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Wagering philosophy for use anywhere

5/31/2010 12:34 PM
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 Since I cannot figure out any other way to START a topic, let's see if this works.

Epiphanies come for parallel places all the time.....In discussing the harness racing concept of getting dragged along with the pace, which I have yet to be  understand even after the stewards took me aside a few times, this gave rise to the concept of riding the coat-tails in exotics...

If one can isolate a horse that IS going to be on the board and it qualifies as straight play as well, it behooves the bettor to back it's prominance up by using it as a key to secondary tertiary and random contenders that fill in the balnks of a trifecta for example.

it works the best in maiden races where there are only a few horses that have run before. Key the logical one in all three slots to all all.....These fields are full of suprise horses that the crowd does not know anything about, as do you, so you take advantage of that ignorance and hook it up to what is obvious for often a very suprising price.

Here is one example of many which are just too easy as they happen often.

4th race - Aqueduct - January 29, 2009
Pgm Horse Win Place Show
1 Just Another Story 3.30 2.70 2.40
2 Sage the Rage 8.20 6.30
9 Angelic Timber 17.80

$2 Daily Double 2-1 10.60
$2 Exacta 1-2 33.20
$2 Quinella 1-2 24.80
$2 Superfecta 1-2-9-3 5,137.00
$2 Trifecta 1-2-9 603.00
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Older Comments about Wagering philosophy for use anywhere...

BTW: harness racing is where I do most of my betting although I love the flats I have to do what I do best. My weakness in the flats is breaking down the weaker races as opposed the better ones.
  • humphrey · I have worked at a harness track now four years and they still are mostly a mystery to me...Post position, the driver is much more important and the games they play! I hear the judges giving out fines all the time to them for shenanigans. · 2075 days ago
That's true because the horse on the pocket (garden spot) gets pulled along. By that I mean he has something to run at while being comepletely relaxed and thats where the extra energy reserve come from, running relaxed.
In harness racing they call it drafting much as they do in NASC but I have a differt take. The the great majority of horses need something to run or with, that's why horses like Buckpasser,Zenyatta, Gio ponti all make that one long perfectly timed run. That's why with the exception of the truly great horses in routes the front runners don't hold up. An exampleof this is Dr. Fager, when he faced Damascus they needed a rabbit ( hedevar) to burn him out in 1:09/2/5 at a mile and a quarter. Actually the only horse I've ever seen they couldn't use a rabbit on was Secretariat . I've only been on this site a few days but you seem to be the one who get's the clearest picture of a race.
  • humphrey · Drafting works far better in the standardbred due to the larger profile they take up and the need to be closest to the rail most of the trip. One often sees the rail horse ride "in the pocket" the entire trip only to break out with large energy reserves down the lane. · 2076 days ago

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