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Shifman and Zipse come together for a Super Saturday Pick 4

How many handicappers does it take to nail down the all-graded stakes Pick 4 on Super Saturday at Belmont Park? Only two, if their names are Matt Shifman and Brian Zipse. Enjoy our combined analysis on the four big races... 

 

 

 

Race 7 – The Vosburgh 

 

Shifman: If Sean Avery is back in top condition then the Vosburgh is his race to win. At his best he is faster then the rest of the field and I like the way he rated a couple lengths behind in his return to the races at Belmont on September 8th.  His history of injuries makes its impossible to use him as a single in the Pick 4. I have to include Poseidon’s Warrior and Justin Philip as both of them had nice closing efforts in their most recent starts and they appreciate a bit of moisture in the track. I will also include the three year-old Fort Loudon. He is five for five at the six furlong distance and he ran a nice race just to finish second in the King’s Bishop. 

 

Zipse:  Sean Avery is one talented sprinter. Neither rain, nor snow, nor injuries, nor extended layoffs seem to keep him away from the winner's circle. Like you, Matt, I see him as clearly the horse to beat, but my second pick is one that you didn't mention, and that is the Portuguese cash machine. Caixa Eletronica has much better form at Belmont over his career than Saratoga, and with a good pace set-up, he should be rolling into the picture late. Interesting that Justin Phillip is the morning line favorite despite the fact that Caixa Eletronica has beaten him each time they've raced including last year's Vosburgh and this year's True North.

 

 

Race 8 – The Flower Bowl

 

Shifman:  I am a bit puzzled by the morning line odds in the Flower Bowl. Chad Brown’s Zagora made a dazzling move down the stretch to win the Balston Spa at Saratoga. I see her being below the 7/2 morning line. 5/2 favorite Dream Peace ran very well in the Diana to finish second behind the great Winter Memories. She figures to run even better in her second start for Chad Brown. I don’t see 3-1 as realistic odds for I’m A Dreamer, not when she is facing these New York horses, who figure to take the money. Hessonite is one gutsy New York-bred.  Does she have a chance to continue her winning streak at 20-1?  

 

Zipse:  I agree that Zagora will be the favorite, but I also believe that she is quite vulnerable given the added distance, and promise of less than a firm turf course. You touched on my favorite longshot of the day, Hessonite. I really think that she may have gotten this good, and some give in the turf course does not bother her one bit. Still, it's a wide open race, and all of the Euros must be respected, as does the recent form of the speedy Hit it Rich. I'll be going six deep in this one.

 

 

Race 9 – The Joe Hirsch Turf Classic 

 

Shifman:  Many experts consider Point of Entry “the best turf horse in the country”. I see him winning this race and continuing his domination in the same kind of way that Cape Blanco did last year.  

 

Zipse:  Point of Entry stands over this field and is the obvious single of the sequence, and that is what I will do, but … Little Mike alone on a dawdling pace, with Razor Ramon Dominguez in the saddle, scares the heck out of me. I'll probably have a little saver bet on him outside of the Pick 4

 

 

Race 10 – The Jockey Club Gold Cup 

 

Shifman:  Great field in the Jockey Club Gold Cup, but as I wrote earlier here, this race is all about Bill Mott. Ron the Greek and Flat Out are the horses to beat. The distance is right and the time is right for Ron the Greek to show his stuff. Even though Flat Out hasn’t won since last year’s JCGC, his 108 BSF in the Whitney was impressive as was his :59.4 workout on the training track at Saratoga. One of the Mott runners will win this race.  I would be foolish to not include Fort Larned in tickets, although I don’t see him running another one of those dazzling races.  Neither horse nor jockey has ever raced at Belmont. 

 

Zipse:  Mott certainly does have a strong hand in Ron the Greek and Flat Out, but they both might find themselves at the mercy of a slow pace and a horse who somehow remains under-appreciated in Fort Larned. This horse has proven several times this year that he is for real, and I expect him to do it once again tomorrow. If he runs his race, and is not bothered for too long by San Pablo, I think there is only one horse with the potential to run by him, and that is the stronger half of the Mott entry, Ron the Greek. 

 

[To see what our tickets look like, please visit A New York State of Racing now!]

 

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Older Comments about Shifman and Zipse come together for a Super Saturday Pick 4...

Still alive ... go Hessonite!
I got knocked out in leg 2 of the Grand Slam!
Starting my Super Saturday wagering off with a Grand Slam play, using Royal Delta in the Beldame ... hoping she can finish in the top 3 ;-)
That was great fun creating these two interactive blogs. I am looking forward to a fun day at Belmont as well.

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