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  • Lady Shipman breezes home much the best in Belmont's License Fee.Posted 4 days ago
  • Ben's Cat sprints home late to win his 10yo seasonal debut in thrilling fashion.Posted 4 days ago
  • Minding shows her class, easily winning the 1000 Guineas.Posted 4 days ago
  • Uncle Lino digs in to win the inaugural California Chrome Stakes.Posted 4 days ago
  • A Lot holds off favored Green Mask by a whisker to win the Elusive Quality.Posted 5 days ago
  • Galileo Gold, under Frankie Dettori, rolls in the 2000 Guineas.Posted 5 days ago
  • Olorda takes them all the way in the Bewitch Stakes on closing day at Keeneland.Posted 6 days ago
  • Nyquist will get in his final Kentucky Derby workout Friday afternoon at Keeneland.Posted 9 days ago
  • Time and Motion wins the Memories of Silver for Jimmy Toner.Posted 11 days ago
  • Finest City sets new track record in Great Lady M.Posted 11 days ago

 

Older Comments...

time to give us the right show moh , good luck
This one has been HEAVILY backed in the UK in the past 2 days, he's gone from odds of 20-1, down to 10-1 and 12-1 with every bookmaker, seems to be a very popular choice here. But to be honest, it's a horse I haven't fancied from the start and I don't think he will be any sort of factor in the race, I think his finishing positiion maybe 6th to 12th, that ball park range for "Gun Runner", that's what I think anyway.
Betting Statistics: Kentucky Derby 2016 Horse #13 is the early favorite. A #13 has not won the Kentucky Derby in the past 83 races (last time in 1931). Maybe now it’s the time to win. The number 13, however, has been popular as Place (2nd place finish) in recent races. It should be, statistically, a good occasion to bet bigger on #13 as Win and also Place. Number 17 has never won the Kentucky Derby. Always a good idea to bet on such numbers. #18 won last year (2015) for the first time; #19 recorded the first win in 2012. Straight exactas and straight trifectas do not repeat in many races. Considering the jockey impact: Victor Espinosa rides horse #10. At 20–1, it’s a very good value. Ion Saliu, Founder of Equestrian Mathematics http://saliu.com/kentucky-derby-winners.html
It's amazing some of the superstitions people have when picking a horse to win. I'm picking Nyquist because he has the same brown and black color scheme as my dog, purple/white are my school colors, and number 13 is my daughter's birthday...:) The only time I ever bet on a horse for his talent was Union Rags, but he came in a disappointing 7th in the KD, and thankfully redeemed himself at the Belmont with a win. However, a horse race is still a matter of luck when it comes to wagering. Even as good as Secretariat was (and IMHO he will always be the best) he only competed against 4 other horses in the Belmont Stakes. Could the lack of competition on the track (meaning the low number of horses on the track with him) have contributed to his success? I wonder how much faster today's horses could finish if they weren't slowed down by the chaos coming out of the gate to get to the first turn and again as they round the 4th turn. This may possibly allow Secretariat to forever hold the records. I would like to see the field limited to 10 horses. But thinking again, if the field were smaller, then the money wouldn't be as good....and well, there you have it, money talks. Good Luck, everyone! And GO, NYQUIST!!!
The WINNER of the 2016 Kentucky Derby. Remember, you heard it here first. :-D
Surely just a "paid workout" for Beholder this weekend in the Adoration Stakes at her beloved Santa Anita??? She will probably go off at around odds of about 1-5, maybe even 1-9, and she should win under just a hand ride by 5 or more. I hope she is EXPLOSIVE as ever, she can definitely beat all-comers including Chrome, and I think she would put that young girl in her place..................... I'm talking about "Songbird" of course. :-)
The only one I'm familiar with in this field is Selenite... so?
Nyquist will run his heart out, and he will be gallant in defeat, but I see him finishing in the 2nd to 5th positions, in that ball park. Something coming from the back is going to get him. My top selection is Exaggerator, but I also think other closers like Brody's Cause, Creator and Suddenbreakingnews will also be there or thereabouts at the finish and are also big dangers and have a big chance of winning the whole thing.
Most riders NEW to the K Derby, (not all of course as Mario proved) get overhyped riding in that big race the first time. Beware firster riders...
Based on the poll on the site here, comments on other forums and social media chatter it seems like Mo Tom is the "wise guy" horse and may be a pretty big underlay in the Kentucky Derby. I like Mo Tom, he has showed he certainly has talent and I can see him winning big races but not on the first Saturday in May and not at those odds I expect. The reason he has gotten attention is that he has gotten into trouble and had a legitimate excuse in at least his last 3 races, and that is the exact reason why I don't like him. I can't see using a horse in a 20 horse field that seems to find trouble. Many with as much or more talent such as Union Rags, Lookin at Lucky, Saarland, Dollar Bill (off the top of my head) had similar hype and similar trouble in their preps and finished way back in the big one, and for at least the last two, as big underlays.
