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And the 2011 Kentucky Derby winner is...

Soldat wins 2011 Fountain of Youth.

Fantasy Derby: Soldat draped in roses – by HRN Handicapper Jarrod Horak

 

SOLDAT, exiting a disappointing effort as the favorite in the Florida Derby, rebounded in a big way to capture the 137th running of the Kentucky Derby by a resounding three lengths.

 

COMMA TO THE TOP sped to the early lead under Pat Valenzuela and set solid splits of :23.65, :47.75, and 1:11.95. He was followed closely by DECISIVE MOMENT and SHACKLEFORD.

 

Comma To The Top and Decisive Moment were the first to crack and Shackleford took up the running shortly after six furlongs. At this point the stalkers were on the move with UNCLE MO making the first run.

 

For a brief moment it looked like the 2-year old champ would spurt clear but John Velazquez had to shake him up after a mile in 1:36.99. His lack of fitness caught up to him and he slowly started to fade from contention. Soldat, sitting chilly in 5th for much of the running under Alan Garcia, came up to Uncle Mo’s flank and hit the front turning for home.

 

MUCHO MACHO MAN sat a decent midpack trip and tried to go with Soldat but could not match strides with that one in the lane. TWINSPIRED weaved his way through traffic under Mike Smith and outfinished ARCHARCHARCH for the show at 33-1.

 

The Kiaran McLaughlin trainee enjoyed a trouble free tactical journey and that was the key to his success on the first Saturday in May. He stopped the clock in 2:03.23 and paid $34.40 to win. 

 

Uncle Mo weakened to finish 8th and was not the only disappointment. Derby favorite DIALED IN was 20th in the early going and worked his way to 5th at the top of the lane but flattened out to finish 9th. 

 

SANTIVA was squeezed back early and experienced traffic woes in a better than appears 5th. Shackleford held the best of the early runners but could not quite get the ten furlong trip. TOBY’S CORNER also had traffic troubles in a 7th place effort.

 

“Kiaran was very confident and told me to place him right behind the leaders,” said overjoyed winning rider Alan Garcia. “I could not have asked for a better trip and I look forward to riding him back in the Preakness.”

 

“Alan rode a great race and I cannot express the joy I feel in winning the Derby,” said tearful conditioner Kiaran McLaughlin. “I would like to thank the owners, assistant trainer, groom, and everyone else involved with this horse. I will cherish this special moment for the rest of my life.”

 

It is on to Baltimore, Maryland for the Preakness Stakes in two weeks and Soldat has the right tactical style to succeed at Pimlico. If he has as much luck as he did under the Twin Spires and another smooth journey, the others could be in big trouble on May 21. 

 

