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Breeders Cup 2015
Kentucky Derby 2017

All Eyes on Brethren in Deep Davis Field

With a deep field of mostly unknown three-year-olds ready to test Brethren in this year’s Sam F. Davis (G3), the question is: who exactly is in this field and what is the talent level?

The answer is: There are several talented colts in here that could become major Derby contenders with a strong performance, and the field is so deep that one runner who is five-for-six lifetime was made 15-1 in the morning line by Horse Racing Nation. 

Brethren, a half-brother to Super Saver, is the obvious star in the field. He’s undefeated in two starts and was last seen capturing a one-mile allowance race at Churchill Downs over El Grayling and Justin Phillip, two runners that have failed to distinguish themselves since. El Grayling finished second to Shackleford in a Gulfstream allowance last weekend and has had trouble getting to the winner’s circle in the allowance ranks while Justin Phillip has been a total disappointment at the Fair Grounds. 

On the Beyer scale, Brethren recorded an 84 both times out, but now must deal with an outside trip from post position #10 and a field where several have equal or higher Beyer figures in their past performances. 

   [Handicapper Mike Shutty likes a huge bomber in the Sam Davis.  Who does he like?  Click to watch his video.] 

#8 Monzon (7-2)is the likely second choice off his 90 Beyer figure and one-length win in the Count Fleet Stakes on New Year’s Day at Aqueduct. He accomplished that win off a layoff and has trained steadily for this effort. He is two-for-two over dirt surfaces. 

#3 Washington’s Rules has the look of a Derby trail improver. He broke his maiden on January 22 at Gulfstream with a fast closing run and received an 88 Beyer figure for the effort. The gelded son of Roman Ruler is trained by Kenny McPeek, and enters off a bullet workout of :59 3/5 at Gulfstream Park on February 5. 

#2 Adulare finished third to Tapizar in a maiden race at Churchill Downs, but broke his maiden with an 89 Beyer figure on January 2 at Calder. 

  [Brethren has never run in a stake, but ranks #23 on the Top 250 Kentucky Derby 2011 contender poll.  Is he overrated?]

The rest of the field is made up of colts that still have upside potential. #7 Beamer, trained by Carl Nafzger, finished a distant third to Soldat in the Gulfstream slop on January 21, and is training well. #4 Too Experience, is five for six lifetime, but has never run higher than a 75 Beyer figure. And #5 Watch Me Go recently blew away an allowance field at Tampa Bay by 8 lengths going 6 ½ furlongs. 

The field also lacks a natural pacesetter, which could create a slower pace and possibly favor Watch Me Go who is coming out of sprints and may end up on the lead. 































Past performances from the Daily Racing Form:











 

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Older Comments about All Eyes on Brethren in Deep Davis Field...

I'm not too crazy about Brethren, I kind of like Wasington's Rules and Monzon in here.

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