babies. Especially cute, unpredictable “whittle” girls. That is, everyone
except horseplayers, when you’re talking about 2-year-old thoroughbred fillies…
running on the turf to boot. The typical race track short-term investor wants to
have a plethora of past performances to peruse to find a nice priced winner. With
“babies” you have to look beyond the past performances.
That’s the beauty of the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf. Introduced to the Breeders’ Cup two-day format in
2008, it has never produced a Post Time favorite winner. In the five (5)
runnings of this contest, the lowest $2 WIN payout was $12.20 (Stephanie’s
Kitten in 2011), with the average being $20.80.
So contrary to popular belief, history indicates this is not the race to single
the favorite in your multi-race exotics. At this writing, the likely Morning
Line favorite will be Vorda (FR). Winner
of 4 of 5 career outings in France and the UK, she carries the same blue and
white silks of Sheikh Mohammed Bin Khalifa Al Thani, who won this race last
year with Flotilla (FR). She’s trained by Philippe Sogorb with 4-time BC
winning rider Olivier Peslier in the irons.
Other top contenders include a quartet of
Chriselliam (IRE) 5:2-1-0
(C.B. Hills/Richard Hughes): Hard to figure as she was 9th in career debut,
then won 2nd outing. Took giant step up into a G3 but was outrun (9th). Since
then has come back to place in a minor stakes on Sep. 7th and win the G1
Shadwell Fillies Mile @ Newmarket on Sept. 27th. Jekyll & Hyde type.
Clenor (IRE) 6:3-0-1 (Doug
O’Neill/Rafael Bejarano): Started in UK (2 @ Curragh; 1 @ Cork) with 5th, 4th
then 3rd place finish; shipped to SoCal where she’s 3 for 3. Broke her maiden @
Dmr (Aug. 7th) and followed that win victory in Oak Tree Fillies Turf @ Dmr on
Sep. 2nd. Most recently won the Surfer Girl Stakes during opening weekend at
SA. She’s on a perfect, race-every-4-week schedule. One to watch!
Tapestry (IRE) 3:2-0-1 (Aidan
O’Brien/Joseph O’Brien): After impressive maiden win took the giant step up
into a Group 2 and won. Since the only way from there was up, went in Group 1,
was Post Time favorite but only managed to run third, but was promoted to 2nd
via disqualification of the runner-up. Never underestimate Team O’Brien in BC
Rizeena (IRE) 8:4-2-1 (Clive
Brittain/James Doyle): Has had a busy 2-year-old campaign thus far, hitting the
board in Group 1 & 2 races in his past 5 starts. Got beat by both Vorda
(FR) and Chriselliame (IRE), but took care of a favored Tapestry (IRE). One not
to take lightly!
The North American
2-year-old fillies who pose the biggest threat to the Euro invaders are…
My Conquestadory 2: 2-0-0 (Mark
Casse/Eurico Da Silva): Skies the limit. She made her career debut against the
boys in the Grade 2 Summer stakes. For an encore, she easily won the Grade1
Darley Alcibiades Stakes, a “Win & In” contest for the BC Juvenile Fillies
(not Turf). She’s a serious contender if connections opt for run here instead.
Llanarmon 2: 1-0-1 (Roger Attfield/Emma-Jayne
Wilson): Third in career debut when steadied early then displayed a furious
late kick going 7 furlongs prompting Attfield to take a shot in the “Win &
In” Gr. 2 Natalma Stakes. The result was a ¾ length victory, when 8-5 favorite
Ready To Act leading by 2 in mid-stretch, veered out sharply and lost her
Testa Rossi (FR) 6: 4-1-0 (Chad Brown/Jose Lezcano): First 5 career
starts were in France in maiden and allowance company. Shipped to the states
where Chad Brown threw her to the wolves in the “Win & In” Gr. 3
Miss Grillo Stakes. Result: A game victory by a nose.
Others who might find their way to the entry box…
Flying Jib (GB) 3: 2-0-0 (Dermot
Weld/Patrick Smullen) won Staffordstown Stud Stakes at The Curragh (UK) is
possible based on comments by the trainer in an Oct. 13th racinguk.com article.
Al Thakhira (GB) 2: 2-0-0 (Marco Botti/Silvestre De Sousa): Easy winner
of the Vision.ae Rockfel Stakes at Newmarket (UK) have owners with Breeders’
Cup fever according to the sportlife.com article on Oct. 12th.
Ken Ramsey loves the big stage. So
look for up to three of his kittens to be entered…
Kitten Kaboodle 3: 1-2-0 (Chad Brown/Alan Garcia) broke maiden in Gr.2
Jessamine @ Kee on Oct. 9th, getting BC fees paid via this “Win
& In” event.
Lien On Kitten 2: 2-0-0 (Wayne
Catalano/Channing Hill) rallied to win Kentucky Downs Juvenile Fillies going
Granny Mc’s Kitten 3: 1-1-0 (Chad
Brown/Javier Castellano) 3-wide throughout when 4th in Miss Grillo
and personal favorite of Mayor McCheese.
To Act 2: 1-0-0 (Chad Brown/Rajiv
Maragh) was enroute to a victory in the
“Win & In” Gr. 2 Natalma Stakes, but didn’t take kindly to a righthanded
whip in mid-stretch, veered out sharply and lost her jock.
Nesso 3: 1-2-0 (Vann Belvoir/Martin Garcia) 2nd
in Surfer Girl @ SA, lost lead late. There’s something to be said for home
court advantage and would try to steal it on the front end.
Zinzay 2: 1-2-0 (George Arnold/Joe Rocco, Jr.) 2nd as betting
choice in Gr. 2 Jessamine @ Kee; Has turf pedigree to keep improving.
To find out about the other Breeders' Cup races, check out these blogs on HRN: