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TimeformUS Pace Projector points to a longshot closer at Belmont

10/14/2013 9:39 AM
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Belmont Race Two: 

When the TimeformUS Pace Projector indicates that a race will be run at a fast early pace, it's generally wise to hunt for a value closer. Such is the situation here, and Cinnamon Beach (15/1 morning line) certainly fits the profile of the type of closer we are looking for. 
 
TimeformUS Pace Projector
 

Cinnamon Beach is making his second start off of a 257-day layoff and deserves a pass for his non-effort last time--when he was making his first start for trainer Danny Gargan. Even though Gargan isn't the most exciting trainer (his overall trainer rating is a nondescript 71), he's still a much higher-rated trainer than Phillip Scott, for whom Cinnamon Beach established his best form. 
 

If the expected hot pace materializes, Cinnamon Beach has a chance to pull off an upset at what should be humongous odds. 
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