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Will I'll Have Another Be A Triple Crown Champ?

 
After a colt wins the Kentucky Derby, the question on everyone’s lips is, “Can he become the next Triple Crown Champion?” Racing is certainly overdue for a Triple Crown hero, but first, I’ll Have Another has to endure and win the Preakness Stakes.

Many consider the Preakness Stakes as the more speed favoring contest of the Triple Crown Series.  Since 2000, only one horse, the super filly Rachel Alexandra, led the entire way. Four Preakness winners pressed the pace and one rated in third. The remaining six winners sat  between fourth and seventh place.  Further, the race isn’t kind to pace setters. Other than Rachel Alexandra, the 2010 place horse First Dude was the only pace setter to finish in the money since 2000.  Only three horses that didn’t race in the Kentucky Derby won the Preakness in the last eleven years.

These facts favor the Kentucky Derby Champ I’ll Have Another.  The colt often prefers to press the pace, but proved in the Derby that he can sit mid-pack and unleash a solid stretch run. The Preakness Stakes favors his running style over the pace forging Bodemeister and the one run stalker Dullahan, the second and third place finishers in the Kentucky Derby.

I’ll Have Another surprised many who discounted the colt’s chances because no Santa Anita Derby hero has won the Kentucky Derby since Sunday Silence in 1989. Yet, I’ll Have Another’s race record and pedigree proclaimed him as a logical Kentucky Derby contender. 

I’ll Have Another’s (Flower Alley - Arch's Gal Edith, by Arch) sire Flower Alley was a slow maturing colt. He raced only once as a juvenile placing third in a maiden race in mid-December of his two year old season.  A son of the top stallion Distorted Humor, Flower Alley showed promise at three, winning the Lanes’ End Stakes and placing second in the Arkansas Derby.  In the 2005 Kentucky Derby, Flower Alley was near the torrid pace set by Spanish Chestnut. He had to steady and wound up finishing ninth. His connections elected to bypass the other two Triple Crown jewels for a shot at the summer and fall contests.  The chestnut colt blossomed in the summer and fall of his three year old season, reeling off wins in the Jim Dandy and Travers Stakes.  He was fourth against older horses in the Jockey Club Gold Cup, then placed second in the 2005 Breeders’ Cup Classic, beaten only a length by eventual Horse Of The Year Saint Liam.  Flower Alley tailed off at age four. He was victorious in the Salvator Mile, but was winless in the handicap division, placing seventh in both the Whitney and Woodwood Stakes and concluding his racing career with a dismal eleventh place finish in the Breeders’ Cup Classic.
 
 
 
Similar to his racing career, the third crop sire Flower Alley was off to a slow start at stud. His first babies to hit the track include two graded stakes winners, but they didn’t earn their blacktype victories until their three year old season. Like their sire, Flower Alley’s maturing offspring are best around two turns. Flower Alley won only once at 1 ¼ miles and placed once at the distance, but his progeny have shown their appreciation for two turns. 

I’ll Have Another’s dam won her one and only start at six furlongs over the dirt and his two half siblings won their maidens within two starts, so I’ll Have Another’s win-early nature is typical for his immediate distaff family. His first few distaff generations are light on black type and he’s the first graded stakes winner in three generations. The Grade 1 winners Into Mischief and Roanoke are distant relatives.
 
Arch, the damsire of I’ll Have Another, is a young broodmare sire.  Besides I’ll Have Another, Arch is represented at the classic distance by a French Listed Stakes winner at 1 1/4 miles over the turf.  Many of Arch’s daughters' progeny haven't raced at classic distances. His daughter’s offspring include Champion Juvenile Uncle Mo and Contested, recent heroine of the Eight Bells Stakes.  Arch’s pedigree and record at stud indicate that his daughters could pass along stamina influences, but it is too soon to make a definitive factual statement that Arch will be a stamina-oriented damsire. 
 
So can I’ll Have Another become the fourth Derby/Preakness champ in 11 years?  What about his Triple Crown Chances?  I'll Have Another is a powerfully built colt and resembles his sire in conformation.  I’ll Have Another has already proven his fondness for 1 ¼ miles, so the shorter Preakness Stakes is within his scope. He’s shown that he can press the pace or win from farther back. His Brisnet speed figures aren’t as high as those of Bodemeister, but I’ll Have Another did pop a 117 mid-race figure in the Derby and his numbers are improving.   As he was going into the Kentucky Derby, I’ll Have Another is a logical choice to win the Preakness. 
    
