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Among the Stars can improve for Sadler

2/20/2014 6:16 PM
Author:
Amount Bet:
$30.00
Amount Cashed:
$49.20

 

Friday's 8th race (3:34pm PT) from Santa Anita Park is a $30,000 Maiden Claiming heat for 3-year-old fillies dashing five and one-half furlongs on the main track. 

#7 Among the Stars (5-2) was nabbed out of her last by Sadler and is firing bullets for this. She flees the rail, moves to a hot barn, and picks up aggresive pilot Maldonado.        

Play Friday’s Santa Anita Park games at DerbyWars.com.   

#10 More Stormyweather (9-2) is a Golden Gate transplant now under the care of Spawr. She flashed improved early foot on the drop last time and might go better for new connections on dirt.  

#8 Girly Ghost (3-1) took action, stalked and folded in her local bow vs. this kind Jan. 24. Bonde excels with second timers and Bejarano clicks with this barn.        

The Plays:

$18 to win #7

$3 Exacta 7/8-10 ($6)

$3 Exacta 8-10/7 ($6)

analysis by Jarrod Horak

For suggested Pick 4 and Pick 6 plays from Santa Anita Park, check out Pick 6blog. com for free selections and tickets. 

 
AFTER scratches then 7 Among the Stars 3 Parade Bound 6 Kahala 9 Run Rosie Run
travel_vic | 2/21/2014 12:31 PM |  - Re: Among the Stars can impr...
Ah, please let me interject something. I spent a week with a rep from the Canadian Parimutuel Association. He showed me how the comingled monies come in. AT ONE TIME, the pulses of money from a SINGLE SOURCE, i.e. your local track, did HELP recognize where the so called "smart money" came from, but those days are long gone. WIth co-mingling, ALL monies wagered in simulcast betting go from their SOURCE track into a encoder and then to one of five major betting hubs in North America before being directed to the specific pool they are intended to go. At the TRACK where the monies are then directed, the encoded informaton goes through proprietary DECODERS (the NYRA one is gold colored interestingly and stand out in that regard), before it is added to the final pool. These monies are pulses into the end pools at staggered intervals (not like the old fashined SINGLE tote board input would be summed up). ONLY if you are privvy to the HUB information, you cannot tell where or how much any one or even groups of monives are sources FROM. Out mutuels manager showed me an algorithm (connected to whatever betting hub he chose) that allowed them to indentify source wagers before encoding in order to isolate the few "bridge jumer" type wagers that arrive now and then so they can contact the source track to see WHO actually made these bets. which they use to identify the big bettors, USUALLY snydicates trying to create false favorites. BOTH these fellows tell me that tote board watching, BECAUSE of the new way of co-mingling, is no longer a workable study to be able to differentiate "smart money" any longer, UNLESS, like they have and NOT the crowd, access to the betting hubs.
travel_vic | 2/21/2014 12:26 PM |  - Re: Among the Stars can impr...
To T.V.: I can see you put a lot of emphasis on going against the crowd, which is the right approach. However, the tote board can be deceiving. I have a friend, a computer engineer, who spent the last six years developing a program that analyzes all the pools to reveal where the "smart money" goes. And guess what, he's still broke!! Good luck with your approach!
cognibene | 2/21/2014 11:36 AM |  - Re: Among the Stars can impr...
Not much of a card today. However, before scratches: #3, 7, 6, 5. The #7 will be the legitimate favorite and the horse to beat. However, I like the improving #3 Parade Bound (3/1)-Orozco/Breuer. Not much profit potential but will use as a single in the P6. Exactas: 3/7, 6, 5, 10 and reverse. Good luck!!!
cognibene | 2/21/2014 8:45 AM |  - Re: Among the Stars can impr...
the 5 could be a long shot here...ODDS will tell the tale however
travel_vic | 2/21/2014 8:11 AM |  - Re: Among the Stars can impr...
Wide open contest with contenders before scratches: 7 Among the Stars 3 Parade Bound 6 Kahala 9 Run Rosie Run 1 Schmaltzy 3 6 fight for things early and then a host of animals TRY to come late. At this short a distance, closers have a very hard time of it.
travel_vic | 2/21/2014 8:10 AM |  - Re: Among the Stars can impr...

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