  • Thomas Marshall via Disqus · You need to do more research. He got attention when he beat Tom's Ready in a stakes race at Churchill and even more for finishing 3rd at Churchill against Airoforce in the slop while closing. · 12 days ago
  • Ruffianlover · Your analysis makes no sense. BECAUSE he has had trouble you SHOULD be considering him in the derby. I'll take a horse that still comes with his run even after getting taken up, blocked, stopped, checked any time over an untested horse. The added distance will only help him. Even if he runs into trouble with a bad trip- he will be flying late with the added distance as soon as he gets free in the stretch. Watch out · 2 hours ago
What does everyone think about the jockey? he has put the horse in bad spots. Could it be a set up for a big pay out on Derby Day?
Corey Lanerie must realize he's no Calvin Borel. If you watch the Louisiana Derby, he hesitated at the top of the stretch while his horse had great momentum then decided to take the inside route which proved to be a fatal mistake. I believe of the two Uncle Mo colts, Tom will be the one better placed at the 1 1/4 distance. I didn't like the way Nyquist bore out in the stretch even though he won impressively. Amoss is a good trainer and if he says this is the best 3 year old he has ever trained then i'm onboard. I'm just hoping for a hot pace and hopefully we'll see the devastating close that Amoss has talked about.
  • Ruffianlover · Yes lanerie did not give him good rides but I don't think he did it on purpose- he was trying to do a move on the rail he made in another race and the hole closed up when a tired horse drifted inside. It happens and thats why the connections kept him on. There are more than two uncle no colts in the derby. Outwork is also by uncle mo and has the same connections as uncle mo. Also Nyquist veered out in the Florida derby because his rider looked to his inside left and pulled on the reigns which made Nyquist drift out. As soon as the rider looked forward Nyquist straightened out. The horse was just listening to his rider · 2 hours ago
1.Mo Tom 2.Nyquist 3.Mohaymen 4.Mor Spirit I also believe the time between races will benefit Mo Tom he came back and won from his last race last year with similar time between races and it also gave him time to recover from those last two brutal races he had physically. Really looking forward to saturday. Good Luck
As of right now my picks are: Destin, Mor Spirit, Whitmore, and My Man Sam. I'm going against the Uncle Mo and Tapit trios which a tough thing to do.
Heard them saying on TV a few minutes ago that jockey Ryan Moore is riding at a 33% strike rate over the past 2 weeks. He had 2 wins on yesterday's card at Chester including the Cheshire Oaks and he's already ridden winners on the 2 premier races today at Chester in the G3 Huxley Stakes & G3 Chester Vase. This guy can flat out ride. I often see comments where people say "he's always on short priced favorites." That may be, but why do you think he's one of the most sought after jockey's in the sport by these owners and trainers to put aboard their short priced favorites.
Mo Tom has a great post will get a good trip and run by them all...I HOPE,LOL I have him on pool 3 future bets and 60 win in pool3 ,I really think with a good trip he could be flying late .Anyway good luck to everyone betting ,hope this derby brings u some money..
  • imisswilltakecharge · I agree, see my comments below...I think there are several that can win with the "perfect trip," but I think if Mo Tom is finally given a real shot he could show the field what he is really made of! · 4 hours ago
US Army Ranger lives up to the hype, but just barely, narrowly holding off stablemate Port Douglas by a nose to win the G3 Chester Vase. My guess is that both of these colts will be headed to Epsom next month for the Derby.
My TOSSES so far for my tri and super tickets are: Trojan Nation, Shagaf, Danzing Candy, Lani, Oscar Nominated, Destin, Toms Ready, Whitmore (harder toss). Solo (key) horses on several tickets: Nyquist (reluctantly, but in a year where the favorite is going off at 4-1 I can't ignore him...style of running is perfect and is undefeated) Mo Tom (using the most-"heart" pick with bigger payout potential) Mor Spirit (medium) Outwork (small ticket) Exaggerator (medium) Mohaymen (small "save" ticket, in case Florida Derby was his clunker) Gun Runner (small) Majesto (small bomber)
Cannock Chase sprints clear of Western Hymn in 2nd and Master Carpenter in 3rd to win the G3 Huxley Stakes at Chester for jockey Ryan Moore and trainer Sir Michael Stoute. His first trip to the winners circle since he won the G1 Pattison Canadian International Stakes at Woodbine last October.
  • jonquil · I adore Cannock Chase, so I'm thrilled to see him win this so well! A little bummed at how Top Notch Tonto is still being run like that again -- I don't think I can ever recall him winning when run like that. Although it isn't like he was expected to win here. TNT needs softer ground to actually do much of anything, heh. · 4 hours ago
Looks like a very similar setup as Arkansas. Creator closer in with SBN next to him and speed coming from far outside. Hoping for a fast start and another strong finish by Creator.

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