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Flashpoint Changes Things … For Dialed In

Dialed In, Holy Bul top story
Zipse’s Kentucky Derby Daily – Day 36

After much conjecture, Flashpoint has been entered in Sunday’s 60th running of the $1 million Florida Derby, instead of the Swale Stakes the same afternoon at Gulfstream Park. The undefeated son of Pomeroy would have been a big favorite in the Swale, but the call of a possible run in the Kentucky Derby proved too alluring to Flashpoint’s connections. In the 1 1/8 mile Florida Derby, which is shaping up as perhaps the most competitive prep on the 2011 Kentucky Derby trail, Flashpoint figures to be only one of five colts who will garner major attention at the windows. Win or lose though, the talented grey colt, coming off a 7 ¼ length win in the Hutcheson, figures to play a major part on how the race is run, and ultimately won.

Morning line favorite is the Fountain of Youth hero Soldat who again drew the rail post as he did when he wired the last by a rather easy two lengths. The consistent Kiaran McLaughlin trainee, has proven to be top class while compiling a solid record of 3 wins and 4 places in 7 races. Whether or not Soldat was planning on repeating his front running ways with Alan Garcia in the Florida Derby, it now likely becomes a moot point considering the fleet fractions that Flashpoint promises to throw down.

Adding to the glut of quality frontrunners set to do battle at Gulfstream, include To Honor and Serve, who won both the Remsen and Nashua Stakes last fall at Aqueduct in wire to wire fashion, before coming up a short 3rd for his 2011 debut in the Fountain of Youth. Improvement is expected for the son of Bernardini for conditioner Bill Mott. Another son of Bernardini comes from the Mike Repole Stable.   Stay Thirsty, who impressively accounted for the Gotham Stakes in his only race so far this year.  The stablemate of current Kentucky Derby favorite Uncle Mo came from fourth early in the Gotham, but has been since been equipped with blinkers which could well sharpen his early speed.

The three outsiders in the field Arch Traveler, Bowman’s Causeway, and Shackleford, all have shown flashes of potential in their young careers. They also all have some early speed that could further jam things up in the early chase of Flashpoint’s pace.

So with all this speed, who do I like in the Grade 1 major Derby prep? The only horse who has no speed at all of course.

Dialed In is the best late runner on this year’s Derby trail. In the Florida Derby he should get just the type of pace set-up to prove it. Gulfstream Park is not always the most fair track to closers, but if there is any way for a deep closer to win on Sunday, it should be Dialed In. He’ll be the one going from last to first in a few blinks of the eye.


 

 

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Older Comments about Flashpoint Changes Things … For Dialed In...

I like Dialed In chances with a legit pace to run at, also looking for Arch Traveler to rate and have a little more left than in his last race
yeah flash has the all or nothing i will make a win bet for fun on him, but ill also have a back up. but yeah looking at soldat has the strength to hold off the closers.
I've been really following flashpoint and soldat for a while now. Soldat is a all around stud. He is consistant with good speed and endurance. Has the ability to kick it in gear when asked. Flashpoint, on the other hand, is pretty much all or nothing. His trainer is even saying it. After seeing his first 2 starts, how could one not say, deserving almost a freak to racing. Horse comes out in aqueduct and blows out the field in the hand against a 1-4 favorite in the cold. Comes out in the hutchenson with very good competition and runs a identical race and was still in the hand and going away. I am curious to see what happens when the whip is applied and see how this horse can kick into another gear. With speed like that, there has to be a gear have not seen yet. I am laying big money or flashpoint and soldat. Watchout for the 2 GREAT closers, in bowmans causeway and of course dialed inn. P.S I had Ice box last year and it paid very well!! Good luck to all of you!! Should be a good race!
I'm not as sure about the trip for him, the possibility of getting pinned in on the rail is there, but ... sure it is possible that he is the best of this group, as it is also possible for the other 4 favorites. I'm sticking with Dialed In though.
Soldat gets the trip pocketing in behind speed as they go into the turn. He's definitely rateable as he merely inherited the lead in his last two. Should have no excuses just like Dialed In. With only 8 going, troubled trips should be minimal. So, with an honest pace, this should be a fair representation of every horse's true ability. Pace scenario sets up much like it will in the Derby.
Has anyone thought about this angle: Soldat is simply good. He proved those who felt he was an off-track maven wrong last time. And I don't think he needs an easy lead, he can rate a bit... maybe he's just the top horse in this group?
Flashpoint drawing the outside is both bad/good... Good: Others can let him go. Bad: It's a really quick run to the turn, and even with a smallish field he'll have to get going early and might be hard to slow down. I think he's all or nothing -- a wire job, or he's done on the far turn.
can't wait to go see the florida derby!
Flashpoint places ahead of To Honor and Serve.
There is just something I like about Soldat..hoping he can rate off all that speed and bring it home.This race does seem to be Dialed In's to take.
There is barely a throw out in the race! I am interested in seeing how To Honor and Serve improves with the 2nd race off the layoff. I am a big Dialed In fan too. DI gets fast fractions to run at in Flor Derby. Stay Thirsty may get first run off a fast pace.
Agreed ... and I like the three you mentioned too.
Ummm... he's probably the one I tab right now. I like Premiere Pegasus though, and of course Mo. But as for Dialed In, I just like how his last race was the perfect set-up for this, and with one more move forward, and a fast pace in May, he'll be tough. We'll see what these final few preps tell us.
Is he your Derby bet right now?
I was hoping that Flashpoint would not go here and that Dialed In would get stuck behind a slow pace and make an okay rally that sets him up well for the Derby both in fitness and value.
Mineshaft sweeps the Florida Derby & Oaks! ...will read the headlines on sunday evening.
I'll be rooting for Dialed In as well Brian, I think he and Soldat are looking really strong right now. Stay Thirsty is my favorite in the field but I don't think he's ready off one start to win against this field. Could be a huge weekend for Mineshaft with It's Tricky in the Gulfstream Oaks and Dialed In in the Florida Derby.

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