Friday's 3rd race at Remington Park is a Maiden Special Weight for 2 year old fillies on the grass. #10 Strike Twice looks like a tough customer coming off a runner-up effort in her career debut, and is certain to go off lower than her 3/1 morning line odds. Last out on 9/21, Strike Twice broke from post #2 and saved all the ground along the rail before tipping out in the stretch only to just miss. Trainer Donnie Von Hemel is a respectable 19% with second time starters, so look for Strike Twice to hold that form or improve off that effort. The problem with the favorite is that in the 19 turf races run at 7 1/2 furlongs this season, NO horse has won from the eight post and out.
Look for #2 I Am Jane Dough (4/1 ML) to turn the tables on Strike Again with the post switch. Last out she was making her debut as well in the 9/21 maiden race, but was drawn out in post 8. Going in to the 1st turn jockey Ramon Vazquez had a decision to make, go 4 wide or drop back to the rail and lose about 4 lengths, a classic Catch 22. Vazquez chose to drop back and save ground, and caught a slow pace that was difficult to make up ground on the leaders. The 2nd and 3rd quarters were run in 25.17 and 25.11 seconds as the winner went wire to wire. Despite the ground loss and bad post, I Am Jane Dough checked in a respectable 5th. Vazquez retains the mount for trainer Steve Asmussen, who is 23% with his 2nd time starters and 17% with runners making their 2nd try on grass.
Bet $20 Win & Place on #2