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Mylute is a Jim Dandy

7/27/2013 4:58 AM
Author:
Amount Bet:
$66.00
Amount Cashed:
$0.00

 

JIM DANDY STAKES

After taking a sabbatical from horse racing and the Triple Crown trail, I’m ready to dive back in.  What strikes my interest is the prelude for the Travers Stakes, the Jim Dandy Stakes.  They’ll be going 1 mile and 1/8, to try and indicate who might be the frontrunner for the 3 Year Old of the year.  In what looks to be an enigmatic bunch, let’s take a look at the field:

1 – BASHAAR(15-1, Tr. Daniel Peitz; Jy. Javier Castellano.  Sire-Street Cry; Broodmare Sire-Dixieland Band.  Career: 8-2-1-1, $106,182) Newcomer to the Graded-stakes scene, he came firing in his last race, the Iowa Derby, after being pinched back at the start, to just miss.   He does show a propensity for closing, as of late, and the addition of Castellano can only help, since he has emerged as the leading jockey, early in the Saratoga meet.

2 – CODE WEST(6-1, Tr. Bob Baffert; Jy. Joel Rosario.  Sire-Lemon Drop Kid; Broodmare Sire-Saint Ballado.  Career: 10-3-4-2, $260,476)  Baffert has shown a lot of discipline, when it comes to this one.  Somewhat mysterious, is the fact that he was eligible to run in the Triple Crown, ran at Churchill on the Derby undercard, and then two weeks later on the Preakness card, but never ran in the TC.  Now, he comes in off of a 2-race win streak, picks up the services of hot jock Rosario, and looks to take up the charge for the 3YO Eclipse award.

3 – WILL TAKE CHARGE(12-1, Tr. D. Wayne Lukas; Jy. Junior Alvarado.  Sire-Unbridled’s Song; Broodmare Sire- Dehere.  Career: 10-3-1-0, $545.371)  Lukas has enjoyed a good year, after having been absent in most recent years.  This charge showed some promise at Oaklawn, winning 2-of-3, and most noteably, beating stablemate Oxbow in the Rebel Stakes.  He participated in all three legs of the Triple Crown, but his performance has waned, finishing a combined 45 lengths behind, never better than seventh.  WTC has encountered problems in his last four races, so, Lukas is taking off the blinkers after 8 straight races, and assigns new rider, Alvarado.  Maybe equipment change will improve his luck?

4 – MORENO(10-1, Tr. Eric Guillot; Jy. Jose Ortiz.  Sire-Ghostzapper; Broodmare Sire-A.P.Indy.  Career: 11-2-3-1, $215,440)  This gelding took 10 races and a change of coasts, in order to break his maiden.  He came right back to wire the field in the Gotham Stakes(Grade II).  His sudden turn of luck has his trainer singing high praises for him.  He says that if his charge gives his A-game effort, that he could beat Palace Malice by twelve, pulling away.  Guillot is oozing with confidence.   We’ll see if he’s whistling Dixie, or not.

5 – PALACE MALICE(5-2, Tr. Todd Pletcher; Jy. Mike Smith.  Sire-Curlin; Broodmare Sire-Royal Anthem.  Career:  8-2-3-1, $871,135)  PM comes into this affair having won the Belmont Stakes, for his first victory other than a maiden.  With the exception of the Louisiana and Kentucky Derbies, he’s always been In the money.  The one glaring fact is, that when winning the Belmont, he came home the last half mile in :54.14.  The horse that ran 9th, Golden Soul, went the final half mile in :53.99.  Haven’t seen too many races where the winner was outran by a horse finishing in ninth.

6 – PERFECT TITLE(20-1, Tr. Dallas Stewart; Jy. Shaun Bridgmohan.  Sire-Perfect Soul(IRE); Broodmare Sire-Monarchos.  Career:  7-2-1-2, $77,290)  His last race was at Churchill, in which he came from 7 ¾ lengths back to win, in the allowance ranks.  He also showed the same kick when breaking his maiden.  He might be coming late, but, the fact that he hasn’t raced in 50 days seems to be a drawback.  But, then again, maybe Stewart knows what he’s doing?

7 – FREEDOM CHILD(4-1, Tr. Tom Albertrani; Jy. Luis Saez.  Sire-Malibu Moon; Broodmare Sire-Deputy Minister.  Career: 7-2-1-1, $167,072)  His claim to fame was a romp in a sloppy Peter Pan Stakes.  Haven’t seen too much to get gaga about.  Should be on the front end, and his performance could be greatly accelerated with rain.

8 – MYLUTE(7-2, Tr. Thomas Amoss; Jy. Rosie Napravnik.  Sire-Midnight Lute; Broodmare Sire-Valid Expectations.  Career:  11-2-3-3, $587,695)  This is an interesting horse.  Seems when I break down his times, he is much the best in the latter stages of the race.  He just has a knack for not wanting to get ahead, only to be in the picture.  I like the number I’m reading.  Just don’t know if it’s a mental thing with this horse not wanting to win.

