and super box.  Hoping to sprinkle some prices in the mix, but no matter how I broke the race down, it just kept coming back to these 4 as the top contenders for me.  Here's my analysis...Sloan Square is M/L favorite, and rightfully so.  She's done nothing wrong in her career so far, and has even posted nice works over syns in training if that was your only knock against her.  She's very well bred (Giant's Causeway out of an Unbridled's Song mare) so it doesn't seem the syns or the distance will be a problem for this filly.  Super Sky (this is the price play I'm fond of) has one race over the syns in which she came home the final quarter in 12 secs flat over the tricky 7F distance.  Her momentum didn't appear to be stopping so I'm hoping this daughter of Sky Mesa that was purchased for $235K gets back to her winning ways on the syns (the only surface she's won on thus far).  Aurelia's Belle is coming off a bullet work at KEE, and has done very little wrong in her career.  And then there's the Maker factor with Shanon Nicole.  I have this strange feeling Rosie is making the Turfway trip more for this filly than the longshot possibility of Harry's Holiday in the Spiral...GL, everyone!
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Older Comments about Wide Open Bourbenette...

9th race - Turfway Park - Saturday, March 22, 2014 Pgm Horse Win Place Show 7 Ghost Is Clear 3.80 2.60 2.10 8 Keg Party 7.00 4.00 4 Sniper 4.40 $2 Daily Double 5-7 39.80 $2 Exacta 7-8 38.00 $2 Superfecta 7-8-4-5 656.80 $2 Trifecta 7-8-4 242.00
like Aurelia's Belle..she's run against solid competition in the last two and taking longshots Stormy Novel (first time stretching out but some upside and with Bernardini should handle the distance) and Super Sky (Pletcher at 12-1 odds worth a shot)
Contenders: 9 Shanon Nicole 7 Aurelia's Belle 4 Sloane Square 8 Swiss Lake Yodeler 6 Super Sky Another wide open contest 3 10 go out on the pace then a group, 4 6 7 8 9 chase them. Would be VERY observant if any bias is there today. This, like the Spiral, would require a large ticket to cover exotics In exotics there is always some pace setter hanging on longer than expected.