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  • Caledonian pulls the upset in the Jimmy Winkfield at odds of 10-1.Posted 1 day ago
  • The longest shot Zakaroff (45-1) rallies to upset the El Camino Real Derby (G3) at Golden Gate Fields.Posted 2 days ago
  • Stonestreet's Terra Promessa (1-2) blitzes the field in the Bayakoa (G3) at Oaklawn Park.Posted 2 days ago
  • Imperial Hint (5-2) takes the General George (G3) at Laurel. Posted 2 days ago
  • High Ridge Road (3-1) runs them down to take the Barbara Fritchie (G2) at Laurel.Posted 3 days ago
  • Curlin's Approval (4-5) dominates in the Royal Delta.Posted 3 days ago
  • Multiple graded stakes winner, Alsvid, has been retired from racing.Posted 6 days ago

Roll the Dice with a Price

2/16/2013 1:45 AM
Author:
Amount Bet:
$47.00
Amount Cashed:
$198.20

 

Saturday's 8th race (4:40pm PST) at Golden Gate Fields is the $200k G3 El Camino Real Derby for 3-year-olds going 1 1/8 miles. A field of 9 is scheduled to go postward.

The Morning Line favorite is #3 - Manando (9-5) one of two Bob Baffert runners, finished 3rd in the G3 Sham Stakes behind Goldencents, a top Derby contender. His main rival is #5 - Zeewat (5-2) who goes for a GG stakes race natural hat trick having previously won the Cal Derby and Gold Rush Stakes here. There is plenty of early speed among this field of nine (9), which sets up nicely for one who can possesses the ability to come off the pace as well as the pedigree to “get” 9 furlongs. 

HOW I SEE IT: There will be a mad dash to the first turn from #1 - Wildcat Moon (6-1), #2 – Rush In (12-1), #3 – Counting Days (30-1) and #4 – Manando, all wanting to be on the lead. #5 – Zeewat (5-2), #6 – Nina’s Dragon (12-1), #7 – North Pacific (30-1) and #8 – Carving (3-1) will be content to stalk the leaders while longshot #9 – Dice Flavor (20-1) will likely be the trailer throughout the early stages. Based on what should be a very fast first quarter, half and three-quarter fractions, most will be getting leg weary as they enter the stretch. The one who will have plenty left in the tank for a big stretch run we be #9 – Dice Flavor. Though all four of his starts have been on turf, the southern CA shipper has improved in each of those starts even when encountering trouble in his last two, breaking his maiden then 3rd in a $80k optional claimer.

The Play: $5 WIN #9, $10 PLACE #9, $20 SHOW #9 and $2 Ex Box 4-8-9

Selections for all 9 races on the Laurel Park on Saturday (Feb. 16th) card, including G2 Barbara Fritchie Hcp, BEST BET and LONGSHOT PLAY of the Day, see Maryland's Own GQ.

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Older Comments about Roll the Dice with a Price...

Nice pick.
i didnt have him
GREAT CALL>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>i love long shot this early in the yr.
9 - Dice Flavor.....21.00 10.80 9.20 6 - Nina's Dragon..........12.00 7.80 3 - Counting Days.................15.20
"like"
Nice race, nice ride, nice win, nice call.
Congrats, dude!
Hey Maryland, nice call with DiceFlavor!
contenders: 4 Manando 5 Zeewat 8 Carving 2 Rush In