Del Mar's 2nd race includes six fillies dashing six furlongs on the main track. I don't bet Del Mar very often, but I have improved lately. I didn't like any races for tomorrow, but since I wanted to write a Play of the Day, I decided to give the Del Mar main track a whack.
Unfortunately, #6 Zuzu Petals (9-5) will be the second favorite to be picked in my last three Play of the Days. However, she could be an overlay relative to this field. She is as consistent as they come, her figures are always solid, her race pars are always similar, and she runs her race every time (3 for 3 lifetime Exacta shot). In a field short on speed, expect her to have a somewhat easy time on the front end. The jockey likes giving her advantages at around the second call, but today (sporting her consistent 93,92,91, etc E1 pars) he might send her out early. Knowing Del Mar main track races at this distance sport a 52% wire percentage and a 83% speed bias, she fits the track profile and assuming she stays 6/5 or better could be considered an overlay. #5 Lets Get Frisky (5-2) came a nose away from defeating my favorite last out. She is 3 for 3 in the money over tracks and a consistent performer. The best jockey in California, Rafael B, will hop on board. She figures to be stalking, close to the pace. If she can improve a little bit or the favorite would be a tad off her normal effort, look for this one to come swooping in with a late quality kick. #1 Midnight Lady (3-1) has enough class to get it done. She comes to the main track once again and figures to press the pace up front. Edwin Malondado and John Sadler, both quality in their profession, team up here for a possible shot against the favorite. #2 Comin' Easy (6-1) might be a wild card for Julien L. and Jerry Hollendorfer, switching from turf/dirt, a angle that has been applied and cashed in on very frequently for me lately.
Plays, in a pitifully small field:
$20 Win, $40 Place on #6 Zuzu Petals
$2 Exacta: 1-2-5/6
$2 Exacta: 6/1-2-5
.... Betting in advance can be difficult, without the knowledge of odds, but I am betting this in advance, and personally hope the favorite will stay at 1-1 or higher. It is quite possible, unfortunately, that she will end up being 4-5 or 3-5. This is my only PLANNED wager for the day. I was not planning on wagering today, but I wanted to write a Play of the Day, so I chose a race I'm confident in, even though it is a bad betting race. Good luck to all!
Analysis by Ed/Rafirox