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Tesseron looks interesting in Ky Jockey Club

11/23/2012 6:00 PM
Author:
Amount Bet:
$40.00
Amount Cashed:
$0.00

 

Saturday's 11th race (5:35pm ET) from Churchill Downs is the Grade II Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes for 2-year-olds traveling a mile and a sixteenth on the main track.

#8 TESSERON (8-1) traded Woodbine decisions with River Seven in a MSW route and the G3 Grey. Josie Carroll’s $357k purchase is fresh, likes two turns, and will be finishing if he handles conventional dirt.
 
#6 Frac Daddy (4-1) is back in three weeks after a romping course/distance maiden breaker from post 12. He fired a local bullet Nov 17 and projects a tactical trip.

#4 Uncaptured (9-5) exits a facile local score in the G3 Iroquois. He clearly has a nose for the wire and probably wins this if he handles two turns. His lone loss was his only route start but he did have a troubled trip that day.

#9 Dewey Square (8-1) could be any kind after a pair of facile victories to kick off his career. He won at this course/distance Oct 28 and should make his presence felt throughout for the profitable Lanerie/Romans team.

#11 Indiano Jones (15-1) was a neck behind Tesseron in the G3 Grey and can get a piece of this from a tough post.

#12 Positively (10-1) exits a place finish in the G3 Iroquois from post 10 and he lands an outer post again.

THE PLAYS:
 
$16 to win #8 

$1 Trifecta 6-8/4-6-8-9/4-6-8-9-11-12 ($24)
 
analysis by Jarrod Horak
 
For daily insight on Betfair Hollywood Park's Pick 6 races, please check out Pick 6blog.com for free selections and tickets.

 
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Older Comments about Tesseron looks interesting in Ky Jockey Club...

Thank you, I thought the same myself
Good one!
Gate Dancer I meant, amino. Boy are you acidic!
Knowitallcocoa--- Buster Millerick trained Native Diver
Shippers one always asks the question:WHY would they come all ths way if they did not think they have a very good chance??
"I don't understand these Arkansas folks. We beat the favorite twice out in California. Do they think I'm just coming for a ham sandwich?"
Johnny Campo and Pleasant Colony. re: Jack Van Berg. One time I was @ Oaklawn Park, and his colt/horse Bedeviled, had upset the favorite, ridden by Pat Day, @ 16-1 odds, in the Razorback Handicap. They asked him in the paper what he thought about his horse going off at such large odds. He mentioned(paraphrasing),
He had Native Diver and Alysheba, who else?
his father Marion Van Berg was a legend and son filled those shoes well.
Van Berg was a well known and top nothced trainer LONG before Alysheba came calling.
Jack Van Berg and Alysheba
or for that matter Smarty Jones trainer. A capable guy, but the horse made him, not the other way around.
Horses run, trainers overlook their exercise and placement. the INHERENT ABILITY OF THE HORSE make the horse run, not the trainer. The outfit that Mario Gutierrez rode for in Vancouver. Troy Taylor: solid trainer but NO WHERE for 20-25 years. He hooks up with an owner with $$$$$$$ who is willing to spend them on good stock, BAM, leading trainer several yers running. Would we have ever heard of Buddy Delp without BId? Cam Gambolotti without SPend A Buck, or Louie Roussel without Risen Star? The horse make the trainer...
Well, TV, I'm sure you probably overlooked Sarava in the '02 Belmont. Wouldn't that have been nice to have been on McPeek's charge that day, @ 75-1? I'll look for your suggestion, The Durnkard's Walk. Thanks for the advice, or criticism, however you intended it.
ruffian 75: Yu really need to read The Durnkard's Walk and espedially the chapter on stock managers output over two separate 5 year periods. The same sort of thing happens with trainers all the time. One good filly in the barn can skew stats all over the place and create many erroneous conlusions.
Ken McPeek could be 49% but that says NOTHING about this INDIVIDUAL......ALl a good win percentage means is that the trianer has good horses and knows where to run them.
They're babies. Why not No. 1 Java's War. Has won 2 of 4 races, including a $150K race. Has had a troubled trip in the last three races. Average size of field for the four races, are 11. Worst finish was his debut, finishing fifth by only two lengths. Has Kenneth McPeek(23% at this meet) overseeing him. 20-1 odds. Why not?
Contenders before scratches: 4 Uncaptured 8 Tesseron 6 Frac Daddy 10 Joha Woodbine shippers, on the whole, do not transfer their good form too well poly to dirt. If they have a transition time, prep at the new venue, that is different.