Ticker
  • Secretariat winner Highland Reel goes all the way in the Group 1 King George.Posted 32 minutes ago
  • Enola Gray remains undefeated in 3 starts after running away with the Fleet Treat.Posted 14 hours ago
  • Heavily favored Enola Gray makes short work of her competition in the Fleet Treat.Posted 14 hours ago
  • Ancient Secret takes the Lake George (G2).Posted 18 hours ago
  • Sweet Loretta the strong winner of the Schuylerville (G3).Posted 19 hours ago
  • Pretty N Cool flaunts her class in the C.E.R.F. Stakes at Del Mar.Posted 2 days ago
  • Superstar turf horse, Postponed will not defend in Saturday's King George due to respiratory infection.Posted 3 days ago
  • Midnight Storm proves too tough to pass in the Grade 2 Eddie Read.Posted 5 days ago
  • Barleysugar (10-1) makes short work of the Sandy Blue in her U.S. debut.Posted 5 days ago
  • Miss Freeze (8-1) ices her competition with a debut win in the Lynbrook Stakes.Posted 5 days ago

Saint Prado in mild Sunland Derby upset

3/23/2013 4:49 PM
Track:
Author:

 

POST TIME 7:40 PM EDT -- This year's edition of the G3 Sunland Derby may lack star power but a contentious field of 9 will assemble in the starting gate with a shot to earn valuable Derby points.  The Pletcher horse, #2 Abraham, is the only one in here to have already negotiated the 1 1/8 miles distance.  It looks as though this colt will figure in the early pace along with #9 Show Some Magic and possibly #8 Mudflats.  Baffert's pair will take a lot of wagering dollars with #4 Shakin It Up the likely favorite.  His workmate, #7 Govenor Charlie has been the AM target but may be just as good as #4 Shakin It Up.  Neither strikes me as a classic distance horse with both being out of Midnight Lute.  After perusing the field, of the local horses, #6 Dry Summer seems to have the decided edge.  Of the shippers from barns other than Baffert and Pletcher, #5 Saint Prado strikes me as a solid value choice despite being ridden by Rafael Bejarano.  His come backer after that 8 months grazing the field, was visually and numerically impressive.  His breeding shouts classic distance and though one would think turf, that dirt test in his maiden win provides support on this Sunland surface.  I would expect to see this one sitting three back from the pace setters negotiating a modest pace before engaging all comers as they hit mid-stretch.  Conditioning remains a big question (despite the noteworthy works) with the move from 7 to 9 furlongs and making just his second start off the very long layoff, but odds at post time will determine the risk/value opportunity.  I would want 9-1 or higher. 

The Wager:

$1 Superfecta 5 with 1,2,6,7 with All with 1,2,6,7

$1 Trifecta 2,5,6,7 with 5,7 with All

comments powered by Disqus

Older Comments about Saint Prado in mild Sunland Derby upset...

Contenders: 4 Shakin It Up 6 Dry Summer 2 Abraham 7 Govenor Charlie

Plays

This play does not have any play types assigned.