Full Result Chart Below


#

Contender

Jockey

Trainer

Owner

Breeder

1

Soldat

Alan Garcia

Kiaran McLaughlin

Clarke Robertson, Braverman and Namco

Brookfield Stud

2

Mucho Macho Man

Rajiv Maraj

Katherine Ritvo

Reeves Thoroughbred Racing

John D Rio and Carole A Rio

3

Twinspired

Mike E Smith

Michael Maker

Alpha Stables Skychai Racing LLC

John Jain, Lawrence Opas, and Frank Sinatra

4

Archarcharch

Jon Court

William H Fires

 Yagos Robert & Loval

Grapestock LLC

5

 Santiva

Shaun Bridgmohan

Eddie Kenneally

Tom R Walters

Paget Bloodstock

6

Shackleford

Jesus Castanon

Dale Romans

Lauffer Michael and Cubbedge W D

Mike Lauffer and Bill Cubbedge

7

Toby’s Corner

Eddie Castro

H Graham Motion

Dianne D Cotter

Dianne D Cotter

8

Uncle Mo

John Velazquez

Todd Pletcher

Repole Stable

D Michael Cavey DVM

9

Dialed In

Julien Leparoux

Nick Zito

Robert V LaPenta

W S Farish, Madeline Pickens & Skara Glen Stables  

10

 Nehro

Corey Nakatani

Steve Asmussen

Zayat Stables LLC

Mt Brilliant Farm LLC

11

Animal Kingdom

 Robby Albarado

H Graham Motion

Team Valor International

Team Valor

12

Master of Hounds

Garrett Gomez

Aidan O’Brien

Mrs John Magnier

Silk and Scarlet Syndicate

13

 Midnight Interlude

Victor Espinoza

Bob Baffert

Arnold Zetcher LLC 

Arnold Zetcher LLC  

14

Stay Thirsty

Ramon Dominguez

Todd  Pletcher

Repole Stable

John D Gunther 

15

Pants On Fire

Rosie Napravnik

Kelly Breen

George & Lori Hall

K & G Stables

16

 Comma To The Top

Patrick Valenzuela

Peter Miller

Gary Barber and Roger Birnbaum

Richard & Linda Thompson

17

Brilliant Speed

Joel Rosario

Michael Maker

Live Oak Plantation

Live Oak Stud

18

Twice The Appeal

Calvin Borel

Jeff Bonde

Edward Brown Jr and Victor Flores

John T L Jones III

19

Decisive Moment

Kerwin Clark

Juan D Arias

Just For Fun Stable

Just For Fun Stable

20

Watch Me Go

Rafael Bejarano

Kathleen O’Connell

Gilbert G Campbell

Gilbert G Campbell

 

 

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Older Comments about And the 2011 Kentucky Derby winner is......

And the winner is....Santiva!
with a hot pace it will be hard to beat dialed in. archx3 is my favorite but i know he can be beat, and soldat is the stalker/ runner with distance, but dialed in comes out of the clouds, and he can hang wide and still survive. even if he is slow. but 97 is not far off from everyone else. i also like nehro, he just needs that extra room to fly. oh god pace will be slow? no way not with comma to the top. he shoots out like a cannon even on his bad days. he may not win but will add fire to the race causing a wall for those up close. lot's of people say midnight interlude, i say hes tough in the race after this. that battle with comma may have taken it out of him even though he won.
Thanks for all of the comments. I enjoyed writing this for the second time. Hope for better luck at the draw this time around. Last year's early pick Lookin At Lucky got stuck on the rail!
Nice breakdown! Only I think you're waaaaay off. I'll eat my hat if Nehro and Dialed In finish 9th and 10th. I might buy into the UM recap, though.
I believe Soldat will go with the leaders no worse than 3rd.He and Archarcharch should finish 1-2.I also like Midnight interlude in the mix.
  • icyhotboo · Soldat is proven and they tried their experiment with him in the FD.As for archIII he is improving each outing and of the three I like is the most probable winner .MI is very impressive. · 1178 days ago
Posted by njtrader "This is why the payouts for the derby are so precipitous at times because its people like you who take a conventional route to betting and box all the favorites." Don't assume to know how I wager. I was just pointing out an interesting angle.
I agree Soldat will rebound and have a big shot at the roses. I also think Dilaed in and Nehro will make strong runs and be closer at the end. I think Mucho Macho Man doesn't have the steam to get up with this croud. One thing is for sure - This KY boy loves the First Saturday of May!
Mo has been looking pretty good in his works, which have been farily solid considering the conditions. One thing I've learned ist that over history horses that have not worked over CD or do not have previous big win over the track fall short. My one rule is go for the horses that like the track and have the upside. Nehro has not impressed me but I like Uncle Mo and Archarcharch best right now. Uncle Mo had an excuse in his last and reports are saying he is looking more and more like the horse we saw last year. Add that he has proven to love CD and looks like he tracks over the slop pretty well, and you have yourself a very promising candidate. Arch3 looked fabulous at CD in his last work, and a little know tidbit is that horses prepping from Oaklawn have finished in the top four the last seven year.
That is some value play! It's an interesting way of looking at it but I'll have to disagree. Hey, rohan2reed, it's not ridiculous to say that neither Baffert, Zito, and Pletchers horses wont finish in the top 7. This is why the payouts for the derby are so precipitous at times because its people like you who take a conventional route to betting and box all the favorites.
Pace to slow. TRY AGAIN.
It does seem like there's less pace now, but I have a hard time not seeing the closers roll by this group up front.
Uhh, I dont think so, I agree with annmatt, this is a somewhat random outcome...
so you're saying that neither Baffert nor Pletcher nor Zito have a horse finish in the top 7? hahahahahahaha
So you're saying Soldat gets the Super Saver dream trip?
Looks like you put all the names in a hat, shook them up, and let fly. I'm looking to place a small bet and I still don't know which way to go! Curious as to how Soldat came back from the dead in the Fl Derby where my guy cleaned his clock. Ya don't get a pass for not showing up! If he's capable of "not showing up" for the Fl Derby, how can you count on him for the big show? Really weird! Can't figure how my guy, who beat your guy, got all the way down to 9???!! M-m-m-m-m. Are you having a nervous breakdown! Jeeeeez!!!

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