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Close it Out a Superfecta lock in the G2 Smile Sprint H.

7/6/2013 7:46 AM
Author:

 

POST TIME 4:26 PM EDT -- Super, deep field of sprinters will assemble for the Smile Sprint Handicap.  This 12 horse field is loaded with speed including last year's BC Sprint winner, #12 Trinniberg.  Race sets up perfectly for a horse that can sit midpack and then close with a rush.  #10 Close it Out looked brilliant as he closed into the modest pace in his last race to catch second place behind #5 Black Diamond Cat.  He's as consistent as they come as he is a perfect 16 for 16 in hitting the Superfecta when running at Calder.  In addtion he is a 6 furlong specialist the distance at which he is 11 for 12 in hitting the board.  He's run against top contenders in the field previously and has beaten these foes only when the early pace has been hot as it is projected to be today.  Works are super and this is his third off the layoff.  Odds of 10-1 or higher are probable given the other marquee names in the field.  I will single #10 Close it Out around #9 Fort Loudon, #7 Bahamian Squall, #8 Swagger Jack and #4 Justin Phillip.

 THE WAGER:

$.50 Superfecta 10 with 4,7,8,9 with ALL with 4,7,8,9

$.50 Superfecta  4,7,8,9 with 10 with 4,7,8,9 with ALL

nothing ever a 'lock'. I respectfully think he will be too far back to contend. Maybe he gets 4th. I think Black diamond cat will do well and picked fort loudon, along with Trinni and Black Diamond Cat and Justin Phillip in the mix for 2nd or 3rd maybe.
DerekFisher | 7/6/2013 11:45 AM |  - Re: Close it Out a Superfect...
I do agree but Trinnberg and Justin Phillip should be 1st and 2nd.
jmac500 | 7/6/2013 11:41 AM |  - Re: Close it Out a Superfect...
I did give #10 Close it Out a look, Mshutty. He's very consistent, which is displayed by his BRIS figures (similar, all solid) and his finishes (rarely out of the superfecta). He has the best closing kick in the field (very often 105 or higher for his LP) and will benefit this hot pace. I did notice he does not specifically fit the track profile, but he's overcome that statement many a times, as he is 15-16 in the money at Calder. One question I have is his credibility as an exacta charge. In his lone outing against Graded (past ten starts that are viewable) he came a late closing fourth. I'm hesitant to play him on top of a superfecta (1st and 2nd) just because he is a late mover now facing classy sprinters like Trinniberg, Fort Loudon (loss to him before) and Justin Phillip. Trinniberg was poor last out due to the slop and coming back from Dubai. He has never strung three straight poor outings and I find it that most of his losses have reasonable excuses (hates sloppy conditions, 1 1/4 Ky Derby wasn't for him, Gallant Bob was a valient effort with fast pace, etc, etc). I think he has a good shot here. Fort Loudon I'm definitely liking. 9 for 10 in the money at Calder, has faced class sprinters, 5 for 6 at the distance, and he'll get a reasonable setting, stalking a fast pace 2 lengths off or so. Justin Philip is a good horse, but let's face it, at tracks he doesn't fit the track profile, he rarely performs or wins. He struggled at Santa Anita three times (doesn't fit track profile) and he's not great at Belmont nor Monmouth. He likes Oaklawn which he fit the track profile perfectly. I think, with his class, he will pick up a piece but I'm not willing to give him an exacta placing. I'll go Trinniberg; Fort Loudon; Close it Out; Justin Phillip. I must admit, I chose Trinniberg in Jmac's competition, and I'm regretting that as I believe FORT LOUDON will be the eventual winner of this race. However, I think it's weak to change your position, so I'll stick with Trinniberg despite my hesitation. Probably no betting for me, as I don't really think anything will be worth a wager. My wild-card is Swagger Jack because he could win or not hit the board, so watch out for him. Best of luck with your play, Mshutty.
rafirox | 7/6/2013 11:33 AM |  - Re: Close it Out a Superfect...

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