Are you ready to conquer the Del Mar meet? I hope to help you by bringing the inside information you need to win over these next 7 weeks.
Tomorrow is opening day...a day when San Diegan's put works aside, put on their summer finest, enjoy a Del Martini (or two) and party on the track at the beach. It's a time when we can forget about what ails Califorinia racing and just get swept up by the history and beauty of the day, not to mention a few nice pay outs.
It's a great day for horseplayers, too, because the pools are huge and a lot of it is fueled by uniformed money.
I'm a value player. What is that you may ask? I look for horses that will go off at odds higher than they deserve in races in which the favorite may be vulnerable. They may not win the race but they'll hit the board and sometimes at monster odds.
For opening day, I have found several "value" plays to consider. Here they are by race #:
Del Mar--Wednesday, July 21, 2010
Race 1#5 Marquet Rebel-
-Had to check in last race and lost 5 lengths. Moves to O'Neill barn on the claim. Take 6-1 or better.
Race 2#2 Silent Soul-
-Lifetime best on Del Mar turf. Hofmans/Blanc paired up last year to be 2 for 3 on the board with value horses. Takes a huge drop in class. Layoff no problem. Need 5-1 or better.
Race 3#3 Stevie's Afleet
--Hoping to get better than 6-1 on this Sadler trainee. Lost 7 lengths at the start last out. Sadler wins early in the meet.
Race 4#1 Perfectable
--Looks miserable on paper and taking a real shot here but takes a big class drop and is THE speed of the field. Need 20-1 or better.
Race 6#8 Ruffled Feathers
--Hit a wall of horses and couldn't get through nearing the wire. Very nice form cycle pattern. Would like to see 5-1 or better.
Race 7 #3 Mama Bouche
--One of the best bets of the day. Hoping public favors Baffert first timer instead. Need 3-1 or better
Race 9#5 Lucky Fitz
--THE best bet of the day. Last was better than it looks. Drops big here. Plays into trainer Hess strengths, perfect running style and figs for this race. Have to have 3-1 or better
Jay Privman of the Daily Racing Form has a great article about promising 2 year-olds running at Del Mar. Here's the link to the article http://www.drf.com/news/article/114913.html.
Baffert, Hollendorfer and Jeff Bonde are loaded for bear and, combined, will take down most of the two year old races at Del Mar. Sadler is a bit thin on two year-olds this season so you won't see much action early on.
Here's a summary of what Jay learned were some of the more promising two year olds in several barns.Bob Baffert
--Has a stable full of great two year olds. May end up being the top trainer for this meet. Rock So Hard is one that may debut this weekend.Jerry Hollendorfer
-- Western Move, Indian Gracey, Anniversary Girl, Indian WinterJeff Bonde
-Sway Away, Purgestein, Road Ready, Twice the Appeal, Smoke Over WaterCarla Gaines
-Just ImagineMike Machowsky
--Free From Sin, Bonn LuckyRichard Mandella
--Avid, Robie the Cat
Field sizes will be down at Del Mar this year as the So. CA horse population is down 25% overall. It will be interesting to see if Del Mar can support 5 racing days each week. The fact that many barns point to this meet should help out.
Watch the results over the Polytrack surface the next few days. Richard Tedesco takes the reins on surface maintenance so it will be interesting to see how the track plays. My guess is that we'll see more speed winning this year than over the last three seasons.
Great stakes action ahead this weekend at Del Mar including the G1 Eddie Read on Saturday
and the G2 San Clemente on Sunday. We'll be covering both races in detail.
I'll be back on Friday to take a look at the Saturday racing action. Until then...
Go Fast and Win!