Photo: NYRA, Adam Coglianese
The 2012 running of the Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies will probably be the smallest field
in the history of the race. With only nine horses pre-entered and five of those
cross-entered into other races, it seems certain that less than eight horses
Of the five horses cross-entered, three of them
have the Juvenile Fillies listed as their second choice. If they stick with
their first choice in the Breeders’ Cup then the field of six would be two
below the smallest size, which happened in 1993 and 1995. Six horses is also
the smallest field in Breeders’ Cup history and that happened twice in the
Distaff in 1987 and 1996.
The Juvenile Fillies will be run on the Friday
card as race seven, which has a post time of 3:08pm PT. The race is part of two
pick four wagers that begin in races six and seven.
Here are some interesting facts about this year’s
Juvenile Fillies field.
•All three “Win and You’re In” Breeders’
Challenge winners are pre-entered to run.
•Four of the nine horses have only won one race.
•There are three undefeated horses in the field.
•Six of the horses have trainers who have never
won the Juvenile Fillies, but the other three trainers have won it a total of nine
•Three have never raced on a dirt surface and
three have run all of their races on the dirt.
•Six of the fillies are based in the east and three are stabled in the west at Santa Anita.
Over the years horses from the east have had very
little luck in the California hosted Breeders’ Cups. Clearly the two most recent
runnings at Santa Anita, on the artificial Pro-Ride track, added at surface
change to the mix. Even when Santa
Anita had dirt, the east coasters did not fare well. Back in October I did hear California jockey Mike Smith
comment that the new Santa Anita dirt track reminded him a lot of the sandy
surface at Belmont Park.
The shipping west of Dreaming of Julia and Kauai Katie from Todd Pletcher’s
Belmont Park barn may be complicated by Hurricane Sandy. Whit Beckman,
Pletcher’s assistant in New York, said, “We’re still scheduled to ship them all out. My
understanding is the flight may be pushed back from Tuesday to Wednesday. But
all in all, it doesn’t really hurt us.”
Almost An Angel, Beholder, and Sweet Shirley Mae are cross-entered in the Juvenile Sprint and list
that race as their first choice. Kauai Katie is also entered in the Sprint, but
she is listed with the Juvenile Fillies as her top choice. Frankly, I do not see Kauai Katie going
in the longer race as her running style would have her going head to head with
her Stonestreet stablemate Dreaming of Julia. That leaves a likely field of five
Broken Spell runs for D. Wayne
Lukas, who has won more Juvenile Fillies than any other trainer. He has a
career record of 5 wins from 42 starts in this race. Broken Spell's last four races have
been on turf or polytrack and have been very impressive. Her first two races on
the Churchill Downs dirt were poor.
regally bred Dreaming of Julia is
undefeated in three starts. In her win in the Frizette, she
survived a very fast pace and a head to head stretch duel. Her most recent work
indicates that she has bounced back from that very tough race in good order.
Executiveprivilege has not lost in
five races. Her performance in her
last four races has been extremely consistent with Beyers ranging from 84 to
88. The Bob Baffert trainee has a huge home track advantage and she will no
doubt be a big betting favorite. I am concerned about the reports on her most
recent workout. Baffert teamed her up with one of his sprinters for the six
furlong work. Executiveprivilege kept up with the speedster for a quarter and
then faded and finished looking tired.
Renee's Queen is cross-entered in
the Juvenile Filly Turf, where she is an also-eligible, but lists that race as
her second choice even though she has never run on dirt. She broke her maiden on the turf in her
fourth start in a $100,000 stakes race at Del Mar in September.
Spring in the Air has run two great
races against fields of 14 in her last two starts. She rallied from tenth to win the Alcibiades at Keeneland on
the turf. Spring in the Air has also never run on the dirt.
will see the small field in this year’s Juvenile Fillies as an easy spot for Executiveprivilege
and that is probably the case. However, I will not be treating this race as a
single in the pick fours.