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Why Blue Grass winners fail in the Derby

Make no mistake, the Toyota Blue Grass Stakes is a good race to win.

It's a Grade I, after all. It's also the best race at the best track in the best place to breed and sell horses in these United States, if not the world.


"It's like having a tryout on Broadway," said Joe Drape, racing writer for the New York Times, and author of To the Swift and The Race for the Triple Crown. "That's where all the buyers are." 


So why is it that, with the 86th running of Keeneland's spring jewel on Saturday, for the past 18 years the winner of the Toyota Blue Grass Stakes has had nothing to do with the winner of the Kentucky Derby?

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