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Do Stately Victor and Line of David Have a Derby-winning Pedigree?

Stately Victor and Line of David

Stately Victor shocked a field of Kentucky Derby contenders by 4 ½ lengths to win the Blue Grass Stakes (G-1).  Previously, he was on the board in only two of seven starts, once over the lawn and once in the slop, both attempts made as a juvenile.  Stately Victor was sixth, beaten 7 ½ lengths in his only start over the Keeneland surface as a two year old. So, is this newcomer to the Derby trail a pretender or legitimate contender?

 

Stately Victor (Ghostzapper – Collect the Cash, by Dynaformer) is from the first crop of the 2004 dual Eclipse Award winner Ghostzapper.  Typical of his sire Awesome Again’s progeny, Ghostzapper didn’t fully develop until late in his three year old season when he captured the Vosburgh Stakes (G-1). His sheer dominance at age four earned him Horse of the Year honors and he continued his winning ways in his initial start at age five, only to suffer a career ending injury.   This remarkable Horse of the Year was the top weanling and first crop yearling sire in successive years and many people anticipated Ghostzapper to be the leading first crop sire by the end of 2009.  However Ghostzapper’s offspring show promise, but are taking their time to mature. Stately Victor is Ghostzapper’s first offspring to win a graded stakes race.  Ghostzapper’s progeny may emulate that of his sire, Awesome Again, who is known primarily as a dirt and good “mud sire,” but his progeny are also above average over the lawn and synthetic surfaces.

 

Stately Victor’s distaff family is composed of turf runners.  His damsire, the internationally sought-after Dynaformer has been on the leading sire and broodmare sire lists for years. Turf comes immediately to mine when thinking of Dynaformer, but he has produced a handful of dirt winners.  His only stakes winners at the classic distance over dirt are Stephen Foster (G-1) winner Perfect Drift and Kentucky Derby winner Barbaro. 

On the broodmare side, Dynaformer’s daughters have produced fifty-six stakes winners.  Of those stakes winners, four have won at ten furlongs or beyond on turf, but only one has won at that distance over dirt. 

 

Like Ghostzapper, Stately Victor’s dam Collect the Cash was also slow to mature, entering the starting gate once at two.  Once she got going, Collect the Cash was in the money in all three of her dirt attempts going a mile or longer. She really found her calling on the turf, where she won four starts and placed second in ten tries, including a win in the Queen Elizabeth II Challenge Cup (G1) at 1 1/8 miles. Carrying on the family turf tradition, Stately Victor’s half sister Money My Honey (by Red Bullet) placed in the Wonder Where Stakes going 1 ¼ miles over the lawn. 

 

Stately Victor’s second dam Worldly Possession won or placed in ten of 13 tries over turf, including a win in the Las Cignegas Handicap (G-3).  His fourth dam Clover Lane incidentally is the third dam of Bluegrass Stakes contender Aikenite, and Stately Victor’s fifth dam is the blue hen Grass Shack.  Grass Shack’s daughters and their offspring produced Grade 1 sprinting sire D’Wildcat, 1999 Kentucky Derby winner Charismatic, Bluegrass Stakes winner Millennium Wind, Two-time champion and sire Deputy Minister, and the game old warrior Cloudy’s Knight. 

 

Interesting to students of pedigree, Stately Victor’s third sire Deputy Minister is the grandson of Shakney, a half sister to Stately Victor’s third dam Clover Lane.

 

On paper, Stately Victor should have no difficulty with the Kentucky Derby Distance and could even be a prospect for the Belmont Stakes.  However, even if this colt is starting to put it all together on the race track, I’m not convinced that he will show additional improvement in the Derby, and in fact, will likely regress off of his huge win.  Stately Victor may best be suited to turf or Polytrack route races in the long run.  Since Keeneland switched to Polytrack, the Blue Grass Stakes winners have finished eleventh (Dominican) last, (Monba) and tenth (General Quarters).  


Click here for Line of David’s Pedgree Analysis

 

Also be sure to visit Horse Racing Nation’s 2010 Kentucky Derby contenders list. 


To find more great Kentucky Derby and pedigree coverage, visit Iron Maidens Thoroughbreds.

 

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Older Comments about Do Stately Victor and Line of David Have a Derby-winning Pedigree?...

Stately Victor is great on polytrack, and I believe that his owners should maybe do another race on polytrack then prep him for the Belmont. Great analysis!
No shot(s)!
Just studied SVs races. I think he might hate the dirt. Too bad. His last was really good.
Yes and no. lol
No and no.

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