9 – LOOKING COOL(15-1, Tr. Carl Nafzger; Jy. Edgar Prado.  Sire-Candy Ride(ARG); Broodmare Sire-Forest Wildcat.  Career:  10-3-2-0, $237,877)  Recent winner of the Iowa Derby recorded his best BRISNET Speed Rating to date.  Nafzger displays great patience, exhibited by the time between his 1990 Kentucky Derby(Unbridled) and 2007 winner(Street Sense).  The fact that Nafzger brings this one to this event can only put up a warning flag in your head.

10 – VYJACK(12-1, Tr. Rudy Rodriguez; Jy. John Velazquez.  Sire-Into Mischief; Broodmare Sire-Stravinsky.  Career:  7-4-0-1, $542,200)  Vyjack is cross-entered in the Haskell Invitational, where he has drawn the inside post.  This was my pick in the Kentucky Derby, if it didn’t rain.  It rained, but the outside post was not kind to him anyhow.  He drew a post in the Belmont that was PP 11, and he was not in contention.  The possibility that Velazquez could ride him, is one point that is favorable, but I tend to dislike the outside post that he’s drawn.  I feel that he might be better served going to the Haskell.

THE PICKS

I am leaning to #8 Mylute as my top dog, but I am aware that he seems to NOT want to win.  Therefore, let’s combine him with #2 Code West, and play on the underside #1 Bashaar and #6 Perfect Title.  We’ll exclude Vyjack because of his post, and Palace Malice, because his closing half-mile in the Belmont wasn’t too good.  Still leary of Nafzger, but will pass.  To eliminate Palace Malice is my way of looking for box cars.  We shall see.

$5 Exacta Box  2-8        $2 Exacta Part-Wheel     2-8/1-2-6-8     $1 Trifecta Box    1-2-6-8. Lastly, we'll do a $20 Show parlay on Race# 5(Prioress Stakes) #2 Wildcat Lily, Race# 9(Diana Stakes) #3 Dayatthespa, and Race# 10(Jim Dandy) #8 Mylute.  A Show parlay is, in this case, betting $20 to show on Race#5.  If it comes in, place all made in that race back on Race# 9.  If that comes in, then play it all back on Race# 10.   Total - $66

See ya’ in The Winner’s Circle!!!!

 

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I haven't handicapped it, because I was focused on the Jim Dandy day and I was busy this week with work. I'll just stick with my gut: OXBOW. I could be wrong, but I'll stick with it. I didn't like Oxbow, I was a doubter, but his Belmont Stakes really caught my eye. Oh, and not to mention, Palace Malice who beat him came back and romped the Jim Dandy.
rafirox | 7/27/2013 8:12 PM |  - Re: Mylute is a Jim Dandy
Can't make any money on a chalk favorite, but other than his debacle in the Derby, Verrazano looks to be a monster. Oxbow seems to show up for all of his races. If I was to eye a longshot, I seem to be teetering toward Golden Soul. There you have it. To answer your question, I brought up three horses, out of seven. Give me a little more time, and the other four will start to look better. Why is it that I feel like I'm in the desert and I'm looking at a mirage. All of them will look good, eventually, when you're in a dry spell. Ha!!!!!
ruffian75 | 7/27/2013 7:34 PM |  - Re: Mylute is a Jim Dandy
Yeah, Ruffian, it sure was awesome. Lifelong memories, for sure. Don't sweat losing... I lost a LOT of money at the track today. I was ice cold and couldn't buy a damn winner, haha. Who do you like for the Haskell, Ruffian?
rafirox | 7/27/2013 7:25 PM |  - Re: Mylute is a Jim Dandy
Thanks, rafi. I envied you today. To be able to enjoy that experience. Wow!!! Going back a few years, but on Travers Day, to stand by the hedgerow, and watch Holy Bull walk by me, was a goose bump experience. Saratoga is awesome.
ruffian75 | 7/27/2013 7:22 PM |  - Re: Mylute is a Jim Dandy
Weird day... you'll get 'em next time, Ruffian.
rafirox | 7/27/2013 6:21 PM |  - Re: Mylute is a Jim Dandy
Ha,ha, Ruffian :)
Mary Z. | 7/27/2013 5:52 PM |  - Re: Mylute is a Jim Dandy
Thanks, Mary. I only had one problem with the running of the Jim Dandy. It was the starter!!!!! If he just didn't open those gates, I was in a virtual tie!!!!! Remember, tomorrow is another day. Bring on the Haskell.
ruffian75 | 7/27/2013 5:34 PM |  - Re: Mylute is a Jim Dandy
I enjoyed your analysis, Ruffian. Nice job.
Mary Z. | 7/27/2013 4:30 PM |  - Re: Mylute is a Jim Dandy
You got the show :)
Mary Z. | 7/27/2013 4:21 PM |  - Re: Mylute is a Jim Dandy
Thanks, Mary. Since my second selection has scratched, I'll switch to #2 Stephanie's Kitten.
ruffian75 | 7/27/2013 4:14 PM |  - Re: Mylute is a Jim Dandy
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