Bad Draw for Goldikova, Proviso in BC Mile

humphey after what I learned from you today I feel obligated to defer to your judgement on this particular race and I hereby retract my post.

Miesque came into the 1988 Breeder's Cup off big wins at WHERE? Deauville and Longchamps and DESTROYED her field.......Matter of fact, the English analyst that year, made a comment on how hard the surface was a s compared ot Europe...NO difference whatsoever.

If Goldikova is at her best in the Breeders Cup Mile? Then everyone else is running for 2nd place money. That said, the surface at Churchill Downs isn't Deauville or Longchamp. The two primary tracks in France that Goldikova has won about 90% of her G1 races over. It's also certainly not Santa Anita either. Unless the Louisville area get's some rain before Saturday? Churchill Downs turf course is going to be like it always is. Firm and fast. Goldikova has shown she can win on fast ground. Having beaten Paco Boy by a head in the G1 Queen Anne Stakes at Royal-Ascot back in June. That's the about the only question mark I have for Goldikova in this race? Her biggest threat all season in nearly all of her G1 races has come from Paco Boy. Save the one race at Deauville on very soft ground that Makfi beat her and Paco Boy in. I think Paco Boy is a very good colt, with a great turn of foot. But on American soil, I think there's horses in this race that's better than he is. Primarily, Gio Ponti and Proviso. Goldikova can be very "machine like" when she want's to be. But every great once and a while, and it doesn't happen often, she'll run across a race that the ground just doesn't suite, and she'll get upset in that race. If Churchill Downs turf course were to prove to be that ground? I think Gio Ponti or Proviso either one could be right there to pick up the pieces. Quickly. TJMO.

never headed? There is too much in the late great mover department here unless that one opens ALL ALONE by 8.

I believe as strong as this field is Sydneys Candy goes to the front and is never headed.Do a breakdown of his fractional times and compare it to his final and you'll see what I'm talking about.

Lure, a front runner, did it. This one can just shift over and wait as that passing gear is much better than the field.