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Kentucky Derby 2012 Workout Report, Jan 3 - Secret Circle works

Secret Circle, ridden by jockey Rafael Bejarano and trained by Bob Baffert wins the Sentient Jet Breeders' Cup Juvenile Sprint at Churchill Downs in Louisville, Kentucky on November 4, 2011.
Kentucky Derby 2012 
workouts for Tuesday, January 3

 


Today's Derby contender works featured a four furlong move from Breeders' Cup Juvenile Sprint hero Secret Circle. The undefeated Bob Baffert trainee will try two turns for the first time in the G3 Sham Stakes at Santa Anita Park on Jan 7. He is expected to face G3 Delta Jackpot show finisher Longview Drive, along with sharp last out maiden winners Hierro and Out of Bounds.  

(# is HRN Kentucky Derby 2012 Ranking)

#7 Secret Circle – 4f in :49.60 (19/30) at Santa Anita.

#29 One Sock Down – Breezed 4f in :48.90 (9/31) at Gulfstream Park.


Other Works:

Thursby breezed 5f in 1:02.14 (8/10) on turf at Palm Meadows Training Center. He disappointed in his first two outings on turf/synthetic and has been training steadily in South Florida since early December. Animal Kingdom's baby brother also runs for Team Valor/Motion.


Notes:

One Sock Down
began his career with a good looking six furlong win at Gulfstream Park on Dec 8. The son of Dehere, trained by Edward Coletti Sr. and owned by Fantasy Lane Stable, could show up in the G3 Holy Bull Stakes at the Gulf on Jan 29.

Update: One Sock Down is entered in the 7th race at Gulfstream Park on Jan 7. The one mile optional claiming event also includes Todd Pletcher runners Da Vinci and Discreet Dancer.  

 

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Older Comments about Kentucky Derby 2012 Workout Report, Jan 3 - Secret Circle works...

IMO, the thoroughbred needs stamina wing representation to be genetically balanced and sound. In Europe, many sprinters still have representation in their stamina wing. It helps with the durability of the horse. Hopefully breeders can use the DP to breed a balanced animal, which in turn will produce a sounder animal.
Dosage may not be completely valid, but, so far, I have found that it is a good indication of what a horse may or may not be capable of. Of course, like travel_vic said, once the horse proves what it can and cannot do, then throw all the theory out of the window. Ancient Rome's DP was pretty spot on when he tried to stretch out in the GP Derby. I don't mind eating my words if I'm wrong, but I'll need to see Secret Circle go the distance. Otherwise, to me, he is a sprinter trying to stretch out and he may or may not be successful.
That upper limit of distance has and continues to shrink and very soon we will have 5 furlong stakes as the standard. STAMINA is disappearing on the dirt
Dosage was valid when we were still breeding horses to run 10-12 furlongs. But now, since most of our horses are bred to run 9 furlongs tops, it really ins't valid anymore. I do like looking at it to see how balanced the pedigree is, but other than that I don't look at it that much, especially for US races.
As much as I like dosage, ONCE the individual shows what it can do, you can dismiss the theoretical.....The horse tells you not a theory
I was looking at his DP figures. That shows more speed than stamina, but, like you said Brian, you never really know. The Sham will definitely give us a better indication. If he wins this one going away, I'll be a little more convinced. I'm a 'see it to believe it' type when it comes to this stuff.
Eddington out of a Dixieland Band mare ... His pedigree suggests he will be better at a distance. You never know for sure from horse to horse, but this one has the bloodlines to go long.
The Sham Stakes will make or break Secret Circle's Derby prospects. His pedigree indicates that he will continue to be a sprinter, but this year's Sham S. will only be a mile. Definitely a good stepping stone race for the colt.

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