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Mighty Zealous {7/2} Stretching Out In Distance

5/7/2014 7:15 PM
Track:
Author:
Amount Bet:
$80.00
Amount Cashed:
$0.00

 

 

#8 Mighty Zealous (7/2) is a Linda Rice trainee that seems to be a little bit classier than the field here. In his last start, he ran a 90 on my speed figures, while second best was about 77. Now, with him going from 6f to 8f, I can not guarantee he will run back to this effort, or improve off of it. What I can say, is he appears to be a gelding who wants more ground. He gave a mild kick in his last effort vs. elders and made up about four lengths in his first start. Not only that, but Linda Rice is an old-school trainer. This one has some nice sprint races to set up for a stretch out. To further prove my point, she wins 28% of her races when her horses are going to a route off of two sprint races, and come in the money 57% of the time. Lastly, for an entry so much better than his competition (in pure speed rating purpose) he does get a solid five pound apprentice weight. The harnessed speed he has developed and Alw/LS level speed ratings, to go along with stretching out, I believe this one is a very solid win contender. #4 Coviello (8/1) is another horse I figure to improve off the extra distance, and he appears to have a nice kick (when he ran solid in his debut eight months ago). #7 Salisbury Knight (5/2) is overpriced morning line, but he was favored last out when he again did not fire. Trained by Jimmy Jerkins, more old school tactics, like we saw 77 y/o Art Sherman use with California Chrome on the road to a Derby win. Jimmy Jerkins is a successful trainer using the sprint-sprint-route method ... this is one that could run well, but I don't have the luxury of knowing odds. #5 Bluegrass Flash (3/1) is another overpriced one, but with a chance to hit board. First time starter, #6 Fidelius (6/1) is first time starter that is well-liked by some handicappers and has a nice trainer. #9 My Terms (12/1) used underneath (1st Lasix).

All in all, this is another race where watching odds will be important. These POD's are more fun that business (as much of my income is betting the ponies), because I can't see odds due to pleasing the Woodbine Troll. IMO, Salisbury Knight might be a good wager if he gets really nice odds, but with 5/2 he is garbage .... and, I don't know how to bet Mighty Zealous, without knowing the luxury of odds. Again, I really can't do much here because of that. I'll list my bets assuming the odds are like morning line, as we all know, i s rarely true.

 PLAYS:

$.50 Trifecta: 8/4-5-6-7-9/4-5-6-7-9

$20 to Place on #8 Mighty Zealous (7/2)

$50 to Show on #8 Mighty Zealous (7/2)  

real money here would be if the favorite ran 3rd
travel_vic | 5/8/2014 1:31 PM |  - Re: Mighty Zealous {7/2} Str...
singling in the exotic? That is not a smart investment even at those diminished prices especially at the horrid odd you WILL be getting....Pick 9/5 or less, probably less

Need to learn to hedge IF one bets this race at all.
travel_vic | 5/8/2014 1:22 PM |  - Re: Mighty Zealous {7/2} Str...
contenders: 8 Mighty Zealous 7 Salisbury Knight 5 Bluegrass Flash 4 Coviello 1 could easily steel this and then 8 5 7 come late
travel_vic | 5/8/2014 12:56 PM |  - Re: Mighty Zealous {7/2} Str...
Hey, rafi, I'm venturing over from the other coast. I don't know these NY babies, but in Cali races when they are this horrible, may as well throw in a first time starter(the 6). I'll say 7,5,6. 7 should be close to the pace, maybe even take the early lead, 5 did okay second to Samraat and is turfy so I like that for a slop race, 6 first time starter going in a mile race--you know I like that. GL. My votes are for fun only today.
Mary Z. | 5/8/2014 12:13 PM |  - Re: Mighty Zealous {7/2} Str...

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