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Give me Power Broker and Executiveprivilege

My money will be on Power Broker and Executiveprivilege in three weeks’ time, and here is why … Up until 2008 and 2009, I always felt that the Californian horses had a real advantage over the horses shipping in from other parts of the country and the world for the Breeders’ Cup. Be it the travel, warm weather, or the firm and fast conditions in Southern California, I always gave the local contingent the advantage. Of course, the last two editions of the World Championships at Santa Anita fell under the ‘synthetic experiment’ time frame, and a fondness for their cushion track became the most important thing. Now we are back on the dirt for the 2012 Breeders’ Cup at Santa Anita, so I believe the local horses will once again have the advantage, and it is in the juvenile races where I believe the advantage to be the most pronounced. Why is that? Simply put, the inexperience of the two-year-old makes them the least likely to overcome disadvantages when facing horses of similar talent. Therefore, both Power Broker and Executiveprivilege hold a key advantage over several of the other favorites in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile and Juvenile Fillies respectively.
My colleague, Bryan Brinkmeyer did a great job in explaining the phenomenon with the males, and I believe the same will hold true with the fillies. In Executiveprivilege, I am certainly not going out on a limb by calling her the one to beat in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies. The dominant two-year-old filly all season in Southern California, she remains unbeaten after five starts, with the last four coming in stakes. In her last race, her first try around two-turns, and on conventional dirt, she dominated her competition like never before. Showing the tactical ability to go to the front if needed, she clobbered the rest of the Grade 1 Chandelier field on the same track, and at the same distance as the Breeders’ Cup. She will by no means need to go to the lead early in the Juvenile Fillies, but it is nice to know that she can win from a variety of early positions. While several young fillies from east of the Mississippi will garner strong attention, most notably Dreaming of Julia, I believe the talent of Executiveprivilege combined with the advantages of the home team, will prove too much to overcome. So much so, that the daughter of First Samurai may be one of the few horses that you can confidently single at this year’s Breeders’ Cup.

Meanwhile, Power Broker is a far different story than his undefeated female counterpart. They both reside in the Bob Baffert barn, but that is primarily where the similarities end. The good looking, chestnut son of Pulpit was always well regarded by his three-time Kentucky Derby winning trainer, but entered the Grade 1 FrontRunner Stakes 0-for-3. Things changed quickly for him though when he uncoiled a powerful stretch run that carried him to a romping 6 ½ length victory in the key Breeders’ Cup Juvenile affair. The win certainly places him near the top of his division, but with the undefeated, three-time stakes winner from the East Coast, Shanghai Bobby, coming; it is unlikely that the horse now 1-for-4 lifetime will go favored in the Juvenile. In fairness, Power Broker had run consistently better in each of his three losses, including finishing second in the Oak Tree Juvenile Stakes on turf in his last start before the FrontRunner. Much like Executiveprivilege, he ran his career best in his first try on dirt, in what amounts to a dress-rehearsal for the 1 1/16 miles at Santa Anita he will see in the Breeders’ Cup. So while Shanghai Bobby and others will be making the long trip to California, and attempt two-turns for the first time, Power Broker has been there and done that. Advantage California juveniles.


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Older Comments about Give me Power Broker and Executiveprivilege ...

Can't disagree, Power Broker caught my eye big time in the FrontRunner. Can't wait to see where the odds go on race day!
I'm still on the Know More bandwagon, but there's no doubt Power Broker jumped up on normal dirt.
cant wait to bet against baffert all bc
No doubt that history and home track advantage are on the side of the West coast horses. The only thing that I want to add is that after Mike Smith rode Royal Delta to victory at Belmont he commented that the new Santa Anita surface is very sandy and reminded him of Belmont. So that may be a bit of help to the East coast horses.
Agree with you Brian. Was hoping we'd get 3-1 + on Power Broker but not so sure. You're letting the cat out of the bag early on the Cali juveniles.

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