• Frosted is pointing to the Breeders' Cup Classic, per his connections.Posted 2 days ago
  • Erupt (IRE) at 12-1 closes to win the $1,000,000 Pattison Canadian International (G1)Posted 4 days ago
  • Al's Gal (6-1) wins the head bob and the E. P. Taylor (G1) at WoodbinePosted 4 days ago
  • Blanket finish in the Nearctic (G2) at Woodbine goes to Calgary Cat (15-1)Posted 4 days ago
  • Arella Rockstar (12-1) upsets the Matron (G3) at Belmont Park.Posted 4 days ago
  • Time and Motion (3-1) wins a three-filly photo in the QE II Challenge Cup.Posted 5 days ago
  • Undefeated Theory (3-10) kicks away to a Futurity scorePosted 6 days ago
  • Almanzor turns away Found in the Group 1 British Champions Stakes.Posted 6 days ago
  • Minding better than the boys in the Queen Elizabeth II at Ascot.Posted 6 days ago
  • 2nd last year, Journey romps home in this year's Champions Day Fillies & Mares.Posted 6 days ago
Breeders Cup 2015

Who's Hot and Who's Not at Keeneland: Sires, Trainers, and Jockeys

There were only three days of racing to kick off the spring meet at Keeneland this year. Not enough data to create any meaningful stats, but just enough info to think about as you handicap this week's card.
During the Keeneland meet, I'll keep you up to date on all of the trends - which sires' offspring are showing a fondness for Polytrack, which jocks and trainers are having a strong meet, track bias, and where the most winners are shipping in from. Look for this info to be posted Monday through Wednesdays throughout the meet.


Distorted Humor's (above) progeny are worth their weight in gold at Keeneland. Out of four runners, three have won and one finished second. Win payouts were $34.80, $18.20 and $10.80.
Kitten's Joy is an automatic play at Keeneland. He's had two winners, one second place finisher from three runners. If you see a Kitten's Joy sired runner trained by Mike Maker and owned by the Ramsey's, run to the betting window. Two Kitten Joy runners with the Maker/Ramsey connection paid over $15 apiece. 
Giant's Causeway also has two winners and a runner-up from three starters.
Keep an eye on the freshman sire U S Ranger. He's had two starters and both have finished in the money. For the most part, his offspring will be very precocious. Although he was a turf sprinter, U S Ranger's babies may surprise and go as far as 1 1/8 miles, especially over turf and Polytrack. His offspring racing over dirt may prefer shorter distances.
Other sires who are hot (3 or more runners) right now at Keeneland:
Bernstein: 3 runners, 2 ITM
Posse, Orientate: 3 runners, 1 winner, 1 ITM

Not so hot:
Lion Heart, Rockport Harbor, Smarty Jones: 0-3


Currently Joel Rosario and Julien Leparoux are slugging it out for the top spot. Each have ridden 15 horses. Joel is one win ahead of Leparoux with 5, but Julien has a total of 8 in the money. Unless something untoward happens, these two exceptional athletes will be battling to the end of the meet for top honors.
Other jocks to watch are Alan Garcia (27% wins, 55% ITM) and Jesus Castanon (25% wins, 42% ITM)

Left at the gate:
Corie Lanerie has received the most mounts (21) but he's only 1-21. He's ITM 38%. 
James Graham: 18-0-2-1
Brian Hernandez, Jr.: 13-0-2-3
Robby Albarado: 11-0-2-1

Mike Maker traditionally has a strong meet at Keeneland, especially with the Ramsey-owned runners. He continued the trend on Sunday, owning the seventh, eighth and ninth races. Astute backers were rewarded with win payouts of $15.60, $15.40, and $9.40. Overall, Maker is hitting with 36% winners and 50% ITM on the main course.
Graham Motion's charges are the ones to bet over the turf course. His main track record is 0-5 so far, however, two of his five runners have won over the lawn and his overall rate is an excellent 10-2-3-2.
Experienced handicappers know that Wesley Ward is the king of early two year old racing at Keeneland. He isn't disappointing this year either, as he's 2-2 in the maiden races.

Searching for the Winners' Circle:
Mark Casse: 14-2-1-0
Wayne Lukas: 0-6
Kelly Gorder, Wayne Rice: 0-5


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Older Comments about Who's Hot and Who's Not at Keeneland: Sires, Trainers, and Jockeys...

Great information. Keeneland can appear to be a crap shoot with shippers from all corners of the country and the different surfaces. This helps.
That was great. Keep it coming.
Gotta love data like this for a short meet. Thanks, Laura!

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