Ticker
  • Hit It Once More makes every pole a winning one in the Albany Stakes.Posted 8 hours ago
  • Syndergaard makes short work of the Funny Cide to remain perfect in two starts.Posted 11 hours ago
  • On Leave (9-5) wins the Riskaverse for her third consecutive victory.Posted 1 day ago
  • Chad Brown earns career victory #1,000 as Mr. Maybe scores in the John's Call.Posted 2 days ago
  • Rachel's Temper (3-1) gets the job done in the Summer Colony.Posted 4 days ago
  • Midnight Storm (3-10) holds off Om to win the Grade 2 Del Mar Mile.Posted 5 days ago
  • Camp Creek (26-1) comes from well back to pull the upset in the Breeders' Stakes at Woodbine.Posted 5 days ago
  • Time and Motion (8-5) powers by Catch a Glimpse late in the Lake Placid.Posted 5 days ago
  • California Chrome rolls to victory over Beholder and Dortmund in the Pacific Classic.Posted 6 days ago
  • Ashleyluvssugar (5-2)  just holds off Metaboss in the Del Mar Handicap.Posted 6 days ago

Three Horse Handicapping Tips Worth Knowing

Birdstone_Smarty Jones 615 X 400
Photo: Timothy A. Clary / 2004 AFP

 

I'm a very fortunate horse bettor, because, my Father was a horse trainer. A few of the tips below, some of you might already know. But, if you didn't, then these tips will surely help improve your handicapping skills.


Tip #1: Why do analysts always talk about an outside draw being so advantageous?


There are three primary reasons (from a purely horsemanship perspective), and they are as follows:


1. 'Eating Dirt' - Most horses are not a big fan of this, and in some cases it truly does impede their progress. If a horse has drawn to the outside, the eating dirt variable is basically eliminated.


2. 'Wide = Relaxed' - Almost all racehorses are trained to go slower (and become more 'relaxed'), when they're running away from the rail. When running along the rail, one of two innate traits kick-in instinctively: A. Said horse will get 'racey'. Or, B. The horse could become a bit claustrophobic - and neither are very productive to a horse being able to give his or her all down the stretch!


3. Lastly and most obviously, it typically leads to a 'Clean Trip'. Additionally, in a highly contentious race (like the 3rd at Saratoga, on Monday); the horse/jockey that is the last horse to make their move towards to leaders is usually the horse getting this wide but clean trip, and should win.


Tip #2: A High Head Carriage - Generally speaking (but more so with older horses), a horse that runs with their head high is just 'going through the motions' and truly doesn't want to win.


Tip #3: 'The Double Betdown Horse' - This tip is pretty self-explanatory. Let's say a horse is 20-1 on the Morning Line (ML, in future blogs), and said horse was 35-1 in its lat race. Now, the horse in question is suddenly bet down to 19-1 or less. This, would constitute a 'Double Betdown' horse, and most definitely a horse that you might want to give another look at. 

 

~Written by Joseph Tuttle 

 

comments powered by Disqus

Older Comments about Three Horse Handicapping Tips Worth Knowing...

ya jewel of cat was at the right place at the right time with that nasty pace.

Top Stories