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Breeders Cup 2015
Kentucky Derby 2017

If you didn’t go to the wedding...

“If you didn’t go to the wedding, don’t go to the funeral” is a racing expression admonishing a bettor who missed a big price on a horse to avoid betting that horse the next time he runs. The implication is that the horse will lose at much lower odds in his next start.

Of course, I am referring to Mine That Bird, the miracle winner of the Kentucky Derby two Saturdays ago. He paid $103.20 to win. His odds for Saturday’s Preakness Stakes figure to be much closer to 10-to-1.

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Older Comments about If you didn’t go to the wedding......

Musket Man ran a huge race in the Derby and I expect him to do so again in Baltimore. Had a much tougher trip than Papa or Pioneer... just have to hope the filly doesn't freak... What about the bird? No worries, mate...
Definitely won't beat half the field...Not as bad a thought in prepping for the Derby, but not that much better either. Certainly won't get a free ride on the rail this time... "Pioneer" will be another bet against. Was way too tired in the Derby stretch run...doesn't look like a horse moving forward.
Yes, but would would you make Mine That Bird if they ran the Derby again today? I would make him 15-1.
He'll be overbet, but it's not like the line-up against him is THAT much tougher.
Exactly right. But this horse will get beat at probably 5-1. What would be even better is if it comes up sloppy at Pimlico... they might make him 3-1 in the slop...
Like it. Another one is, 'How much do you have to lose to get even', obviously said when someone is ahead and starts to press his bets.

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