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Home / News / Beyer: Bodemeister's effort was like few others in Derby history

Beyer: Bodemeister's effort was like few others in Derby history

  • drf.com
  • I'm a fan
    My Favorite
  • May 07, 2012 6:35 PM
When jockey Mario Gutierrez won the Kentucky Derby aboard I’ll Have Another, his triumph was the sort that usually happens only in corny racing fiction. Casual fans surely appreciated his saga, though they may not have recognized the other main story line of the Derby.
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I'll Have Another  |  Bodemeister  |  Mario Gutierrez  |  Mike E. Smith  |  Kentucky Derby  |  Kentucky Derby (2012)

What the Nation is saying about Beyer: Bodemeister's effort was like few others in Derby history...

My blog: handicrapper.blogspot.com
"This group of 3-year-olds appears even worse than the weak crops of 2011, 2010, and 2009" That line is completely unjustified, this is one of the strongest most competitive crops we have had since 2007. You said yourself that this is one of the deepest derbies we have seen in years. You base this judgement on your Beyer Speed Figures. Beyer speed figures, as you said before, are just a tool, NOTHING MORE, they do not put a numerical value (that is completely an estimation on how the track is playing) on a crop quality. I'll Have Another has now 3 for 3 and 2 G.I's. If Bodemiester would have won by a nose the BSF would have been much higher. "If the winner’s performance was unimpressive by the historical standards of the Derby, the horses behind I’ll Have Another and Bodemeister were terrible. The hot pace should have created a great opportunity for stretch-runners to make bold late moves. Dullahan and Went the Day Well could only muster too-little-too-late rallies to finish third and fourth." What does this mean? It certainly doesn't mean that these horses aren't good, they were the only 2 horses that closed on a speed bias track, instead of "should have closed" they should be commended for closing so well on the track. "Well-regarded contenders Alpha and Gemologist were beaten by 19 and 30 lengths, respectively, with no excuses. This group of 3-year-olds appears even worse than the weak crops of 2011, 2010, and 2009, with the notable exception of Bodemeister, whose effort on Saturday was so good that the defeat didn’t even sting Baffert." And your quote about Gemologist and Alpha were way off, they had too high of BSF in the wood, anyone with a half brain could have figured that out by just looking at the final time for the wood. Those 2 horses aren't great quality and that is why they finished were they did. The real beyer should have been between 105 and 108, considering the SPEED of the race and the final time. Lets be real, the BSF you are posting are not consistent and therefore, not reliable. I question the validity of the BSF's due to the fact that they are not measuring what they are supposed to measuring as a result of the Kentucky Derby (and past BSF) the speed was fast and the final time was solid, BSF should have been higher. I feel like your BSF have become more of a measuring stick rather than what they were originally for, help determining the speed of a race. Therefore is the speed is fast the higher the BSF should be, unless the time was really slow (see super saver). In this case, the fractions were really fast and the final time was not slow, therefore the BSF should be higher.
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