His stamina-oriented pedigree indicates that he could handle the Belmont Stakes grueling 1 ½ mile distance as well. From a pedigree standpoint and running style, I’ll Have Another is a Triple Crown Champ waiting to happen. Now it’s up to his trainer, jockey and racing fortune to determine if we’ll have another Triple Crown hero.
 

 

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Older Comments about Will I'll Have Another Be A Triple Crown Champ?...

I doubt it. And if he does get hte Preakness, the Belmont will truly be a test to see what he is made of.
with PrinceQuillo among other huge name am sure it wont be a catastrophe.........time for a new Triple Crown Winner.......wonder if he got PrinceQuillo's large heart?
i hope not or else it will be a catastrophy
bodemeister will win the preakness easily. there wnt be no 45 second halfmile this time
don't think he can go the distance of the belmont. Just wait and see
Ill have another will win the preakness and the bellmont its time for some history to be made boys hold on to your hats..
Come June 9th in the Belmont,would love nothing more than to see IHA going for Triple Crown,hopefully not to be denied by some unknown such as Fly Lexis Fly,who's been gearing for Belmont for months
As much as I would love to see a Triple Crown Winner this year...I believe that Union Rags gets the Belmont.It w2on't be easy for him...because I believe the horse to beat will be IHA.While I didn't have him in the Derby...I'll damned sure have him in the Preakness...and the Belmont...Just beleave in Union Rags in the Belmont to win.
There's that youtube short of horses as youngsters,plus Larry Zapeye's this year's #yr olds. So many look like scrawny geeks. Bownecked and everything. Man O'War looked like he was all head and puny behind. Then compare them to what they grow into. Just a little amazing.
I believe those statements could probably been written about quite a host of horses that turned far better than expected. Seabiscuit, Dark Mirage, Kelso, Northern Dancer to name just a few
Great quotes by Harvey Clarke, the breeder of IHA, when asked if regretted selling him : “He was a little weak behind, and he was a little immature. I can’t say I hated him, but I can’t say I loved him, either. He was just a horse. Obviously, the price he brought, nobody loved him.”; “Every once in a while, even a blind squirrel finds a nut,”
Better watch out in the Belmont, and for a sloppy track
Shackleford.... did he not set the pace and also finish first in 2011? I am sure he did..
He ran the right race as a tactical speed horse when Bodemeister went out to fast. That race took too much out of Bodemeister and he will not run well in the Preakness. I think Dullahan will win because he raced well as a deep closer on a day he had no chance becaulse of the track bias toward frontrunners.
Triple Crown will never be won in my lifetime (and I am planning on 50 more years) because of the Belmont Stakes. 1-1/2 mi is a ridiculous distance and anybody who ever walked into the Belmont Park seating area is immediately in awe of the the monster spread in front of them.
  • ElaineSummerhill · The 1.5 mile distance isn't the problem. The problem is breeders breeding for sprints & milers vs horses that can run classic distances. · 802 days ago
  • GoldMerry · I agree with Elaine. That's all anybody seems to care about anymore - speed. · 802 days ago
I think he can at least capture the Preakness, but I question the Belmont, I have a full detailed response in my blog: http://handicrapper.blogspot.com/
IHA, is a tactical horse he can run up front if needed or sit back off the pace. I'll have in my Trifecta as I did for the Derby.
But, it would be no shock if IHA could pull it off, and I'd be happy for him.
I'd say no. IHA is one of the best 3yos in the country, but unlike the TC winners that I remember, Secretariat, Seattle Slew, and Affirmed, IHA wasn't talked about, at age 2, as being capable of winning the TC. So, that would go against history for one with such high odds in the Derby to take the TC. Besides, CC has a great shot at taking the middle leg, with less traffic to navigate, and he should be much closer up, not 10L back.
i would like to see his pedigree a little further back to see what's back there. But the way he came from the back and charged to the win, he does have a shot depending on how he trains.

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