Kentucky Derby 2012 Prep Recap - VIDEO

2/8/2012 10:13 AM  | HorseRacingNation.com
My Favorite
February 04, 2011. I'll Have Another and Mario Gutierrez win the Robert B. Lewis Stakes(GII) at Santa Anita Park in Arcadia, CA.

Check out this week's Kentucky Derby 2012 prep recap video! Handicapper Mike Shutty deconstructs the action in last week's Robert B. Lewis Stakes, where 43-1 longshot I'll Have Another stunned the field that included Bob Baffert's Liaison. See why he says this race is a complete toss for the horses on the Kentucky Derby 2012 trail!



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What the Nation is saying about Kentucky Derby 2012 Prep Recap - VIDEO...

That's how I've been handicapping Santa Anita races this meet. Horses that work well at Hollywood run great at Santa Anita and the prices you get on these horses are great!
Daniel, nice angle & something to consider. Do you have any idea if these horses are all physically housed and training at HP?
Daniel, over the past few weeks some picks of mine have been upset winners. Frumious, pure speed at 7f., and Out Of Bounds coming from behind at 1m. So those are two examples of horses that trained at Hollywood Park that were not favorites to win at Santa Anita. I'll keep that in mind when attempting to handicap, but I won't rule out horses that train at Santa Anita because I think some do just fine training and running there. I had another question, there have been come from behind winners, such as Out Of Bounds, but do you still feel that there is a speed bias at Santa Anita making it that much more difficult for a closer?If so, is it worse than last year?
If that was true Ultimate Eagle would have been favored over Tapizar, I'll Have Another was 43-1 and Willa Be Awesome was also a longshot. Apart from the recent performances I know that we have sent many horses directly from Hollywood Park to race all over the country with considerable success. Blind Luck to Churchill, Delaware Park, Tuscan Evening to Arlington, Dakota Phone to Churchill. All of these examples trained at Hollywood and shipped very close to the race, usually with only a couple days to jog or gallop on the new surface and then a return home right after.
I think they'll be back for the San Felipe, not San Vicente, not to be picky. Sorry.
Daniel, you make a convincing argument, but another might point out that those winners may have just been the best in their races. Or what about Game On Dude's fast easy win in the San Antonio after training at Santa Anita? But, I did notice that the Hollywood Park conditioning may have helped Seeking Solace win that photo over favored Mint Humor on Sunday. That one hurt just a little. Hope the HP training success works out for my fav Sway Away, and helps your horses, too.
I'm surprised that no one has mentioned the icredible success this meeting of horses training at Hollywood Park and then shipping to run at Santa Anita. Escpecially in the stakes races, for example, Ultimate Eagle, I'll Have Another, Include Me Out, Teddy's Promise, The Factor, Compari, Unzip Me, Out Of Bounds, Willa Be Awesome, Mr. Commons and many more. It's a strong argument for getting horses legged up on cushion track and then being able to run on any surface.
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