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Sidney's Candy: Can he go 10 furlongs?

Sidney's Candy scored an impressive win in the Santa Anita Derby (G-1) to remain undefeated in his three year old season.  The front running speedster has led all the way in three wins this year, The San Vicente (G-2), San Felipe (G-2) and Santa Anita Derby. He has defeated Robert B. Lewis (G-2) winner Caracacortado, Sham Stakes (G-3) victor, Alphie’s Bet  and the 2009 Juvenile champ Lookin At Lucky.

Let’s explore Sidney’s Candy (Candy Ride – Fair Exchange, by Storm Cat) pedigree to see how sweet the free-running colt’s chances look for getting the classic distance.

On the track, Sidney’s Candy’s sire Candy Ride was an example of brilliant speed and classic stamina. In his first start in Argentina, he broke his maiden by over twelve lengths, running six furlongs in 1:09.31 and continued on to become that nation’s champion miler. Candy Ride arrived in the U.S. in 2004 and proved he could easily defeat turf runners in the American Handicap (G-2T) and returned to best a strong field in the ten furlong Pacific Classic (G-1) over dirt, beating Medaglia D’Oro and setting a new track record of 1:59.11.  Unfortunately, Candy Ride was injured after the Pacific Classic and retired before he could prove himself outside of California.  

Candy Ride is descended from the Fappiano strain of the Mr. Prospector sire line.  His sire Ride the Rails was second behind Holy Bull in the 1994 Florida Derby.  Sent to stud in Argentina, he became a strong sire of milers. Candy Ride’s damsire Candy Stripes stood in Argentina and was a son of Blushing Groom.  At stud, Candy Ride’s offspring are generally at their best up to nine furlongs, however his son Misremembered won the Santa Anita Handicap (G-1) at ten furlongs, so there is still hope that this young sire can get a classic winner. He is the leading third crop sire and has also produced last year’s Kentucky Derby hopeful Chocolate Candy and the brilliant sprinters Capt. Candyman Can and Evita Argentina.  With only three crops of racing age, Candy Ride has produced six graded stakes winners and ten stakes winners.  Sidney’s Candy is his first graded stakes winner produced from a Storm Cat mare; however his son Capt. Candyman Can is out of a mare by Storm Creek, a son of Storm Cat.

Speaking of Storm Cat, the retired legend is expanding his reputation as a broodmare sire. His daughters produced two winners of Kentucky Derby prep races this weekend, Sidney’s Candy and Illinois Derby winner American Lion.  Storm Cat is the broodmare sire of four winners at the Classic distance.

Sidney’s Candy’s dam Fair Exchange, a daughter of the international sire Storm Cat,  didn’t live up to her lofty breeding, placing only once in seven tries. Her dam Exchange was a very talented multiple Grade 1 winner winning or running in the money 24 of 28 attempts.  She counted the 1 ¼ mile Santa Anita Handicap (G-1) and 1 ½ mile Orchid Handicap (G-2) amongst her victories. Unfortunately, she died after foaling Fair Exchange.  Exchange was a daughter of the excellent sprint sire Explodent, but she obviously received her stamina from her sire Irish Stronghold, who placed in an eleven furlong stakes race.  Inbreeding to the great Hyperion didn’t hurt either.  Exchange’s dam Wolly Willow never won in nine attempts, but she is a half sister to Canadian Champion and sire Steady Growth and Knight’s Bridge, winner of the 1 ½ mile Breeders Stakes in Canada.  

Sidney’s Candy has the pedigree to do well in all three Triple Crown races, but he is one of several horses that will be on the lead or pressing the pace in the Kentucky Derby.  He will also be testing dirt for the first time in that race.  Although there is a slight chance the chestnut colt won’t like the surface, Capt. Candyman Can, who has similar breeding, handles dirt just fine and Sidney’s Candy’s distaff family is predominantly dirt based.  Like a few other Kentucky Derby contenders, Sidney’s Candy is maturing at the right time and appears to relax in his races despite his racing style, which will be crucial if he is to do well in the Triple Crown races.  If he’s not seriously pressured in the Kentucky Derby, he could be very difficult to catch when the real running begins.

For more, go to Iron Maidens Thoroughbreds.

 

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Older Comments about Sidney's Candy: Can he go 10 furlongs?...

Then there's the theory, if he takes to a fast CD track like Zenyata took to OP, he'll move up a few. Like they were bred to. ;)
I think yes he could go 10 furlongs, the bigger picture is the synthetic to dirt change, but keep in mind he did break his maiden on dirt at Del Mar. But to have other speedsters breathing on his neck the whole 10 furlongs will be the kicker. He has been finishing fairly stong at 1 1/16 - 1 1/8 but there's still a big difference there.
Sidney's Candy is the fastest horse in the field, don't like the FACT that he has never raced on dirt and it does matter, remember Pioneer of the Nile last year. Eskendereya won the Wood easily and was never touched with the whip. Lookin at Lucky had to give it his all to win the Rebel, can he run the 1 1/4?
Not much there is there, Humphrey? He takes on his dams color. FAIR EXCHANGE DP = 5-4-5-0-2 (16) DI = 2.56 CD = 0.63
That is a truly pitiful representation of the chefs de race.
DP 2 - 2 - 5 - 1 - 0 DI 1.86 CD 0.50 Numbers say yes.
Was that the Hard Spun that NEVER won a race a foot over 9 frulongs?
If not for the Red Sea parting Hard Spun would have laid waste to Street Sense. The same Hard Spun who wasn't supposed to be able to handle the dirt. The true athletes rise to the ocassion and Sidney will take it wire to wire!! Big Esk will have a long trip around horses and finish 3rd behind Endorsement.
Photos from the 2010 Santa Anita Derby... enjoy! ... http://www.network54.com/Forum/366748/thread/1270382030/last-1270399163/2010+Santa+Anita+Derby
Sidney's Candy, along with many that ran over the Pro-Ride and synthogarbage, are at a real disadvantage when first traversing real dirt. While Sidney's Candy's early races fit the Derby mold, the stretch outs have been late (typical for most routes at Anita these days), Facing progressively SLOWER fractions coming into the SA Derby, one will have to factor in how this one did facing what was not a very fast SA Derby either.....BUT, War Emblem's last move in Illinois was on the lead and he still distributed energy LATE which gave credence to that one's ability to apportion energy over 10.....Can this one do it as well? Without the other players it is yet to be determined.
IMO, pace is the one thing that this year's Kentucky Derby is in no short supply of. Whether or not Sidney's Candy can run on or right at the lead for the whole 10 furlongs, likely being pressed by Rule and others, is the question? Or maybe even moreover, can he do it on conventional dirt? That, to me, is an even bigger question about this colt than the 10 furlongs question is. All of his lifetime starts have come over west coast, synthetic tracks. If Sidney's Candy doesn't respond to the conventional dirt at Churchill Downs, then the 10 furlong question will not even be an issue. TJMO.
Yes, and that will be a big bus... not a short bus. Need room for Rule, Super Saver, Conveyance, Sidney's Candy and others.
He might need a bus ticket to get 10 if there is ANY sort of early pressure, which there figures to be plenty of if the Derby field continues to shake-out like it currently looks.

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