Breeders’ Cup pre-entry deadline set for Monday October 22, the fields are
starting to shape up in all of the respective divisions. The Breeders' Cup Juvenile field
size however is developing rather slowly. In the last ten Breeders’ Cup’s 2005 was
the only Juvenile that had less than 10 horses in the field. As of right now 2012
is starting to look like the next.
official entry deadline is on October 29, just 5 days before Breeders’ Cup
Saturday. Because the field is a little thin right now does not rule out the
possibility that a stronger or should I say larger field will still come
together. Racing juveniles can be a very delicate decision and cause many
connections to delay but we don’t have time to wait. Instead, let’s speculate which juveniles we will be seeing and the ones that are going to pass.
The most obvious
probable is Shanghai Bobby, the leading candidate right now for 2-yr-old colt
of the year. It has already been announced that he will be taking his
undefeated record to Santa Anita and from the horses we are going to cover, Shanghai
Bobby is hands down the head of the class on paper.
that honor because he is the only potential Juvenile starter that holds wins in
more than one graded stakes. Secondly, his form is very well developed for a
horse at his age. So, barring any setbacks Shanghai Bobby should be considered
a lock for racing in the Juvenile.
In case you
haven’t been paying attention should it be any news that Bob Baffert is likely going
to enter his leading contender. Workouts talk to some handicappers more than
others so if you’re persuaded by a horse that shows their holding their form
then this should get your attention. Power Broker 10/14, SA, 5F: 59.20. The
sharp workout ranked 2nd out of 88 on the day and is an obvious sign
that he is still on track for entering the Juvenile.
Nothing is official
but it’s pretty safe to assume that the two horses that finished behind Power
Broker in 2nd and 3rd in the G1 FrontRunner will also be back
at Santa Anita for the Juvenile. Know More lost a few supporters after he
failed to win in either of his two races that followed his opening act, a win
in the G2 Best Pal Stakes, but finishing no worse than 2nd in three
lifetime graded stakes races has kept a lot of fans at bay. So, expect this
Doug O’Neill colt owned by Paul Reddam to have a good amount of supporters in their
corner on Breeders’ Cup weekend. As for Capo Bastone he’s still searching for
his first graded stakes win but it looks very likely that he will attempt to
make the Juvenile his inaugural splash.
there are three other horses that are on the early probable list. First is
Fortify, a solid graded stakes tested horse that has the potential to score his
first graded win at any moment. Shanghai Bobby has been much the best when the
two went head to head in the G2 Hopeful and G1 Champagne but every once in
awhile the horse that is doing all the chasing finally catches up and completes
the pursuit. Nothing has been set by Trainer Kiaran McLaughlin or Godolphin
Racing but all signs point to Fortify entering the Juvenile.
recent news, two Juveniles that are not yet as well known have been confirmed. Coming
off of a non-graded stakes win at Calder last weekend, Speak Logistics has been
given the green light to go for more. Trained by Edward Plesa, the Florida bred
colt by High Cotton and Miss Sabrina is riding high off of back to back wins at
a distance of at least 1 Mile. His connections are confident that he is not a
sprinter so I will have to give him a good look as the Juvenile field begins to
Mark Casse has also confirmed that his colt Dynamic Sky will be making the move
west after a 2nd place finish in the Breeders’ Futurity at Keeneland.
This Ontario bred colt, son of Sky Mesa has never raced on dirt but it’s good
to see that it didn’t stop his connections from moving forward.
Now let’s switch
to the most curious horses. Or should we just declare them unlikely or possible.
By this time I would’ve expected to hear that Joha, winner of the Breeders’
Futurity, had been confirmed for the Juvenile but that’s not the case. Instead
it’s becoming more apparent that the Juvenile Turf is going to be the race
where you’ll find him. My guess is that it’s been decided that the grass is the
better choice and he will not be running in the 2012 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile.
By now it
shouldn’t be a surprise that Bern Identity is probably opting instead for the
Juvenile Sprint. The rumors on this were out even before the Champagne so seeing
him listed as probable for the Sprint division as opposed to the Juvenile was most
Likely to join Berne Identity in passing on the Juvenile are two horses
that I wasn’t too sure about. Overanalyze, trained by Pletcher and owned by
Mike Repole will not enter the Juvenile. In fact, Repole announced today that none of his horses will be racing at this year's Breeders Cup. Also, don't expect Darwin to be entering the Juvenile either. Instead, this horse has a better chance of joining Bern Identify in the BC Sprint.
does this leave us with? Another Baffert horse that’s too early to predict is
Title Contender. Winner in one of his first two Maiden races, I can see Bob
Baffert putting him in and leaving him out. The future looks pretty bright for
this young colt so I can understand why he would elect to pass but then again I
also understand that it’s Baffert. He if wants roll the dice, he will.
there’s no word yet on Goldencents, 2nd in the Champagne, or
Archwarrior, 4th in the Champagne. If I had to guess we won’t see
either of these two. In fact, I’m guessing that we won’t see enough confirmations in the coming days to get the
field to at least ten horses. As an alternative, it will be a very competitive field of
either 8 or 9 but again that can change before we get to October 29.
is when we will know for sure who will officially be entered its only
speculation right now. Either way the field will be solid and should
produce more than a handful of Kentucky Derby hopefuls. However, the more the merrier as a full field of Juveniles for me is exciting, unpredictable and absolutely the most fun. So, lets hope we start seeing more horses that will eventually find their spot in the starting gate.