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Will I Win my Road to the Roses Fantasy League?

I must admit that I have had a great deal of fun in the Road to the Roses Fantasy league this year. With only 10 days to go until the Derby I am sitting in second place in my league a mere 4 points behind the renowned TwinSpires.com handicapper Ed DeRosa (@EJXD2).
 
No doubt that my biggest blunder was leaving Hansen out of my original stable. That was a decision made due to my stubbornness. If I had only known that the 2011 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile would turn into the greatest key race in the history of handicapping maybe then I would have included him.  As I stood in the winner’s circle at Aqueduct after the Gotham Stakes recording Dr. Hansen’s post race celebratory comments I knew I had messed up big time. I did add Hansen in the first supplemental draft. 
 
My best decision came last weekend when I decided to add the two horses that were allowed in the second supplemental draft. I sat 34 points behind the leader before the Jerome Stakes (G2) and the Lexington Stakes (G3). Figuring that I needed to make a move in these two races and that there were no other horses that I really wanted to add for the Derby, I selected The Lumber Guy and Stirred Up. Those two finished first and third in the Jerome, and with power horse designation and higher points for the grade two race, they earned me 30 points.
 
The AndyScoggin Stable will head in to the Derby with 9 or 10 horses making the field of 20.  In addition my jockey choices of Javier Castellano and Julien Leparoux are in the field as are both of my trainers, Todd Pletcher and Michael Matz. The Derby obviously offers the most points so a strong showing could win the league for me. Check out the chart of my stable and let me know which horses that you think I should designate as power horses. The names that are in color have earned their way into the field.  

 

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Older Comments about Will I Win my Road to the Roses Fantasy League?...

Look at it from this perspective. Its the last chance to get points, and if you pick the same horses as everyone else, you wont gain any ground. Might as well try to shoot the moon and pick some longshots for your power horses. It sure makes it hard to cheer against your real favorites though...
Predicting Ed's power horses will be IHA, Bode, & Union. So definitely gonna have to roll the dice somewhere. Be careful of stables not far behind you! :) Good luck Matt!
Union Rags, Dullahan, and ????
I have 358 points in my number 1 entry, and haven't picked my two extra horses yet - I guess I should have been in your league. :-). Too early to say who to make your power horses yet. I'm leaning toward Bode, Gemologist and Union Rags, but won't decide until late next week. I'll probably be adding Dullahan (my first adds were I'll Have Another, Alpha and Mark Valeski) and a horse from the Derby Trial.
Definitely Dullahan!
Ed certainly gets around ... I have a straight head-to-head with him, Dullahan for me, and I'll Have Another for him. Here's to an HRN sweep!

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