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Tough Break for Derby Favorites

Looking at Lucky takes the Rebel by a photo over Noble's Promise
Post positions have been drawn for the 2010 Kentucky Derby and the two favorites took the worst of it.

 

Lookin At Lucky will break from the dreaded rail post and has been installed as the 3-1 morning line favorite. The Bob Baffert trainee is exiting a troubled 3rd in the Santa Anita Derby and must work out a trip once again under Garrett Gomez.

 

Santa Anita Derby winner Sidney’s Candy will break from post 20 and is the 5-1 second choice on the line. Big Brown won the 2008 Kentucky Derby from this post.


The field for the 136th running of the Grade 1 Kentucky Derby:

PP

Horse

Jockey

Wgt

Trainer

Odds

1

Lookin At Lucky

G. Gomez

126

B. Baffert

3-1

2

Ice Box

J. Lezcano

126

N. Zito

10-1

3

Noble’s Promise

W. Martinez

126

K. McPeek

12-1

4

Super Saver

C. Borel

126

T. Pletcher

15-1

5

Line of David

R. Bejarano

126

J. Sadler

30-1

6

Stately Victor

A. Garcia

126

M. Maker

30-1

7

American Lion

D. Flores

126

E. Harty

30-1

8

Dean’s Kitten

R. Albarado

126

M. Maker

50-1

9

Make Music For Me

J. Rosario

126

A. Barba

50-1

10

Paddy O’Prado

K. Desormeaux

126

D. Romans

20-1

11

Devil May Care

J. Velazquez

121

T. Pletcher

10-1

12

Conveyance

M. Garcia

126

B. Baffert

12-1

13

Jackson Bend

M. Smith

126

N. Zito

15-1

14

Mission Impazible

R. Maragh

126

T. Pletcher

20-1

15

Discreetly Mine

J. Castellano

126

T. Pletcher

30-1

16

Awesome Act

J. Leparoux

126

J. Noseda

10-1

17

Dublin

T. Thompson

126

D. W. Lukas

12-1

18

Backtalk

M. Mena

126

T. Amoss

50-1

19

Homeboykris

R. Dominguez

126

R. Dutrow

50-1

20

Sidney’s Candy

J. Talamo

126

J. Sadler

5-1

 

 

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Older Comments about Tough Break for Derby Favorites...

I really think that Sidney's Candy is big enough, strong enough, and fast enough to compensate for having the #20 post position. Similar to how Big Brown was in the 2008 Derby. I think he'll break quickly and smartly, and slide over out front, ahead of the field. If he's able to do that, then it just becomes about whether or not he has the stamina at 1-1/4 to hold off the rest of the Kentucky Derby field. My one and only concern about Sidney's Candy is the conventional dirt question? Will his synthetic form translate that effectively to dirt? If it does, I think he'll be the horse to beat, with Eskendereya out of the Derby picture. Because it certainly didn't appear watching Sidney's Candy in the Santa Anita Derby that having to travel another 1/8 mile is going to be a problem for him. JMO.
Where they leave the gate is not as important as how they break. Numerous things can happen to any entrant from any post at the break and/or during the race in a 20-horse field. A horse can draw a perfect post but a stumbling start can blow his/her perceived advantage. A horse can break sideways and wipe out other entrants. 'Lucky and 'Sidney are seemingly the two best horses and either can win from anywhere if they get the right trips. You have to be lucky and good to win the Derby.
well, alrighty then....my horse and lucky got screwed..so somebody tell me the best 3 positions please....
crazy how the draws came out joe talamo said only place he dint wanna be was the 20 post haha but how about the odss nobles promise 12-1?
Horses that get in trouble can do that from anywhere, BUT it is a tough spot as you have to gun for all you're worth not to get pinched back.

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