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Belvin the right Baffert in San Vicente

2/16/2013 9:14 PM
Author:
Amount Bet:
$40.00
Amount Cashed:
$0.00

 

Sunday's 7th race (3:35pm PT) from Santa Anita Park is the Grade II San Vicente for 3-year-olds traveling seven furlongs on the main track. 

#1 Belvin (3-1) rallied for the place from post 10 in his BHP debut and that productive race produced multiple next out winners including Distinctiv Passion. He drew post 10 in his second start as well and smartly earned his diploma from a tactical position under today's pilot Bejarano on opening day here Dec 26. He more than held his own in a Feb 12 team drill with older stablemate Capital Account and he figures to sit a cozy inside tactical trip today.

Play Sunday's Santa Anita Park games at DerbyWars.com  

#2 Shakin It Up (5-2) earned triple digit Late Pace Ratings in all three outings last year. Baffert's fresh stretch threat is training forwardly and would appreciate pace help. 

#6 Treasury Bill (4-1) exits a visually impressive maiden breaker over a wet fast local track. The promising Ellis trainee will probably sit back and make a decent late run under Talamo. War Academy got the best of him in his BHP bow.  

#3 War Academy (7-2) might end up being a decent sort for Baffert but the $450k purchase has not raced since early November and might need the outing.

#4 Caballo Del Cielo (4-1) exits a razor sharp 5.5f wire job and looms the target under Nakatani. Does he want to go seven panels? Shakin It Up dusted him here in October.

#5 Mudflats (6-1) will likely attend the pace under Maldonado. He cruised in his lone extended sprint but that was over wet footing in New York.

The Plays:

$40 to win #1

analysis by Jarrod Horak

For daily insight on Santa Anita Park's Pick 6 races, please check out Pick 6blog.com for free selections and tickets.

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Older Comments about Belvin the right Baffert in San Vicente...

So cognibene, "wrong running style" huh? Must be at least the 4th time in a row you've said that on a winner. Seems more like your "wrong betting style".
Hopefully #5 (Mudflats) goes w/ the #4 (Caballo Del Cielo), allowing #1 (Belvin) and #3 (War Academy) to stalk leaving #2 (Shakin It Up) and #6 (Treasury Bill) at the rear. If the #5 doesn't go, Bejarano will need to put Belvin at the shoulder of the #4, then we'll see how good he is.... I'm hoping really good. Would love to see a 1-2-6 finish as all 3 are in the Top 7 of my "GQ Derby Double Dozen" published Feb. 11th.
where the LONG shot.................//////////////
Contenders: 2 Shakin It Up 1 Belvin 4 Caballo Del Cielo Money to be made? doubtful
I think this race sets up nicely for War Academy. A lot of talent in this field...
Contender is a short field with no value: #2, 1, 4. The #2 is vulnerable having the wrong running style for the race. The #1 is always dangerous with Bejarano/Baffert. However, the #4 has dangerous SPEED and will take this field wire to wire. Bet #4 to win. Exacta as a place bet...2,1/4. Good luck.