Saturday's 8th race (4:43pm CT) from Arlington Park is the Grade 3 American Derby for 3-year-olds traveling a mile and three sixteenths on the turf course.
#10 Sachem Spirit (9-2) appears poised to catch morning line favorite #6 Silver Max (8-5). My value top has fired Exacta shots in all four turf outings and was freshened after finishing a troubled 2nd behind Silver Max in the Arlington Classic May 26. The outside tactical threat won his longest start to date (9f) and seems to adapt well to various race shapes.
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Silver Max has won five straight turf routes in easy wire job fashion. He has never been beyond a mile and a sixteenth and has been in steady training throughout his career. He makes his 3rd start in 7-weeks and could be vulnerable late if pressured by #1 All Stormy (12-1) and/or #4 Skyring (8-1).
#8 Southern Parkway (15-1) is on the upswing and should get this trip with Lemon Drop Kid on top and Unbridled on the bottom of his pedigree.
$24 to win #10
$8 Exacta 10-6
.50 cent Trifecta 6-10/ALL/8 ($8)
analysis by Jarrod Horak