• Kobe's Back goes from last to first down the stretch to win the Palos Verdes.Posted 3 days ago
  • Storied Lady (4-1) up the rail to nip Saythreehailmary's in the Biogio's Rose.Posted 3 days ago
  • Hoppertunity nips Imperative by a San Antonio head-bob.Posted 4 days ago
  • In her seasonal debut, Songbird is a dominant winner of the Las Virgenes at Santa Anita.Posted 4 days ago
  • Lukes Alley kicks it in late to win the Grade 1 Gulfstream Park Turf Handicap.Posted 4 days ago
  • Mor Spirit cruises late to win the Robert B. Lewis at Santa Anita.Posted 4 days ago
  • Aussie-bred Power Alert gets there first in the GP Turf Sprint.Posted 4 days ago
  • Tommy Macho runs away with the Fred Hooper at Gulfsrtream Park.Posted 4 days ago
  • No catching Tammy the Torpedo in the turfy Suwannee River.Posted 4 days ago
  • Lady Shipman (1-5) is an easy winner in the Lady's Turf Sprint at Gulfstream.Posted 4 days ago

2013 Kentucky Derby Super Screener - Now Available!

Super Screener

As we handicap the Kentucky Derby, there are countless ways to dissect the probable field in search of the ultimate winner.  Dosage Index, Dual Qualifier status, pedigree, Speed Ratings, prep race quality, Graded Stakes wins, workouts days before the Derby and a trainer’s Derby record are just a few of the criteria that people use when assessing a field of probable Derby contenders.  These types of factors fall in and out of favor over the years and each has had its share of success in helping track down a Kentucky Derby winner.


     [Get Your Copy of the Proven System for Picking Derby Winners at SuperScreener.com


Each year, we are reminded of other important, proven screening criteria we should keep in mind as we handicap the Kentucky Derby.   Examples would include the following:


·       Don’t bet to win on Derby entrants that have never run as a 2 year-old.  Most recently, Curlin and Bodemeister tried to overcome this long-standing tenant but both came up a bit short in their respective Kentucky Derby endeavors.

·       Only one horse (Regret) has ever won the Derby off just 3 lifetime starts (make that only two horses now that Big Brown achieved this feat in 2008)

·       Post position 20 has never produced a winner (Big Brown busted that one as well and I’ll Have Another won from the 19 hole in 2012 so this screening criteria weakens some as a result)

·       Must have a final prep race run at the mile and eighth distance (Charismatic was able to break that barrier in winning the 1999 Kentucky Derby as have several second place Derby finishers)

·       Must have a prep race in April (yep, Big Brown defied that rule, too, and more recently, Animal Kingdom submitted his last prep in March via the Spiral Stakes)

·       Discount horses that completed their final preps on synthetic tracks or turf courses (Street Sense and Animal Kingdom broke through that potential barrier to win the 2007 and 2011 editions of the Kentucky Derby, respectively)

·       Avoid wire-to-wire types when searching for your Kentucky Derby winner (though it has been 10 years, Bob Baffert-trained War Emblem never looked back while taking the 2002 Kentucky Derby field gate to wire)


It’s not to say that these criteria aren’t useful, but if followed blindly, it would have lead to eliminating Kentucky Derby winners like Animal Kingdom, Big Brown and War Emblem and potentially several very hittable long-shot second place finishers in past runnings of the Kentucky Derby.



Several years ago, we went on a search for a more reliable, yet flexible, adaptable set of screening criteria through which we could identify (and eliminate), with greater confidence, Kentucky Derby win and in-the-money contenders.  This would be a system that would allow for “getting smarter” based on new data. 

We at Horse Racing Nation believe we have found a superior, flexible screening methodology that we are excited to share with you as we continue on the march toward Louisville, Kentucky.  To learn more, visit SuperScreener.com today! 




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Older Comments about 2013 Kentucky Derby Super Screener - Now Available!...

What is in common, NOT DIFFERENT amongst: the K Derby, a 10K Penn National clcaiming sprint, the Queen's Plate or a Lone Star maiden claimer route? NOTHING. They are all simple manisfestations of the same exact things. To dress any one of them up differently is, over the long run, parimutually foolish.

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